Research on the Risk Evaluation of Construction Stage Base on Analytical Hierarchy Process for Building Engineering Projects

2014 ◽  
Vol 1046 ◽  
pp. 135-138
Author(s):  
Chang Hong Jin

The thinking way of Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) is to decompound a complicated risk problem according to layers, and to carry through judgment and calculation among the risk factors of the same layer to get the risk level of different schemes, and to provide decision basis for the choice of schemes. The paper discusses the risk evaluation of construction stage for building engineering projects based on Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP), which would be beneficial to perfect the practice of the risk evaluation of construction stage for building engineering projects.

2012 ◽  
Vol 170-173 ◽  
pp. 2292-2297
Author(s):  
Jiao Zhang

The application of analytical hierarchy process (AHP) to the risk analysis of port construction project was investigated. Firstly, the happening probabilities of various risk factors during port construction were calculated. Secondly, the aftereffects of the risks were concluded by consulting the experts. Thirdly, the weight of each risk factor was obtained by AHP. Finally, the total risk of port construction project could be evaluated by fuzzy comprehensive evaluation. This risk analysis method was applied to evaluate the total risk of a real port construction project, and the exemplification verified its feasibility.


Author(s):  
Adnan Sharif ◽  
Abdul Kohar Irwanto ◽  
Tubagus Nur Ahmad Maulana

One of the success indicator for the bank into manage their financing risk is a Non Performing Financing (NPF) level. On the last three years, BJB Syariah’s NPF trend keep increased, then be required a research to find out profile and financing risk level that be faced by BJB Syariah. This research has some objective to: (1) Analyzing of financing risk level that be faced by BJB Syariah and (2) Analyzing, reviewing of management such as mitigation program for financing risk that be faced by BJB Syariah. To analyzing financing risk level has been used CreditRisk+ model, meanwhile to reviewing management and financing risk mitigation has been used internal and external analysis, SWOT analysis (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats) and AHP (Analytical Hierarchy Process). The result from this research is profile and financing risk level of BJB Syariah still quite fit. This matter looks from expected loss period 2012-2014 still can be covered by reserved productive asset that has been done by BJB Syariah. Strategy that needed to be performed as follows enhancement director act to make a financing strategic policy such as financing portfolio spread for industry sectors that has fit prospect, making feasibility valuation for new debtor with more prudent and right on target also strengthen character valuation for new debtor using credit bureau until scorecard method


Author(s):  
Goran Klepac

A business case describes a problem present in all insurance companies: portfolio risk evaluation. Such analysis deals with determining the risk level as well as main risk factors. In the specific case, an insurance company is faced with market share growth and profit decline. Discovered knowledge about the level of risk and main risk factors was not used to increase premium for the riskiest portfolio segments due to a specific market situation, which could lead to loss of clients in the long run. Instead, additional analysis was conducted using data mining methods resulting in a solution, which stopped further profit decline and lowered the risk level for the riskiest portfolio segments. The central role for the unexpected revealed knowledge in the chapter acts as the REFII model. The REFII model is an authorial mathematical model for time series data mining. The main purpose of that model is to automate time series analysis, through a unique transformation model of time series.


2017 ◽  
Vol 15 (2) ◽  
pp. 109-114 ◽  
Author(s):  
Masoumeh Abbasi ◽  
Zahra Mazloum Khorasani ◽  
Kobra Etminani ◽  
Rasool Rahmanvand ◽  
◽  
...  

Kybernetes ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jiaojiao Ge ◽  
Benhong Peng ◽  
Guo Wei ◽  
Anxia Wan

PurposeTo strengthen the correlation analysis on risk factors of drug production safety and reduce the influence due to fuzzy judgments, a safety risk assessment method based on Grey-Analytic Network Process (G-ANP) is proposed.Design/methodology/approachFirst, an index system evaluating drug production safety risk is constructed according to the “Good Manufacture Practice of Medical Products,” next the influence weight of each risk index is derived by using the Analytic Network Process, then the grey number of each risk index is determined by further utilizing the grey statistical theory, and finally the risk level of drug production is obtained.FindingsAn empirical study is conducted and the results support the feasibility and practicability to use G-ANP method for drug production safety risk evaluation. The results of the case show that it is feasible and practical to use G-ANP method for drug production safety risk evaluation.Originality/valueThe innovation lies in the use of G-ANP method to fully consider the interdependence and interaction between the risk factors of drug production safety, which improves the objectivity in judging the risk level of drug production and provides a scientific basis for pharmaceutical manufacturers to formulate further decisions and management in the case of insufficient quantification of risk factors. Based on the findings, more targeted suggestions are made to reduce the production risk of pharmaceutical enterprises.


2012 ◽  
Vol 446-449 ◽  
pp. 3842-3851 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yi Bin Wang ◽  
Hai Jun Lou

In view of of the numerous risk events negatively affecting the project schedule, expenses, performances and other expected projectresults in China’s practice in the international EPC cement engineering projects, and their respective causes,this paper conducts a systematic study of the key risk factors existing in construction environment, market operations, and implementation process of projects and proposes the Enginerring Risk Management Information System (ERMIS) of the international EPC engineering projects, together with its construction model, basic procedures, practical functions and applications, and in particular, the risk database to collect and process information about major risk factors, risk events and countermeasure in the cement engineering projects while the expert system will utilize the Risk Database, Integrated Assessment Software and expert intelligence to collect and process dynamic data related to the risk identification, assessment, decision-making and monitoring and control of an intended building engineering projects. The risk assessment model set up in this paper is to consider the implementation of the software in ERMIS to adopt the upgraded AHP-MFCE technology to solve problems related to the total risk evaluation in the engineering project based on multi-empowerment.


2014 ◽  
Vol 543-547 ◽  
pp. 4291-4293
Author(s):  
Kai Min Yu ◽  
Xin Li Zhou ◽  
Xiang Yang Li ◽  
Shi Long Zhang

. Aircraft spare parts supply is a complicated process and involves many risk factors. To solve the problem of the current risk evaluation methodsineffective risk evaluation of aircraft spare parts supply,this paper applies the method of Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process based on the feature of aircraft spare parts supply. By modeling analytic hierarchy process, fuzzy judgment matrix construction, risk factor ranking and so on, this method solves the risk factors possibility and impacts degree in managing aircraft spare parts supply.


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