Social Media-Based Forecasting

2016 ◽  
Vol 28 (2) ◽  
pp. 74-91 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wu He ◽  
Lin Guo ◽  
Jiancheng Shen ◽  
Vasudeva Akula

Social media-based forecasting has received significant attention from academia and industries in recent years. With a focus on Twitter, this paper investigates whether sentiments of the tweets regarding the 7 largest US financial service companies (in U.S. dollars) are related to the stock price changes of these companies. The authors' findings indicate, in the financial services context, negative sentiments predict firms' future stock prices. However, the number of and the positive sentiment of tweets are not correlated with stock prices. The findings of this paper suggest the possible predictive value of social media data on stock prices at the company level.

Author(s):  
Ranjan Kumar Roy ◽  
Koyel Ghosh ◽  
Apurbalal Senapati

Stock price prediction is a critical field used by most business people and common or retail people who tried to increase their money by value with respect to time. People will either gain money or loss their entire life savings in stock market activity. It is a chaos system. Building an accurate model is complex as variation in price depends on multiple factors such as news, social media data, and fundamentals, production of the company, government bonds, historical price and country's economics factor. Prediction model which considers only one factor might not be accurate. Hence incorporating multiple factors news, social media data and historical price might increase the model's accuracy. This paper tried to incorporate the issue when someone implements it as per the model outcome. It cannot give the proper result when someone implements it in real life since capital market data is very sensitive and news-driven. To avoid such a situation, we use the hedging concept when implemented.


Author(s):  
Afiq Izzudin A. Rahim ◽  
Mohd Ismail Ibrahim ◽  
Kamarul Imran Musa ◽  
Sook-Ling Chua ◽  
Najib Majdi Yaacob

Social media is emerging as a new avenue for hospitals and patients to solicit input on the quality of care. However, social media data is unstructured and enormous in volume. Moreover, no empirical research on the use of social media data and perceived hospital quality of care based on patient online reviews has been performed in Malaysia. The purpose of this study was to investigate the determinants of positive sentiment expressed in hospital Facebook reviews in Malaysia, as well as the association between hospital accreditation and sentiments expressed in Facebook reviews. From 2017 to 2019, we retrieved comments from 48 official public hospitals’ Facebook pages. We used machine learning to build a sentiment analyzer and service quality (SERVQUAL) classifier that automatically classifies the sentiment and SERVQUAL dimensions. We utilized logistic regression analysis to determine our goals. We evaluated a total of 1852 reviews and our machine learning sentiment analyzer detected 72.1% of positive reviews and 27.9% of negative reviews. We classified 240 reviews as tangible, 1257 reviews as trustworthy, 125 reviews as responsive, 356 reviews as assurance, and 1174 reviews as empathy using our machine learning SERVQUAL classifier. After adjusting for hospital characteristics, all SERVQUAL dimensions except Tangible were associated with positive sentiment. However, no significant relationship between hospital accreditation and online sentiment was discovered. Facebook reviews powered by machine learning algorithms provide valuable, real-time data that may be missed by traditional hospital quality assessments. Additionally, online patient reviews offer a hitherto untapped indication of quality that may benefit all healthcare stakeholders. Our results confirm prior studies and support the use of Facebook reviews as an adjunct method for assessing the quality of hospital services in Malaysia.


2013 ◽  
Vol 55 (6) ◽  
pp. 757-767 ◽  
Author(s):  
Annie Pettit

This study examined the differences in social media sentiment based on author gender, age and country. After creating ten category-generic datasets, millions of social media verbatims from thousands of websites were collected, cleaned of spam, and scored into five-point sentiment scales. The results showed that women exhibit more positive sentiment, older people exhibit more positive sentiment, and Australians exhibit more positive sentiment, while Americans share more negative sentiment. The differences were small but clear, suggesting that research methodologists should apply correction factors to ensure that their results more accurately reflect differences of opinion as opposed to differences of word choice. Business users of social media data can be reassured that correction factors are not required to improve the accuracy of their research.


Sensors ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (23) ◽  
pp. 7957
Author(s):  
Trang-Thi Ho ◽  
Yennun Huang

Determining the price movement of stocks is a challenging problem to solve because of factors such as industry performance, economic variables, investor sentiment, company news, company performance, and social media sentiment. People can predict the price movement of stocks by applying machine learning algorithms on information contained in historical data, stock candlestick-chart data, and social-media data. However, it is hard to predict stock movement based on a single classifier. In this study, we proposed a multichannel collaborative network by incorporating candlestick-chart and social-media data for stock trend predictions. We first extracted the social media sentiment features using the Natural Language Toolkit and sentiment analysis data from Twitter. We then transformed the stock’s historical time series data into a candlestick chart to elucidate patterns in the stock’s movement. Finally, we integrated the stock’s sentiment features and its candlestick chart to predict the stock price movement over 4-, 6-, 8-, and 10-day time periods. Our collaborative network consisted of two branches: the first branch contained a one-dimensional convolutional neural network (CNN) performing sentiment classification. The second branch included a two-dimensional (2D) CNN performing image classifications based on 2D candlestick chart data. We evaluated our model for five high-demand stocks (Apple, Tesla, IBM, Amazon, and Google) and determined that our collaborative network achieved promising results and compared favorably against single-network models using either sentiment data or candlestick charts alone. The proposed method obtained the most favorable performance with 75.38% accuracy for Apple stock. We also found that the stock price prediction achieved more favorable performance over longer periods of time compared with shorter periods of time.


PsycCRITIQUES ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 61 (51) ◽  
Author(s):  
Daniel Keyes

2014 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kathleen M. Carley ◽  
L. R. Carley ◽  
Jonathan Storrick

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anika Oellrich ◽  
George Gkotsis ◽  
Richard James Butler Dobson ◽  
Tim JP Hubbard ◽  
Rina Dutta

BACKGROUND Dementia is a growing public health concern with approximately 50 million people affected worldwide in 2017 and this number is expected to reach more than 131 million by 2050. The toll on caregivers and relatives cannot be underestimated as dementia changes family relationships, leaves people socially isolated, and affects the finances of all those involved. OBJECTIVE The aim of this study was to explore using automated analysis (i) the age and gender of people who post to the social media forum Reddit about dementia diagnoses, (ii) the affected person and their diagnosis, (iii) relevant subreddits authors are posting to, (iv) the types of messages posted and (v) the content of these posts. METHODS We analysed Reddit posts concerning dementia diagnoses. We used a previously developed text analysis pipeline to determine attributes of the posts as well as their authors to characterise online communications about dementia diagnoses. The posts were also examined by manual curation for the diagnosis provided and the person affected. Furthermore, we investigated the communities these people engage in and assessed the contents of the posts with an automated topic gathering technique. RESULTS Our results indicate that the majority of posters in our data set are women, and it is mostly close relatives such as parents and grandparents that are mentioned. Both the communities frequented and topics gathered reflect not only the sufferer's diagnosis but also potential outcomes, e.g. hardships experienced by the caregiver. The trends observed from this dataset are consistent with findings based on qualitative review, validating the robustness of social media automated text processing. CONCLUSIONS This work demonstrates the value of social media data sources as a resource for in-depth studies of those affected by a dementia diagnosis and the potential to develop novel support systems based on their real time processing in line with the increasing digitalisation of medical care.


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