scholarly journals A MONETARY ANALYSIS OF GHANA: EXAMINING THE IMPACT AND THE CAUSAL RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN MONETARY POLICY AND INFLATION IN GHANA

2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-14
Author(s):  
Edmund Obeng Amaning ◽  
Ali Napari Seidu
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Causal Relationship ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Negative Relationship ◽  
Theory And Practice ◽  
Series Data ◽  
The Impact

Purpose: The main objective of the study was to examine the impact and the causal relationship between monetary policy and inflation in Ghana.Methodology: Annual time series data spanning from 1985 to 2017 with Auto Regressive Distributed Lagged (ARDL) model were employed for the analysis.Findings: The outcome from the study shows that, monetary policy rate had insignificant negative relationship with inflation in both the short and the long run. Again, interest rate, domestic investment and money supply were found to have significant positive impact on inflation in both the long and the short run for a specific period chosen for the study.The causal relationship shows that monetary policy rate granger causes money supply within the period understudyUnique contribution to theory and practice: The study recommends that policy makers need to keenly consider the levels of money supply in Ghana so as to ensure a stable retail price levels. The Government of Ghana needs to evaluate the prevailing levels of retail prices and set the interest rates on the 91-day Treasury bills because they are majorly treated as risk free rate hence determines other interest rates and inflation levels in Ghana.

Relationship between Budget Deficit and Economic Growth: Evidence from Ethiopia

2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 10-15
Author(s):  
Desalegn Emana
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Budget Deficit ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Negative Relationship ◽  
Nominal Exchange Rate ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Long Run

This study examined the relationship between budget deficit and economic growth in Ethiopia using time series data for the period 1991 to 2019 by applying the ARDL bounds testing approach. The empirical results indicate that budget deficit and economic growth in Ethiopia have a negative relationship in the long run, and have a weak positive association in the short run. In line with this, in the long run, a one percent increase in the budget deficit causes a 1.43 percent decline in the economic growth of the country. This result is consistent with the neoclassical view which says budget deficits are bad for economic growth during stimulating periods. Moreover, in the long run, the variables trade openness and inflation have a positive impact on Ethiopian economic growth, and on the other hand, the economic growth of Ethiopia is negatively affected by the nominal exchange rate in the long run. Apart from this, in the long run, gross capital formation and lending interest rates have no significant impact on the economic growth of the country. Therefore, the study recommends the government should manage its expenditure and mobilize the resources to generate more revenue to address the negative impact of the budget deficit on economic growth.

scholarly journals Impact of Monetary Policy on Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence in Vietnam

2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (10) ◽  
Author(s):  
Tang My Sang
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Empirical Evidence ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
The Impact

Through the secondary data collected from 2009 to 2018, the research used Var method to test the impact of monetary policy on economic growth in Vietnam. The results show that there is a relationship between the variables of monetary policy and economic growth, in which the money supply has a positive impact at a high significant level, interest rates have a negative impact on Vietnam economic growth. From the results obtained, the research proposed solutions for operating monetary policy.

scholarly journals The Effects of Money Supply and Interest Rates on Stock Prices, Evidence from Two Behavioral Experiments

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 33
Author(s):  
Christian A. Conrad
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Real Economy ◽  
Behavioral Experiments ◽  
The Impact

What is the impact of interest rate and monetary policy on the stock market? Some studies find a positive impact of expansive monetary policy on stock prices others prove the opposite. This paper examines the effects of monetary expansion and interest rate changes on investment behavior on the stock market by illustrating two behavioral experiments with students. In our experiments the increase of money supply and the decrease of interest rates had a direct positive impact on share prices. These findings support the hypothesis that extreme expansive monetary policy with low, zero or negative interest rates encourage financial bubbles on the stock market. To avoid a crash the exit from such a policy must be slow. As happened in 1929, crashes can damage the financial system and the real economy. Central banks must take this into account in their monetary policy.

IMPACT OF MONETARY POLICY TARGETS ON CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENT IN NIGERIA

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 85-95
Author(s):  
Abdulkarim Musa ◽  
◽  
Uwaleke Uche ◽  
Nwala Nneka ◽  
◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact

This study empirically examines the impact of monetary policy targetson capital market development in Nigeria from 1986-2018. Time series data and econometric tools were used to test for the stationarity and causality effect. The Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag Model (ARDL) and Error Correction Model (ECM) techniques were used to examine the short-run and long-run impact and relationship between Monetary Policy and Capital Market Development in Nigeria. The study revealed that both in the long run and short run Exchange Rate (EXCHR), Inflation Rate (INFR), and Interest Rate in Nigeria (INTR)were negatively related to Capital Market Development (CAMKTD) in Nigeria and they were statistically insignificant in explaining changes in Capital Market Development (CAMKTD) in Nigeria. On the other hand, inthe long run, Money Supply was positively related to Capital Market Development (CAMKTD) in Nigeria and was statistically significant at a 5% level significant while Money Supply (M2) was positively related to Capital Market Development (CAMKTD) in Nigeria both in the long run and short-run and was statistically significant at 5% level of significance. Therefore, the study recommends that government should improve the efficiency and effectiveness of the money supply in Nigeria since it was statistically significant in determining the improvement of Capital Market Development (CAMKTD) in Nigeria.

scholarly journals The influence of indirect monetary tools on price and output: the case of Jordan (1993-2013)

2017 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 8-13
Author(s):  
Usama R. Alqalawi ◽  
Hail A. Jemel ◽  
Ahmad A. Alwaked ◽  
Rasha M.S. Istaiteyeh
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Jel Classification ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Policy Tools ◽  
Open Market ◽  
Output Level ◽  
Repurchase Agreements ◽  
The Impact

This research aims to identify the main monetary policy tools in Jordan, then, to estimate their effect on price and output level. A time series data covering the period between 1993 and 2013 were utilized to estimate the targeted models using two-step regression. Firstly, the authors measured the impact of indirect policy tools on money supply and, secondly, they determined the impact of money supply on price and output levels. Results show that open market operations of the Central Bank of Jordan through issuance of certificates of deposit, especially at the beginning of 1993 and the repurchase agreements have been effective in influencing the money supply in Jordan. Unfortunately, this policy was not able to control the real or nominal output level even though it has an effect on the price level. Keywords: monetary policy, open market operations, required reserve ratio, discount rate, price and output. JEL Classification: E31, E42, E52, E58

scholarly journals THE ANALYSIS OF THE TRANSMISSION MECHANISM OF MONETARY POLICY IN CONVENTIONAL AND SHARIA AGAINST INFLATION IN INDONESIA

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Julika Rahma Siagian
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Financial Services ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Transmission Mechanism ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Analysis Tool ◽  
Short Term

This study aims to analyze the transmission mechanism of monetary policy in Indonesia in controlling inflation, both in terms of sharia and conventional terms. The data used in this empirical study is time series data during 2011:1-2017:4 originating from (Bank Indonesia), Financial Services Authority (FSA) and Ministry of Finance (Kemenkue). The analysis tool used is the Error Correction Model (ECM). This study analyzes the relationship between independent and dependent variables both in the short and long term. The results of this study throuht the asset prices indicate that from conventional monetary variable SBI (certifikat of bank indonesia) variables that have a positive and significant effect on inflation in the short-term. Where as in the long term the variable money supply has a positive effect and variable interest rates on Bank Indonesia, bonds have a positive and significant effect on inflation. In Islamic monetary variables, SBIS have a positive and significant effect on inflation in the short-term. Islamic bond variables (Sukuk) have a negative and significant effect on inflation in the short-term. While in the long-term the variable money supply, Islamic interest rates, and Islamic bonds have a positive and significant effect on inflation.

scholarly journals THE ANALYSIS OF THE TRANSMISSION MECHANISM OF MONETARY POLICY IN CONVENTIONAL AND SHARIA AGAINST INFLATION IN INDONESIA

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 46
Author(s):  
Julika Rahma Siagian
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Financial Services ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Transmission Mechanism ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Analysis Tool ◽  
Short Term

This study aims to analyze the transmission mechanism of monetary policy in Indonesia in controlling inflation, both in terms of sharia and conventional terms. The data used in this empirical study is time series data during 2011:1-2017:4 originating from (Bank Indonesia), Financial Services Authority (FSA) and Ministry of Finance (Kemenkue). The analysis tool used is the Error Correction Model (ECM). This study analyzes the relationship between independent and dependent variables both in the short and long term. The results of this study throuht the asset prices indicate that from conventional monetary variable SBI (certifikat of bank indonesia) variables that have a positive and significant effect on inflation in the short-term. Where as in the long term the variable money supply has a positive effect and variable interest rates on Bank Indonesia, bonds have a positive and significant effect on inflation. In Islamic monetary variables, SBIS have a positive and significant effect on inflation in the short-term. Islamic bond variables (Sukuk) have a negative and significant effect on inflation in the short-term. While in the long-term the variable money supply, Islamic interest rates, and Islamic bonds have a positive and significant effect on inflation.

scholarly journals PENGARUH KEBIJAKAN MONETER DAN FISKAL TERHADAP PENGANGGURAN DI INDONESIA

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 433-442
Author(s):  
Triyas Ayu Hadi Setiowati ◽  
Ris Yuwono Yudo Nugroho
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Impulse Response ◽  
Unemployment Rate ◽  
Government Spending ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Variance Decomposition ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Tax Revenue ◽  
The Impact

The purpose of this study is to analyze the impact of monetary policy as seen from the BI Rate and the money supply (M2, and fiscal policy as seen from government spending and tax revenue in influencing the unemployment rate in Indonesia. The approach used in this research is quantitative. The data used are the BI Rate, the money supply (M2), government spending, tax revenue and unemployment in the form of time series data in an annual form from 1995 to 2019. The method used in this study is the Vector Auto analysis model. Regression (VAR). The stages used in this research test are a stationarity test, optimum lag test, VAR stability test, impulse response test, and variance decomposition test. The results of the impulse response indicate that the unemployment variable responds most to the shock of the interest rate variable (monetary policy) compared to other variables. The results of variance decomposition indicate that the contribution given by the BI Rate to the unemployment rate is the most significant relative to the contribution given by the variable money supply (M2), government spending, and tax revenue

scholarly journals REVENUE DISTRIBUTION FROM FEDERATION ACCOUNT AND MONEY SUPPLY: EVIDENCE FROM NIGERIA

10.26458/1914 ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 65-82
Author(s):  
Cordelia Onyinyechi OMODERO
Keyword(s):  
Money Supply ◽  
Local Governments ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Federal State ◽  
Monetary Policies ◽  
Revenue Allocation ◽  
The Impact

AbstractMoney supply in every economy is very vital for economic growth and stability.  However, the role of revenue distribution in ensuring the success of monetary policies revolving around money supply in Nigeria cannot be over-estimated.  The study examines the impact of revenue distribution to the three tiers of government on money supply (MSS) in Nigeria.  Time series data used for the study estimation span from 1981-2016 and were obtained from CBN statistical bulletin, 2016 edition and World Bank website.  The specific purpose of the study is to establish the extent to which revenue allocation to federal, state, local governments and derivation allowance to the mineral producing states affect money circulating in the Nigerian economy.  Ordinary least square method (OLS) was employed with the aid of SPSS version 20 to test the impact of revenue distribution on money supply.  The findings reveal that revenue allocation to federal government has a significant positive impact on money supply.  Allocation to local government councils has insignificant positive impact on money supply.  On the contrary, allocation to states and the derivation allowance to Niger Delta States exert significant negative influence on MSS in Nigeria.  The study concludes that, revenue allocation to states and derivation allowance contribute to inflation in the country and recommended stringent monetary policies that will determine the percentage of allocated revenue usage by all tiers of government in a particular period to avoid too much money in circulation.   Keywords:  Revenue distribution, allocation, money supply, economic stability, derivation.JEL CODE: E51, E64.  

scholarly journals Impact of Monetary Policy on Bank Credit in Nigeria

2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (3) ◽  
pp. 196-205
Author(s):  
Alade Ayodeji Ademokoya ◽  
Mubaraq Sanni ◽  
Lukman Adebayo Oke ◽  
Segun Abogun
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Bank Credit ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Credit Creation ◽  
Lending Rate ◽  
Ordinary Least Square Regression ◽  
The Impact

Objective – The aim of this study is to examine the impact of monetary policy on credit creation ability of banks in Nigeria. Specifically, it investigates the impact of monetary policy rate, money supply, liquidity ratio, and change in maximum lending rate on bank credit in Nigeria. Design/methodology – A monthly time series data from 2007-2019 were sourced from the Central Bank’s of Nigeria statistical bulletin. The sourced data was subjected to multiple regression analysis using the fully modified ordinary least square regression to estimate the parameters of the model. Results – Findings reveal that money supply significantly and positively influence bank credit in Nigeria; while liquidity ratio significantly but negatively influence bank credit in Nigeria. On the contrary, monetary policy rate and maximum lending rate were found not to significantly affect bank credit in the case of Nigeria.Policy Recommendation - Study therefore, recommend that monetary authorities especially, the Central Bank of Nigeria should pay more attention to lowering the liquidity ratio while increasing money supply in order to engender banks credit creation ability and further stimulate the Nigerian economy for growth.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document