scholarly journals The Effect of Test Length on the Accuracy of Estimating Ability Parameter in the Two- and Three-Parameter Logistic Models: Comparison by Using the Bayesian Method of Expected Prior Mode and Maximum Likelihood Estimation

2022 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 168
Author(s):  
Eisa Abdul-Wahhab Al-Tarawnah ◽  
Mariam Al-Qahtani

This study aims to compare the effect of test length on the degree of ability parameter estimation in the two-parameter and three-parameter logistic models, using the Bayesian method of expected prior mode and maximum likelihood. The experimental approach is followed, using the Monte Carlo method of simulation. The study population consists of all subjects with the specified ability level. The study includes random samples of subjects and of items. Results reveal that estimation accuracy of the ability parameter in the two-parameter logistic model according to the maximum likelihood method and the Bayesian method increases with the increase in the number of test items. Results also show that with long and average length tests, the effectiveness is related to the maximum likelihood method and to all conditions of the sample size, whereas in short tests, the Bayesian method of prior mode outperformed in all conditions. Results indicate that the increase of the ability parameter in the three-parameter logistic model increases with the increase of test items number. The Bayesian method outperforms with respect to the accuracy of estimation at all conditions of the sample size, whereas in long tests the maximum likelihood method outperforms at all different conditions.   Received: 17 September 2021 / Accepted: 24 November 2021 / Published: 3 January 2022

2009 ◽  
Vol 6 (4) ◽  
pp. 705-710
Author(s):  
Baghdad Science Journal

This Research Tries To Investigate The Problem Of Estimating The Reliability Of Two Parameter Weibull Distribution,By Using Maximum Likelihood Method, And White Method. The Comparison Is done Through Simulation Process Depending On Three Choices Of Models (?=0.8 , ß=0.9) , (?=1.2 , ß=1.5) and (?=2.5 , ß=2). And Sample Size n=10 , 70, 150 We Use the Statistical Criterion Based On the Mean Square Error (MSE) For Comparison Amongst The Methods.


2019 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. 89-98
Author(s):  
E. B. Belov ◽  
M. V. Alekseev ◽  
N. P. Kitaev ◽  
A. I. Kuchumov

Purpose of the study. Rasch model is often used in processing test results. However, when using this model and the maximum likelihood method (ML), the estimates the levels of ability of respondents depend only on the number of correctly performed test items and do not depend on the difficulties of the items. The purpose of the research is to analyze the influence of the difficulties of the items on the levels of abilities of the respondents based on the weighted maximum likelihood method (WML). To obtain the weights of the WML, the item total scores are used. Materials and methods. The analysis of the influence of the difficulties of the items on the levels of abilities of the respondents is investigated using the dichotomous table obtained when testing the knowledge of 19 respondents in the course “Fundamentals of Electronics”. Indicator variables of 16 test items were used. For items, we calculate the item total scores that determine their items difficulties. The weighting coefficients of the used WML depend on the item total scores and on the coefficient of influence K. When K = 0, WML convert into ML. As K increases from 0 to 2, the weighting coefficients increase and it becomes possible to analyze in detail the influence of the difficulties of the items on the respondents’ ability levels. To calculate the parameters of the Rasch model based on WML, programs (M-files) for the MATLAB environment and Ministep (Winsteps) are used. Results. The use of WML with weighting coefficient obtained on the basis of the item total scores of the difficulties of the items allowed us to further differentiate the levels of respondents’ abilities in the dichotomous Rasch model. The results of the analysis performed using the data of the test on electronics show that, ceteris paribus, new levels of person’s abilities increase if respondents perform difficult items and, conversely, the respondent’s ability levels decrease if respondents perform light items. At the same time, the difficulty levels of the items practically do not change. As a rule, the greater the coefficient of influence K, the more different the estimation of abilities of respondents, obtained on the basis of WML, from the estimation on the basis of ML. However, there are respondents whose ability level does not change or change slightly when the coefficient K is increased from 0 to 2. For the data of the test on electronics with a coefficient K ≤ 1, the original order of respondents in their ability levels calculated on the basis of ML is preserved. With an increased coefficient of influence K ≥ 1,5, new levels of ability, calculated using WML, cause a change in the order of distribution of respondents according to ability levels. Calculations performed using the MATLAB package are confirmed by data obtained using the Winsteps program. Differences without extreme respondents do not exceed 0.01 logit with the maximum value of the coefficient K equal to 2. Conclusion. On the basis of WML, a method is proposed for taking into account the influence of the difficulties of items on the levels of respondents’ abilities in the Rasch dichotomous model when using the item total scores. The results of the analysis performed using the data of the test on electronics show that in this case we will obtain a differentiation of the levels of abilities of the respondents who score the same points. Note that the results obtained using WML and using the data of the test on electronics do not reject the data obtained on the basis of the classical dichotomous Rasch model and ML. The results obtained on the basis of WML, allow to refine the levels of abilities of the respondents, obtained on the basis of ML.


2016 ◽  
Vol 5 (5) ◽  
pp. 12
Author(s):  
Entisar A. Elgmati ◽  
Nadia B. Gregni

Several methods have been used to estimate the unknown parameters in the two-parameter exponential distribution. Here we have considered two of these methods, maximum likelihood method and median-first order statistics method. However, in the presence of outliers these methods are not valid. In this paper we propose two approaches that deal with this situation. The idea is based on using first and third quartile instead of the minimum statistics. We investigated the parameters estimate using these methods through simulation study. The new method gives similar results under the normal situation and much better results when the data has outliers.


Author(s):  
Muhammad Ahsan ul Haq ◽  
Ayesha Babar ◽  
Sharqa Hashmi ◽  
Abdulaziz S. Alghamdi ◽  
Ahmed Z. Afify

We propose a new two-parameter discrete model, called discrete Type-II half-logistics exponential (DTIIHLE) distribution using the survival discretization approach. The DTIIHLE distribution can be utilized to model COVID-19 data. The model parameters are estimated using the maximum likelihood method. A simulation study is conducted to evaluate the performance of the maximum likelihood estimators. The usefulness of the proposed distribution is evaluated using two real-life COVID-19 data sets. The DTIIHLE distribution provides a superior fit to COVID-19 data as compared with competitive discrete models including the discrete-Pareto, discrete Burr-XII, discrete log-logistic, discrete-Lindley, discrete-Rayleigh, discrete inverse-Rayleigh, and natural discrete-Lindley.


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