scholarly journals Application of Neural Network Technologies for Inflation Forecasting

The paper considers the methodology of forecasting the level of inflation in Russia with the help of analytical platform Deductor Studio. In solving the problem, the mechanisms of data purification from noises and anomalies were applied, which ensured the quality of forecast model construction and receipt of forecast values for five months in advance. The principle of forecasting the time series was also demonstrated: import, seasonal detection, cleaning, smoothing, construction of forecast model, and forecasting the inflation rate for five months ahead.

Author(s):  
E.V. Egorova ◽  
A.N. Rybakov ◽  
M.H. Aksyaitov

Conducted studies of the phased implementation of neural network technologies in the practice of processing radar information, providing for a gradual increase in the level of neural network methods in processing systems, have shown that the use of neural network technologies can improve the quality of radar information processing in the most difficult conditions that require high computing power, when the dynamics of changes in external conditions is very is high and traditional approaches to the creation of processing systems are not able to provide the required level of efficiency. The need to develop theoretical provisions for neural network processing of radar information was revealed, while the main features of information processing in radars determine the relevance of research devoted to preventing the reduction in the quality of radar images in conditions of a large number of targets and a complex «jamming» environment based on the rational use of neural network technology. Analysis of the phased implementation of neural network technologies in radar information processing systems, as well as the use of neural network technology for processing radar information in terms of search and research, makes it possible to increase the efficiency of neural network methods for all processing tasks. Assessment of the required performance of computational tools allows us to single out the main neural network paradigms, the use of which gives a tangible increase in the efficiency of radar information processing, such as multilayer perceptron, Hopfield associative memory and self-organizing Kohonen network, while it is possible to rank the proposed methods in accordance with the required performance, undemanding to computing power and implemented on existing or promising computing facilities with software implementation of neural network paradigms. The analysis of possible directions for improving the quality of radar information processing does not claim to fully cover the entire multifaceted area of such studies. In this paper, only the most universal and widespread neural network paradigms are considered and the main part of possible areas of their application is analyzed. However, the proposed options show that the use of neural network technologies in critical tasks will improve the efficiency of radar information processing for complex, rapidly changing external conditions. The use of the principles of self-learning and the developed apparatus for the synthesis of neural network methods will reduce the duration and complexity of theoretical research, the conduct of which is a necessary and mandatory part of the traditional approach. In the course of further research, some of the proposed methods can be refined, as well as the emergence of new methods that make it possible to more fully use the advantages of neural network technology. Carrying out further research work in these areas will give a powerful stimulating impetus for the creation in the future of highly efficient methods for processing radar information, which can be implemented on the available element base.


Author(s):  
В.Г. Благовещенский ◽  
А.Е. Краснов ◽  
Е.И. Баженов ◽  
М.М. Благовещенская ◽  
С.А. Мокрушин

Рассматривается задача разработки интеллектуальной автоматизированной системы управления качеством кондитерских изделий с использованием нейросетевых технологий на примере производства подсолнечной халвы. The problem of developing an automatic system for managing the quality of food products using neural network technologies is considered on the example of the production of sunflower halva.


2020 ◽  
Vol 96 (3s) ◽  
pp. 585-588
Author(s):  
С.Е. Фролова ◽  
Е.С. Янакова

Предлагаются методы построения платформ прототипирования высокопроизводительных систем на кристалле для задач искусственного интеллекта. Изложены требования к платформам подобного класса и принципы изменения проекта СнК для имплементации в прототип. Рассматриваются методы отладки проектов на платформе прототипирования. Приведены результаты работ алгоритмов компьютерного зрения с использованием нейросетевых технологий на FPGA-прототипе семантических ядер ELcore. Methods have been proposed for building prototyping platforms for high-performance systems-on-chip for artificial intelligence tasks. The requirements for platforms of this class and the principles for changing the design of the SoC for implementation in the prototype have been described as well as methods of debugging projects on the prototyping platform. The results of the work of computer vision algorithms using neural network technologies on the FPGA prototype of the ELcore semantic cores have been presented.


2021 ◽  
Vol 1047 (1) ◽  
pp. 012099
Author(s):  
O E Filatova ◽  
Yu V Bashkatova ◽  
L S Shakirova ◽  
M A Filatov

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Shaobo Lu

Based on the BP neural network and the ARIMA model, this paper predicts the nonlinear residual of GDP and adds the predicted values of the two models to obtain the final predicted value of the model. First, the focus is on the ARMA model in the univariate time series. However, in real life, forecasts are often affected by many factors, so the following introduces the ARIMAX model in the multivariate time series. In the prediction process, the network structure and various parameters of the neural network are not given in a systematic way, so the operation of the neural network is affected by many factors. Each forecasting method has its scope of application and also has its own weaknesses caused by the characteristics of its own model. Secondly, this paper proposes an effective combination method according to the GDP characteristics and builds an improved algorithm BP neural network price prediction model, the research on the combination of GDP prediction model is currently mostly focused on the weighted form, and this article proposes another combination, namely, error correction. According to the price characteristics, we determine the appropriate number of hidden layer nodes and build a BP neural network price prediction model based on the improved algorithm. Validation of examples shows that the error-corrected GDP forecast model is also better than the weighted GDP forecast model, which shows that error correction is also a better combination of forecasting methods. The forecast results of BP neural network have lower errors and monthly prices. The relative error of prediction is about 2.5%. Through comparison with the prediction results of the ARIMA model, in the daily price prediction, the relative error of the BP neural network prediction is 1.5%, which is lower than the relative error of the ARIMA model of 2%.


Author(s):  
Юрій Миколайович Шмельов ◽  
Сергій Ігорович Владов ◽  
Олексій Федорович Кришан ◽  
Станіслав Денисович Гвоздік ◽  
Людмила Іванівна Чижова

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