scholarly journals REVENUE DISTRIBUTION FROM FEDERATION ACCOUNT AND MONEY SUPPLY: EVIDENCE FROM NIGERIA

10.26458/1914 ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 65-82
Author(s):  
Cordelia Onyinyechi OMODERO
Keyword(s):  
Money Supply ◽  
Local Governments ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Federal State ◽  
Monetary Policies ◽  
Revenue Allocation ◽  
The Impact

AbstractMoney supply in every economy is very vital for economic growth and stability.  However, the role of revenue distribution in ensuring the success of monetary policies revolving around money supply in Nigeria cannot be over-estimated.  The study examines the impact of revenue distribution to the three tiers of government on money supply (MSS) in Nigeria.  Time series data used for the study estimation span from 1981-2016 and were obtained from CBN statistical bulletin, 2016 edition and World Bank website.  The specific purpose of the study is to establish the extent to which revenue allocation to federal, state, local governments and derivation allowance to the mineral producing states affect money circulating in the Nigerian economy.  Ordinary least square method (OLS) was employed with the aid of SPSS version 20 to test the impact of revenue distribution on money supply.  The findings reveal that revenue allocation to federal government has a significant positive impact on money supply.  Allocation to local government councils has insignificant positive impact on money supply.  On the contrary, allocation to states and the derivation allowance to Niger Delta States exert significant negative influence on MSS in Nigeria.  The study concludes that, revenue allocation to states and derivation allowance contribute to inflation in the country and recommended stringent monetary policies that will determine the percentage of allocated revenue usage by all tiers of government in a particular period to avoid too much money in circulation.   Keywords:  Revenue distribution, allocation, money supply, economic stability, derivation.JEL CODE: E51, E64.  

scholarly journals Effect of Apportioned Federal Revenue on Economic Growth: The Nigerian Experience

2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 172
Author(s):  
Cordelia Onyinyechi Omodero
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Local Governments ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Negative Influence ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Federal State ◽  
State Governments ◽  
State And Local

The major objective of income distribution to the federal, state and local governments in Nigeria is to achieve economic growth which leads to economic development. This ultimate aim of governance in Nigeria appears not to have been achieved due to alleged corruption and mismanagement of the monthly allocated funds. Thus, this study investigates the effect of revenue apportioned to the three levels of government on economic growth in Nigeria.  The study employs annual time series data which cover a period from 1981-2016 and have been collected from CBN Statistical Bulletin, 2016 edition. Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method is used to perform the multi-regression analysis with the aid of e-views version 9. The findings of the study reveal that the federally apportioned revenue to the federal government (FAFG) has a significant positive impact on RGDP while FALG has a robust significant positive impact on RGDP. The result also indicates that FASG has a significant negative influence on RGDP. This leads to a conclusion that mismanagement of funds by the state governments is a cause for concern. Therefore, the study suggests, among others, that revenue sharing formula in the country should be based more on impact of expenditure incurred on executed projects (long term and short term) by each tier of government than on any other parameter to achieve fairness and efficiency in public service delivery at all levels of governance.

scholarly journals The Impact of Internally Generated Revenue on Economic Development in Nigeria

2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 166 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cordelia Onyinyechi Omodero ◽  
Michael Chidiebere Ekwe ◽  
John Uzoma Ihendinihu
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Local Governments ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Series Data ◽  
P Value ◽  
Statistical Tool ◽  
Ex Post ◽  
Test Of Hypotheses ◽  
The Impact

The study investigated the impact of internally generated revenue (IGR) on economic development of Nigeria. The inability of States and Local governments in Nigeria to generate enough revenue to cope with their expenditure responsibilities has been a serious challenge. The improper use of IGR and corruption have remained a setback to economic development in Nigeria, hence the clamour from the citizens. This study made use of ex-post facto research design to specifically examine the impact of total IGR (TIGR), Federal Government Independent Revenue (FGIR), States IGR (SIGR) and Local IGR (LIGR) Governments IGR on the Real Gross Domestic Product (RGDP i.e. proxy for economic development) of the country. The time series data employed covered a period from 1981 to 2016 and were gathered from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) Statistical Bulletin. The statistical tool used for the data analysis was the multi-regression and t-test for test of hypotheses. The findings of the study revealed that TIGR, SIGR and LIGR have robust and significant positive impact (p-value = 0.000 < 0.05) on RGDP, while FGIR also indicated positive and significant influence on RGDP. There was an existence of high correlation between the dependent and independent variables. The study concluded that the positive impact of IGR is not out of place but the physical evidence is apparently lacking and therefore government policies that could eradicate sharp practices in the government system are required. The study also recommends that government official with corruption history should not be allowed to continue to handle responsibilities rather; people with outstanding integrity should be given opportunity to occupy government positions that are sensitive and could help achieve economic development objectives.

scholarly journals A MONETARY ANALYSIS OF GHANA: EXAMINING THE IMPACT AND THE CAUSAL RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN MONETARY POLICY AND INFLATION IN GHANA

2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-14
Author(s):  
Edmund Obeng Amaning ◽  
Ali Napari Seidu
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Causal Relationship ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Negative Relationship ◽  
Theory And Practice ◽  
Series Data ◽  
The Impact

Purpose: The main objective of the study was to examine the impact and the causal relationship between monetary policy and inflation in Ghana.Methodology: Annual time series data spanning from 1985 to 2017 with Auto Regressive Distributed Lagged (ARDL) model were employed for the analysis.Findings: The outcome from the study shows that, monetary policy rate had insignificant negative relationship with inflation in both the short and the long run. Again, interest rate, domestic investment and money supply were found to have significant positive impact on inflation in both the long and the short run for a specific period chosen for the study.The causal relationship shows that monetary policy rate granger causes money supply within the period understudyUnique contribution to theory and practice: The study recommends that policy makers need to keenly consider the levels of money supply in Ghana so as to ensure a stable retail price levels. The Government of Ghana needs to evaluate the prevailing levels of retail prices and set the interest rates on the 91-day Treasury bills because they are majorly treated as risk free rate hence determines other interest rates and inflation levels in Ghana.

scholarly journals Impact of Monetary Policy on Bank Credit in Nigeria

2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (3) ◽  
pp. 196-205
Author(s):  
Alade Ayodeji Ademokoya ◽  
Mubaraq Sanni ◽  
Lukman Adebayo Oke ◽  
Segun Abogun
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Bank Credit ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Credit Creation ◽  
Lending Rate ◽  
Ordinary Least Square Regression ◽  
The Impact

Objective – The aim of this study is to examine the impact of monetary policy on credit creation ability of banks in Nigeria. Specifically, it investigates the impact of monetary policy rate, money supply, liquidity ratio, and change in maximum lending rate on bank credit in Nigeria. Design/methodology – A monthly time series data from 2007-2019 were sourced from the Central Bank’s of Nigeria statistical bulletin. The sourced data was subjected to multiple regression analysis using the fully modified ordinary least square regression to estimate the parameters of the model. Results – Findings reveal that money supply significantly and positively influence bank credit in Nigeria; while liquidity ratio significantly but negatively influence bank credit in Nigeria. On the contrary, monetary policy rate and maximum lending rate were found not to significantly affect bank credit in the case of Nigeria.Policy Recommendation - Study therefore, recommend that monetary authorities especially, the Central Bank of Nigeria should pay more attention to lowering the liquidity ratio while increasing money supply in order to engender banks credit creation ability and further stimulate the Nigerian economy for growth.

Welfare Use in Japan: Trends and Determinants

2007 ◽  
pp. 88
Author(s):  
Wataru Suzuki ◽  
Yanfei Zhou
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Longitudinal Data ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Negative Effects ◽  
Long Time ◽  
Welfare Use ◽  
The Impact

This article represents the first step in filling a large gap in knowledge concerning why Public Assistance (PA) use recently rose so fast in Japan. Specifically, we try to address this problem not only by performing a Blanchard and Quah decomposition on long-term monthly time series data (1960:04-2006:10), but also by estimating prefecturelevel longitudinal data. Two interesting findings emerge from the time series analysis. The first is that permanent shock imposes a continuously positive impact on the PA rate and is the main driving factor behind the recent increase in welfare use. The second finding is that the impact of temporary shock will last for a long time. The rate of the use of welfare is quite rigid because even if the PA rate rises due to temporary shocks, it takes about 8 or 9 years for it to regain its normal level. On the other hand, estimations of prefecture-level longitudinal data indicate that the Financial Capability Index (FCI) of the local government2 and minimum wage both impose negative effects on the PA rate. We also find that the rapid aging of Japan's population presents a permanent shock in practice, which makes it the most prominent contribution to surging welfare use.

scholarly journals The Role of Technical Innovation and Development of Industrial Sector in Korean International Business

2021 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
pp. 55-73
Author(s):  
Ali Mohammed Khalel Al-Shawaf ◽  
Tahira Yasmin
Keyword(s):  
Time Series Data ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Generalized Method Of Moments ◽  
Value Added ◽  
Industrial Sector ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Policy Implications ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Significance Level

With the pace of development and competitiveness, innovation plays an important role to capture the market share. Various countries have effective strategies to enhance Research and Development (R&D) and exchange value added products in international market. So, based on this the aim of this research is to examine the role of R&D, industrial design and charges for intellectual property in innovative exports in South Korean economy. Time series data for the period 1998 to 2017, Ordinary Least Square (OLS) and Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) models are used to determine the dynamic interrelationship among the study variables. In summary, the overall results show that there is co-integration rank of in both trace test and value test at 1% significance level. Moreover, OLS and GMM findings depict that there is significant and positive coefficient for ID & RD which represent that they have positive impact on HT. Whereas, the IP displays a negative and significant relationship with high technology exports accordingly. Lastly, the diagnostic tests show that model is stable for the study time period and result is reliable. The current study also suggests some policy implications which can enhance innovative export products of South Korea while enhancing R&D.

scholarly journals ANALISIS DETERMINASI PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI PROVINSI JAMBI

2018 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Ali Fahmi
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Government Spending ◽  
Capital Investment ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Ordinary Least Square ◽  
Investment Capital

This research aims to analyze the effect of government spending, investment of foreign capital investment, capital investment In Land and labor against growth of Jambi province during the 2004-2015. This research using Time Series data with regression analysis "Ordinary Least Square (OLS) wear EViews 8.  The findings from this research indicate that Labor become the most variable gives a positive impact against the next economic growth, government spending and investment, while investing PMDN PMA gives negative impact on The Economic Growth Of The Province Of Jambi. PMA investment posit no impact and no signikan against economic growth this is not prevalent, but it is possible the investment PMA in Jambi province is relatively small and still no impact in the absorption of the local Workforce. Menyikapai is an effort to boost the Economic growth of the Province of Jambi then needed a special business development policies should be directed at the activities that are labor-intensive to absorb labor as much as possible. Keywords: economic growth, government spending, PMA, the PMDN, and labor.

scholarly journals THE IMPACT OF EXCHANGE RATE VOLATILITY ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN NIGERIA: A DYNAMIC ECONOMETRIC APPROACH

2021 ◽  
pp. 16-40
Author(s):  
Comfort Akinwolere Bukola ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Exchange Rate Volatility ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Balance Of Trade ◽  
Econometric Approach ◽  
The Impact

This study examined the impact of exchange rate volatility on economic growth in Nigeria. The study covers the period of 1986 to 2019. Using time series data, the methodology adopted is the Vector Error Correction Mechanism to explore the impact of exchange rate volatility on the selected macroeconomic variables. The result indicated that exchange rate volatility has a significant impact on economic growth, specifically it has a positive impact on inflation, unemployment and balance of trade. On the other hand it has a negative impact on economic growth and investment. The recommendations made include; that relevant authorities should try to avoid systematic currency devaluations in order to maintain exchange rate volatility at a rate that allows adjustment of the balance of payments.

scholarly journals Competitiveness Analysis and Factors Affecting Trade of Main Commodities between Indonesia and Turkey

2018 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Fauziyah Adzimatinur
Keyword(s):  
Wheat Flour ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Woven Fabrics ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Trade Integration ◽  
Tariff Barrier ◽  
Factors Affecting

This study aims to analyze the competitiveness, trade integration, trade complementarity, and factors affecting the export and import of main commodities between Indonesia and Turkey. Data used in this study is time series data in 1996-2018 and the methods used are Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA), Intra-Industry Trade (IIT), Trade Complementarity Index (TCI), and Ordinary Least Square (OLS). Results of RCA showed Indonesia's main export commodities to Turkey are woven fabrics, stearic acid, palm oil and natural rubber. While IIT showed that there is only one way trade from Indonesia. Import commodities from Turkey are carpets, borax, wheat flour, and tobacco. TCI showed low complementarity between Indonesia�s export and Turkey�s import. GDP per capita has positive impact on exports and imports. The exchange rate has positive impact on exports and negative on imports. Price and tariff rate have negative impact on both exports and imports. Dummy Non-tariff barrier has negative impact on exports while in import side, it only affects the wheat flour negatively. The Government of Indonesia should pursue a strategy in trade cooperation as efforts to reduce trade barriers such as tariffs and non-tariffs for some commodities that have competitiveness in the Turkish market.

scholarly journals The Impact of Remittances on Domestic Investment in Developing Countries: Fresh Evidence From the Asia-pacific Region

2018 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 193-211 ◽  
Author(s):  
Le Thanh Tung
Keyword(s):  
Developing Countries ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Asia Pacific ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Pacific Region ◽  
Domestic Investment ◽  
Asia Pacific Region ◽  
The Impact

Despite the sharply increasing remittances in developing countries (especially in the AsiaPacific region), the relationship between remittances and domestic investment in recipient countries has not been fluently evidenced. This paper aims to fill the empirical gap in the Asia-Pacific region by investigating the impact of remittances on domestic investment with a sample including nineteen developing countries based on time series data from 1980 to 2015. However, our findings contradict some evidence from other regions. The results robustly confirm that remittances have a negative impact on domestic investment in these countries. Our results also indicate that the annual GDP per capita growth, official development assistance, domestic credit, gross saving, and inflation have a positive impact on domestic investment, however, we conclude that the impact of trade openness on domestic investment has a negative sign in the study period. The paper also provides some policy suggestions with regard to remittance flows in this region.

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