Interannual variability in abundance of North Sea jellyfish and links to the North Atlantic Oscillation

2004 ◽  
Vol 49 (3) ◽  
pp. 637-643 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christopher P. Lynam ◽  
Stephen J. Hay ◽  
Andrew S. Brierley
2004 ◽  
Vol 61 (9) ◽  
pp. 1558-1564 ◽  
Author(s):  
K Brander ◽  
R Mohn

We examine the effect of introducing an environmental factor — the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) index — into a stock–recruit relationship fitted to 13 North Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua) stocks and discuss the implications for management. The NAO has a significant effect on recruitment of four of the stocks (positive effect on recruitment in the North Sea, Baltic Sea, and Irish Sea; negative effect on recruitment at Iceland), and the pattern of positive and negative effects on all stocks is consistent with the geographic influence of the NAO on environmental variables. Observed variability in the NAO should be taken into account in interpreting the causes of past changes in cod stocks. The NAO index for the previous winter is available by April and thus may provide an early indication of the likely range of cod recruitment in the current year. In areas, such as the North Sea, where the effect is strong, medium- and long-term assessments of recruitment and yield of the cod stocks should consider likely future states of the NAO. The NAO can be used to represent environmental variability in stock projections and thereby provide a better basis for the estimation of risk.


2012 ◽  
Vol 69 (8) ◽  
pp. 2329-2346 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dehai Luo ◽  
Jing Cha ◽  
Steven B. Feldstein

Abstract In this study, the relationship between weather regime transitions and the interannual variability of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) in winter during 1978–2008 is examined by using a statistical approach. Four classical weather regimes—the two phases of the NAO (NAO+, NAO−) and the Scandinavian blocking and Atlantic ridge patterns—are obtained with k-means cluster analysis. Observations show that the transition between the NAO+ and NAO− regimes is markedly different between 1978–90 (P1) and 1991–2008 (P2). Within P1 (P2), the frequency of the NAO− to NAO+ (NAO+ to NAO−) transition events is almost twice that of the NAO+ to NAO− (NAO− to NAO+) transition events. On this basis, further cluster analysis performed for two cases with and without NAO transition events indicates that within P1 (P2) the NAO+ (NAO−) anomaly is markedly enhanced as the NAO− to NAO+ (NAO+ to NAO−) transitions take place. Furthermore, the NAO regime transition is found to be more likely to enhance the eastward shift of the NAO+ (NAO−) anomaly. Thus, it is hypothesized that the interannual change in the winter-mean NAO index from P1 to P2 is related to the intraseasonal NAO− to NAO+ (NAO+ to NAO−) transition events during P1 (P2) because of the variation of the NAO pattern in intensity, location, and frequency (number of days). This finding is also seen from calculations of the winter monthly mean NAO index with and without NAO regime transitions.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pedro Jiménez-Guerrero ◽  
Nuno Ratola

AbstractThe atmospheric concentration of persistent organic pollutants (and of polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons, PAHs, in particular) is closely related to climate change and climatic fluctuations, which are likely to influence contaminant’s transport pathways and transfer processes. Predicting how climate variability alters PAHs concentrations in the atmosphere still poses an exceptional challenge. In this sense, the main objective of this contribution is to assess the relationship between the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) index and the mean concentration of benzo[a]pyrene (BaP, the most studied PAH congener) in a domain covering Europe, with an emphasis on the effect of regional-scale processes. A numerical simulation for a present climate period of 30 years was performed using a regional chemistry transport model with a 25 km spatial resolution (horizontal), higher than those commonly applied. The results show an important seasonal behaviour, with a remarkable spatial pattern of difference between the north and the south of the domain. In winter, higher BaP ground levels are found during the NAO+ phase for the Mediterranean basin, while the spatial pattern of this feature (higher BaP levels during NAO+ phases) moves northwards in summer. These results show deviations up to and sometimes over 100% in the BaP mean concentrations, but statistically significant signals (p<0.1) of lower changes (20–40% variations in the signal) are found for the north of the domain in winter and for the south in summer.


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