Does Stock Market Development Promote Economic Growth in Botswana?

2020 ◽  
pp. 1-6
Author(s):  
Erasmus L Owusu ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Financial Deepening ◽  
Bounds Testing ◽  
Stock Market Development ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Stock Value ◽  
Market Capitalisation

This paper examines the empirical linkage between stock market development and sustainable economic growth in Botswana. The paper employs AutoRegression Distributed lags (ARDL)-bounds testing approach and multi-dimensional stock market development proxies to examine this relationship. The paper finds that in the long run, stock market development has a minimal and negative impact on economic growth in Botswana. However, stock market development, especially, market capitalisation development has some short-term impact on economic growth. The paper, however, failed to any impact of stock value traded and the stock value turnover on economic growth. This finding supports the numerous past studies, which have reported negative or inconclusive results on the effects of stock market development on economic growth. The paper, therefore, concludes that there is the need for increasing financial deepening and the reform and diversification of the ownership structure of the capital markets by providing further public and institutional education on the value of stock markets for economic development

scholarly journals Stock Market Development and Economic Growth in India

2014 ◽  
Vol 3 (3) ◽  
pp. 30-46 ◽  
Author(s):  
Srinivasan Palamalai ◽  
Karthigai Prakasam
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Economic Activity ◽  
Positive Influence ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Stock Market Development ◽  
Development Indicators ◽  
Turnover Ratio ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Market Capitalisation

The link between stock market development and economic activity has always been the subject of considerable debate in the field of economics and it raises empirical question whether stock market development influences economic activity or whether it is a consequence of increased economic activity. This study attempts to investigate the direction of causality between stock market development and economic growth in the Indian context. Using the cointegration and causality tests for the period June 1991 to June 2013, the study confirms a well defined long-run equilibrium relationship between the stock market development indicators and economic growth in India. The empirical results show bidirectional causality between market capitalisation and economic growth and unidirectional causality from turnover ratio to economic growth in the long-run and short-run. By and large, it can be inferred that the stock market development indicators viz. market capitalisation and turnover ratio have a positive influence on economic growth in India.

scholarly journals Stock Market Development And Economic Growth In Hong Kong: An Empirical Investigation

2012 ◽  
Vol 11 (7) ◽  
pp. 795 ◽  
Author(s):  
SY Ho ◽  
NM Odhiambo
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Hong Kong ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Stock Market Development ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Market Capitalisation

This paper examines the relationship between stock market development and economic growth using time-series data from Hong Kong. The study uses three proxies of stock market development, namely: stock market capitalisation, stock market traded value, and stock market turnover. Given the weaknesses associated with the traditional co-integration techniques, the current study uses the recently introduced ARDL-bounds testing approach to examine the nexus between stock market development and economic growth in a dynamic setting. The empirical results show that the direction of causality between stock market development and economic growth depends on the proxy used to measure the level of stock market development. When stock market capitalisation is used as a proxy for stock market development, a distinct unidirectional causal flow from stock market development to economic growth is found to prevail, without any feedback. However, when stock market turnover is used, a causal flow from economic growth to stock market development is found to prevail in the short run and in the long run, while a causal flow from stock market development to economic growth is only found in the short run. The causality between stock market traded value and economic growth, however, failed to yield any long-run causal relationship from either direction. Only a short-run causality flow from economic growth to stock market traded value could be detected in this case.

scholarly journals Capital market development and economic growth: Empirical evidence from South Africa

2011 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 217-226 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nicholas Odhiambo
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
South Africa ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Causal Relationship ◽  
Testing Procedure ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Bounds Testing ◽  
Stock Market Development ◽  
Real Gdp Per Capita ◽  
Market Capitalisation

In this paper, the dynamic causal relationship between stock market development and economic growth in South Africa is examined – using the newly developed ARDL-Bounds testing procedure. The study uses three proxies of stock market development, namely stock market capitalisation, stock market traded value and stock market turnover, against real GDP per capita, a proxy for economic growth. Using the 1971-2007 data sets, the empirical results of this study show that the causal relationship between stock market development and economic growth is sensitive to the proxy used for measuring the stock market development. When the stock market capitalisation is used as a proxy for stock market development, the economic growth is found to Granger-cause stock market development. However, when the stock market traded value and the stock market turnover are used, the stock market development seems to Granger-cause economic growth. Overall, the study finds the causal flow from stock market development to economic growth to predominate. The results apply irrespective of whether the causality is estimated in the short-run or in the long-run.

scholarly journals Stock Market Development and Economic Growth in India: An Empirical Analysis

2016 ◽  
Vol 3 (3) ◽  
pp. 30
Author(s):  
Srinivasan Palamalai
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Economic Activity ◽  
Positive Influence ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Stock Market Development ◽  
Development Indicators ◽  
Turnover Ratio ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Market Capitalisation

<p><em>The link between </em><em>stock market development and economic activity has always been the subject of considerable debate in the field of economics and it raises empirical question whether stock market development influences economic activity or whether it is a consequence of increased economic activity. This study attempts to investigate the direction of causality between stock market development and economic growth in the Indian context. Using the cointegration and causality tests for the period June 1991 to June 2013, the study confirms a well defined long-run equilibrium relationship between the stock market development indicators and economic growth in India. The empirical results show bidirectional causality between market capitalisation and economic growth and unidirectional causality from turnover ratio to economic growth in the long-run and short-run. By and large, it can be inferred that the stock market development indicators viz. market capitalisation and turnover ratio have a positive influence on economic growth in India.</em><em></em></p>

Stock Market Development And Economic Growth in Nigeria

1998 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 33-38 ◽  
Author(s):  
John C. Anyanwu
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Risk Management ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Conceptual Framework ◽  
Corporate Control ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Political Environment ◽  
Stock Market Development ◽  
Long Run

Is the stock market development important for economic growth in Nigeria? One line of research argues that it is not; another line stresses the importance of stock market development in allocating capital, acquisition of information about firms, easing risk management, mobilization of savings, and exerting corporate control. Indeed, some theories provide a conceptual framework for the belief that larger, more efficient stock markets boost economic growth. This article examines whether there is a strong empirical association between Nigerian stock market development and long-run economic growth. Our empirical results suggest that the Nigerian stock market development is positively and strongly associated with long-term economic growth. This implies that Nigerian policymakers should make concerted efforts at removing obstacles to stock market development while creating and sustaining an enabling macroeconomic and political environment for the market’s development.

scholarly journals Are Banks And Stock Markets Positively Related? Empirical Evidence From South Africa

2010 ◽  
Vol 26 (6) ◽  
Author(s):  
Nicholas M Odhiambo
Keyword(s):  
South Africa ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Real Income ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Bounds Testing ◽  
Critical Question ◽  
Stock Market Development ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run

<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align: justify; margin: 0in 0.5in 0pt; mso-pagination: none;"><a name="OLE_LINK2"></a><a name="OLE_LINK1"><span style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK2;"><span style="color: black; font-size: 10pt; mso-themecolor: text1;" lang="EN-GB"><span style="font-family: Times New Roman;">In this study, we examine the relationship between banks and stock market development in South Africa.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">&nbsp; </span>The study attempts to answer one critical question: Are banks and stock markets positively related in South Africa? The bank development is proxied by the ratio of the domestic credit to the private sector to GDP (DCP/GDP), while the stock market development is proxied by the ratio of the stock market capitalisation to GDP (CAP/GDP).Unlike the majority of the previous studies, the current study uses the newly introduced ARDL-Bounds testing approach, as proposed by Pesaran<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">&nbsp; </span>et al. (2001), to examine this linkage. The empirical results show that there is a distinct positive relationship between banks and stock markets in South Africa. The results apply irrespective of whether the model is estimated in the short run or in the long run. <span style="mso-bidi-font-style: italic;">Other results show that in the short run, the stock market development in South Africa is positively determined by the level of savings, but negatively affected by the rate of inflation and the lagged values of the stock market development. However, in the long run, the stock market is positively determined by real income and the inflation rate. </span><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">&nbsp;</span></span></span></span></a></p>

scholarly journals Stock market development and economic growth in Tanzania: an ARDL and bound testing approach

2020 ◽  
Vol 5 (3) ◽  
pp. 187-206
Author(s):  
Saganga Mussa Kapaya
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Stock Market Development ◽  
Testing Procedures ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to contribute to empirical evidence by recognizing the importance of stock markets in the financial system and consequently its causality to economic growth and vice versa. Design/methodology/approach The study used the autoregressive distribute lag model (ARDL) with bound testing procedures, the sample covered quarterly time-series data from 2001q1 to 2019q2 in Tanzania. Findings The results suggest that stock market development have both negative and positive causality for both short-run dynamics and long-run relationship with economic growth. Economic growth is found to only cause and relate negatively to liquidity both in the short-run and in the long-run. The results show predominantly a unidirectional causality flow from stock market development to economic growth and finds partial causality flow from economic growth to stock market development, as represented by stock market turnover which proxied liquidity. Originality/value The use of quarterly data to reflect more realistically the dynamics of the variables because yearly data may sometimes cover-up specific dynamics that may be useful for prediction and policy planning. The study uses indices to capture general aspects within the stock market against economic growth as an intuitive way to aggregate the stock market development effects.

scholarly journals An Empirical Analysis of Stock Market Development and Economic Growth: The Case of Macedonia

2016 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 71-81 ◽  
Author(s):  
Darko Lazarov ◽  
Emilija Miteva-Kacarski ◽  
Krume Nikoloski
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Comparative Analysis ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Generalized Method Of Moments ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Stock Market Development ◽  
Republic Of Macedonia ◽  
The Republic

Abstract This paper has two goals. The first goal is to investigate the influence of stock market development on economic growth for a group of 14 transition economies from the Central and South-East European (CSEE) region in the period 2002-2012, while the second is to analyze the main characteristics and specificities of the stock market in the Republic of Macedonia. To fulfil the first goal, we apply panel regression models (fixed and random effects) and a dynamic panel model (Generalized Method of Moments – GMM), while we use a single country approach and comparative analysis to examine the main characteristics of the Macedonian stock market. The estimated results indicate that stock market development is positive and significantly correlated with economic growth. Additionally, the comparative analysis of the stock market in the Republic of Macedonia suggests that the Macedonian stock market is still underdeveloped and faces a number of challenges before it can enter a new phase of development after the negative impact of the global financial crisis. Those challenges include capital market regional integration and the harmonization of legal and institutional frameworks such as bankruptcy procedures, accounting and reporting standards, public sector regulatory bodies, corporate governance and a liberalized trade regime.

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