scholarly journals POST – CRISIS EXCHANGE RATE POLICY IN INDONESIA

2017 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Abdul Hadi Ilman

In 1997 Indonesia was hit by a severe financial crisis which led to the change of almost everything in the country, including the exchange rate regime; from managed floating to free floating or flexible exchange rate. It has been a major conclusion from academic debate that maintaining exchange rate at a certain level or band (soft peg) was no longer workable in the more integrated financial system, international market, and free flow of capital mobility across economy.Indonesia once was known as one of the “Asian Tigers” which were believed to be the next industrialized economies as was being indicated by astounding macroeconomic performance since the early 1990s. The exchange rate management, in which the objective was to have a competitiveness in the international market, was making a huge contribution to that performance. No one suspected those countries would be hit by the crisis until Thailand’s Bath was under attacked and suddenly it spread expeditiously to other economies.Domestically, economy of Indonesia was funded by foreign debt in the several years before crisis to leverage the economy, especially private sector. Thus, when the currency crisis was happening, the value of rupiah was depreciated so much and the central bank could not afford to stabilize the value of rupiah in the market. Then a huge amount of the dollar-denominated short term debt was suspected to default since the debt value in rupiah was becoming very large.

2011 ◽  
pp. 21-34 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Andryushin ◽  
V. Kuznetsova

The article analyzes the emerging markets central banks exchange rate policy, while they choose the exchange rate regime in conditions of financial globalization. The authors present the new IMF exchange rate regimes taxonomy which separates them using historical data about nominal exchange rate developments. They identify some factors which affect the exchange rate regime option from the macroeconomic point of view. The article reviews some national markets safeguard measures from external shocks generated by international capital inflow or outflow.


2007 ◽  
Vol 52 (03) ◽  
pp. 445-458 ◽  
Author(s):  
HWEE-KWAN CHOW

Reflecting the small open nature of its economy, Singapore has adopted an exchange rate-centered monetary policy framework since 1981. The exchange rate regime in Singapore is an intermediate regime that follows the basket-band-crawl system. With this managed float system, the MAS has successfully deterred speculators from attacking the domestic currency for most of the past three decades. At the same time, the flexibility accorded by the managed float system aided Singapore in escaping from the 1997–1998 Asian crisis relatively unscathed. In order to advance our understanding of the hitherto successful operation of Singapore's exchange rate policy, we examine the following three aspects of its implementation: (i) the use of the exchange rate instead of the interest rate as the key monetary policy instrument; (ii) the management of the currency basket in terms of foreign exchange intervention operations; and (iii) regulating the level of domestic liquidity alongside exchange rate policy. This paper also provides some insights on the challenges ahead that potentially face policymakers when implementing Singapore's exchange rate policy.


2003 ◽  
Vol 23 (3) ◽  
pp. 376-404
Author(s):  
FRANCISCO L. LOPES

ABSTRACT This paper deals with the Brazilian crisis of 1997-98 that lead to the exchange rate floating of January 1999. It starts by showing how exchange rate policy evolved since the Real Plan of 1994 and how the exchange rate regime became a critical issue when the crisis started in 1997. It discusses monetary policy during the crisis, the IMF program, the endogenous diagonal band and the decision to float as an alternative to capital controls and default. This five-year drama ended surprisingly well with a benign float, but it is useful to know its details, with the usual mix of economic de- bate, personality clashes and historical fatality.


2010 ◽  
pp. 29-43
Author(s):  
S. Smirnov

The Bank of Russia intends to introduce inflation targeting policy and exchange rate free floating regime in three years. Exogenous shocks absorption which stabilizes the real sector of economy is usually considered to be one of the advantages of free floating exchange rate policy. However, our research based on the analysis of 25 world largest economies exchange rates and industrial production during the crisis of 2008-2009 does not confirm this hypothesis. The article also analyzes additional risks associated with free floating exchange rate regime in Russia and presents some arguments in favor of managed floating exchange rate regime.


2010 ◽  
pp. 21-28
Author(s):  
K. Yudaeva

The level of trust in the local currency in Russia is very low largely because of relatively high inflation. As a result, Bank of Russia during crisis times can not afford monetary policy loosening and has to fight devaluation expectations. To change the situation in the post-crisis period Russia needs to live through a continuous period of low inflation. Modified inflation targeting can help achieve such a result. However, it should be amended with institutional changes, particularly development of hedging instruments.


2006 ◽  
Vol 51 (168) ◽  
pp. 73-94 ◽  
Author(s):  
Srdjan Marinkovic

An inappropriate exchange rate policy is likely to undermine overall efforts to transform the economy. Namely, it is now well accepted either at the theoretical or policy level that situations of real exchange rate misalignment could be translated into important welfare costs. This country study highlights "irrelevancy" of the stability criteria when slow growth recovery threatens to endanger even social roots of determination for reform. We discuss foreign exchange policy and other related policy measures that are likely to align economic and political goals inside a trade-off between stability and growth.


2009 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mansor H. Ibrahim

The paper assesses the international transmission of inflation for a small economy, Malaysia, over three sample periods marked by different degrees of exchange rate flexibility. Contradicting to conventional wisdom of less pronounced foreign nominal influences under the flexible exchange rate regime, this research finds evidence that the inflation transmission from the US to Malaysia is strongest during the period marked by increasing exchange rate flexibility (i.e. 1993-1998). This research also observes significant inflation effects of exchange rate depreciation during the same period. While this research observe less pronounced impacts of the US during the limited exchange rate flexibility period (i.e. 1988-1999), the US influences are virtually absent during the recent fixed regime (i.e. 1998-2005). This research believes that the intensity of capital flows across the three periods might have explained the results.


Author(s):  
Leo Flynn

Article 124(1) EC Each Member State with a derogation shall treat its exchange-rate policy as a matter of common interest. In so doing, Member States shall take account of the experience acquired in cooperation within the framework of the exchange-rate mechanism.


Author(s):  
Christopher Adam ◽  
James Wilson

This chapter charts monetary and exchange rate policy aspects of countries’ descent into, and exit from, economic fragility and draws out some key normative policy lessons for fragile countries and their external partners. Choices around exchange rate regime and the conduct of monetary policy in fragile states will rarely be fundamental drivers of deep structural fragility, even though they may present as proximate causes. Nor are they likely to be decisive in driving the recovery from extreme fragility. However, monetary and exchange rate policy choices can and do play an important role in affecting movements into fragility as well as shaping potential exit paths. Moreover, choices in these domains affect the likely distribution of rents, including those generated by policy distortions themselves. In doing so, they alter the balance of power and can decisively shift the points of influence for policy, including by outside agents.


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