Assessing the Public Health Impact and Effectiveness of Interventions To Prevent Salmonella Contamination of Sprouts

2016 ◽  
Vol 79 (1) ◽  
pp. 37-42 ◽  
Author(s):  
HONGLIU DING ◽  
TONG-JEN FU

ABSTRACT Sprouts have been a recurring public health challenge due to microbiological contamination, and Salmonella has been the major cause of sprout-associated outbreaks. Although seed treatment and microbiological testing have been applied as risk reduction measures during sprout production, the extent to which their effectiveness in reducing the public health risks associated with sprouts has not been well investigated. We conducted a quantitative risk assessment to measure the risk posed by Salmonella contamination in sprouts and to determine whether and how mitigation strategies can achieve a satisfactory risk reduction based on the assumption that the risk reduction achieved by a microbiological sampling and testing program at a given sensitivity is equivalent to that achieved by direct inactivation of pathogens. Our results indicated that if the sprouts were produced without any risk interventions, the health impact caused by sprouts contaminated with Salmonella would be very high, with a median annual estimated loss of disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of 691,412. Seed treatment (with 20,000 ppm of calcium hypochlorite) or microbiological sampling and testing of spent irrigation water (SIW) alone could reduce the median annual impact to 734 or 4,856 DALYs, respectively. Combining seed treatment with testing of the SIW would further decrease the risk to 58 DALYs. This number could be dramatically lowered to 3.99 DALYs if sprouts were produced under conditions that included treating seeds with 20,000 ppm of calcium hypochlorite plus microbiological testing of seeds, SIW, and finished products. Our analysis shows that the public health impact due to Salmonella contamination in sprouts could be controlled if seeds are treated to reduce pathogens and microbiological sampling and testing is implemented. Future advances in intervention strategies would be important to improve sprout safety further.

Risk Analysis ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 38 (8) ◽  
pp. 1738-1757 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuhuan Chen ◽  
Régis Pouillot ◽  
Sofia M. Santillana Farakos ◽  
Steven Duret ◽  
Judith Spungen ◽  
...  

2011 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 1150-1173 ◽  
Author(s):  
Richard F. Hector ◽  
George W. Rutherford ◽  
Clarisse A. Tsang ◽  
Laura M. Erhart ◽  
Orion McCotter ◽  
...  

2003 ◽  
Vol 17 (6) ◽  
pp. 659-666 ◽  
Author(s):  
G Lazjuk ◽  
P Verger ◽  
B Gagnière ◽  
Zh Kravchuk ◽  
I Zatsepin ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
pp. tobaccocontrol-2021-056604
Author(s):  
David T Levy ◽  
Rafael Meza ◽  
Zhe Yuan ◽  
Yameng Li ◽  
Christopher Cadham ◽  
...  

IntroductionThe US Food and Drug Administration most recently announced its intention to ban menthol cigarettes and cigars nationwide in April 2021. Implementation of the ban will require evidence that it would improve public health. This paper simulates the potential public health impact of a ban on menthol in cigarettes and cigars through its impacts on smoking initiation, smoking cessation and switching to nicotine vaping products (NVPs).MethodsAfter calibrating an established US simulation model to reflect recent use trends in cigarette and NVP use, we extended the model to incorporate menthol and non-menthol cigarette use under a status quo scenario. Applying estimates from a recent expert elicitation on the behavioural impacts of a menthol ban, we developed a menthol ban scenario with the ban starting in 2021. We estimated the public health impact as the difference between smoking and vaping-attributable deaths and life-years lost in the status quo scenario and the menthol ban scenario from 2021 to 2060.ResultsAs a result of the ban, overall smoking was estimated to decline by 15% as early as 2026 due to menthol smokers quitting both NVP and combustible use or switching to NVPs. These transitions are projected to reduce cumulative smoking and vaping-attributable deaths from 2021 to 2060 by 5% (650 000 in total) and reduce life-years lost by 8.8% (11.3 million). Sensitivity analyses showed appreciable public health benefits across different parameter specifications.Conclusions and relevanceOur findings strongly support the implementation of a ban on menthol in cigarettes and cigars.


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