Dating Banking and Currency Crises in Turkey, 1990-2014

2016 ◽  
pp. 240-273
Author(s):  
Ali Ari ◽  
Raif Cergibozan ◽  
Sedat Demir
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Financial Crises ◽  
Early Warning System ◽  
Currency Crises ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Empirical Studies ◽  
Banking Crisis ◽  
Warning System ◽  
Turkish Economy ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis

The last two decades characterized by financial crisis episodes have seen a proliferation of empirical studies. These early warning system models allowed researchers to distinguish certain key determinants of financial crises, and helped predicting and preventing the occurrence of some crises. However, crises continue to arise as recently illustrated by the onset of the global financial crisis. This clarifies that there are still a lot to learn about financial crises. In this sense, this paper aimed to compare the performance of several currency and banking crisis indicators within the Turkish economy which underwent severe financial crises in the last twenty years. Different currency crisis indicators performed well by detecting the 1994, 2001 and 2008 currency crises, while banking crisis indicators had significant inconsistencies. However, two banking crisis indicators we developed stand for valuable efforts in dating banking crises by constructing aggregate indexes, and contribute significantly to the empirical crisis literature.

A Discussion of Aida H. Hozic and Jacqui True’s Scandalous Economics: Gender and the Politics of Financial Crises

2017 ◽  
Vol 15 (2) ◽  
pp. 503-504
Author(s):  
Dara Z. Strolovitch
Keyword(s):  
Political Economy ◽  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Financial Institutions ◽  
Financial Crises ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Economic Order ◽  
Macroeconomic Models ◽  
Gender And Race ◽  
Back Cover ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis

“Critical analyses of the global financial crisis of 2008 (GFC) have neglected the ways in which structural inequalities around gender and race factor into (and indeed make possible) the current economic order. Scandalous Economics breaks new ground by arguing that an explicitly gendered approach to the GFC and its ongoing effects can help us to understand both the root causes of the crisis and the failure to significantly reform financial institutions and macroeconomic models.” These words, from the blurb on the back cover of Scandalous Economics, nicely summarize the book’s topic and the general approach to it. Because the book contains contributions from a number of the top political scientists writing about the gendering of political economy, and because this topic is such an important one, we have invited a range of political scientists to comment on the book and on the broader theme of the gendering of political economy.

A Discussion of Aida H. Hozic and Jacqui True’s Scandalous Economics: Gender and the Politics of Financial Crises

2017 ◽  
Vol 15 (2) ◽  
pp. 511-512
Author(s):  
Daniel W. Drezner
Keyword(s):  
Political Economy ◽  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Financial Institutions ◽  
Financial Crises ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Economic Order ◽  
Macroeconomic Models ◽  
Gender And Race ◽  
Back Cover ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis

“Critical analyses of the global financial crisis of 2008 (GFC) have neglected the ways in which structural inequalities around gender and race factor into (and indeed make possible) the current economic order. Scandalous Economics breaks new ground by arguing that an explicitly gendered approach to the GFC and its ongoing effects can help us to understand both the root causes of the crisis and the failure to significantly reform financial institutions and macroeconomic models.” These words, from the blurb on the back cover of Scandalous Economics, nicely summarize the book’s topic and the general approach to it. Because the book contains contributions from a number of the top political scientists writing about the gendering of political economy, and because this topic is such an important one, we have invited a range of political scientists to comment on the book and on the broader theme of the gendering of political economy.

Financial Early Warning System for Risk Detection and Prevention from Financial Crisis

Data Mining ◽  
2013 ◽  
pp. 1559-1590
Author(s):  
Nermin Ozgulbas ◽  
Ali Serhan Koyuncugil
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Early Warning ◽  
Financial Distress ◽  
Business Performance ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Warning System ◽  
Chi Square ◽  
Risk Detection ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis

Risk management has become a vital topic for all enterprises especially in financial crisis periods. All enterprises need systems to warn against risks, detect signs and prevent from financial distress. Before the global financial crisis that began 2008, small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) have already fought with important financial issues. The global financial crisis and the ensuring flight away from risk have affected SMEs more than larger enterprises When we consider these effects, besides the issues of poor business performance, insufficient information and insufficiencies of managers in finance education, it is clear that early warning systems (EWS) are vital for SMEs for detection risk and prevention from financial crisis. The aim of this study is to develop and present a financial EWS for risk detection via data mining. For this purpose, data of SMEs listed in Istanbul Stock Exchange (ISE) and Chi-Square Automatic Interaction Detector (CHAID) Decision Tree Algorithm were used. By using EWS, we determined the risk profiles and risk signals for risk detection and road maps for risk prevention from financial crisis.

BIBLIOMETRIC ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CRISIS RESEARCH

2020 ◽  
pp. 1-28
Author(s):  
CHIEN-LUNG HSU ◽  
CHUN-HAO CHIANG
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Financial Crises ◽  
Financial Risk ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Market Risk ◽  
Prudential Supervision ◽  
Occurrence Data ◽  
Lehman Brothers ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis ◽  
The Relationship

The global financial crisis that followed Lehman Brothers’ declaration of bankruptcy in September 2008 critically highlighted the significance of research on systemic risk and macro-prudential supervision. Accordingly, this paper mainly analyzed the relationship between financial crises and the article output in financial crisis research through the application of bibliometrics. The occurrence of a financial crisis leads to changes in the output of articles on crisis and risks. Hence, we focused on bibliographic coupling (e.g., co-authorship, co-occurrence), data classification by risk type in this study (e.g., market risk, credit risk) and citation analysis (e.g., top 1% cited paper). Meanwhile, the analysis indicated the most relevant disciplines in financial crisis research. For example, the number of top 1% cited articles and citations, MARKET RISK documents and citations published the most papers. In other words, the market risk is valued in the financial risk literature.

Early Warning System for Financial Crises

2018 ◽  
pp. 1-25 ◽  
Author(s):  
Amir Manzoor
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Early Warning ◽  
Financial Crises ◽  
Early Warning System ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Time Horizon ◽  
Warning System ◽  
False Alarms ◽  
Financial Risks ◽  
Policy Makers

To maintain financial stability, prevention of financial crisis is very important. This prevention is especially is especially important for developing countries where we need robust instruments for prediction of financial crises. One such instrument is Early Warning System (EWS). An EWS provided signals that could reflect the likelihood of a financial crisis over a given time horizon. Changing nature of financial risks due to liberalization of economies has increased the importance of an effective EWS. This chapter explores the state of the art of EWS. It is suggested that policy makers should take into account their objectives and related thresholds of various while developing an EWS since there exists a sharp trade-off between correctly calling crises and false alarms.

scholarly journals What Did Central Banks Learn from Financial Crises?

2021 ◽  
Vol 66 (4) ◽  
pp. 497-512
Author(s):  
Andrzej Sławiński
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crises ◽  
Currency Crises ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
The United States ◽  
Central Banks ◽  
Lessons Learned ◽  
The Great Depression ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Floating Exchange Rates ◽  
Entire Economy

Abstract During the global financial crisis (GFC) of 2007–2009 and the currentCovid-19 debacle, central banks acted quickly, boldly, and effectively. The paper argues that they did so thanks to the lessons learned from the past financial crises, which provided them with opportunities to reconsider their previous beliefs. A case in point is the banking crisis in the United States during the Great Depression of the 1930s that taught central banks to act rapidly and decisively in order to prevent an initial liquidity crisis from escalating into a solvency crisis leading to bankruptcies of banks with potentially disastrous consequences for the entire economy. The paper revisits the consequences of the currency crises of the 1990s, which transformed exchange rate regimes across the world: the EMS one of 1992–1993 that accelerated the launch of the euro, and the Asian one of 1997–1998 resulted in the proliferation of floating exchange rates in emerging economies.

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