scholarly journals Economic Prospects and Policy Challenges for the GCC Countries

Policy Papers ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (65) ◽  
Author(s):  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Activity ◽  
Global Economy ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Oil Prices ◽  
Economic Damage ◽  
Transportation Services ◽  
Human Contact ◽  
Gcc Countries ◽  
Advanced Economies ◽  
Double Impact

The COVID-19 pandemic is having far-reaching consequences for the global economy. Measures to contain the spread of the virus have led to sharp declines in economic activity across the globe, particularly in 2020Q2. The hardest hit sectors have been those requiring intensive human contact, such as tourism, transportation, services, and construction, while, in general, IT-intensive activities have fared better. The economic contraction is most significant in advanced economies. The GCC countries face a double impact from the coronavirus and lower oil prices. GCC authorities have implemented a range of appropriate measures to mitigate the economic damage, including fiscal packages, relaxation of monetary and macroprudential rules, and the injection of liquidity into the banking system, and there are recent signs of improvement. Low oil prices have caused a sharp deterioration of external and fiscal balances, and fiscal strains are evident in countries with higher debt levels.

Global rebalancing to support sustainable growth

2015 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Global Economy ◽  
Oil Prices ◽  
Sustainable Growth ◽  
Low Energy ◽  
Energy Prices ◽  
Current Account Surplus ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Percentage Points ◽  
Advanced Economies ◽  
Global Growth

Significance Risks to its central scenario are more balanced and less skewed to the downside. Global imbalances are shrinking, partly thanks to low oil prices. This is boosting disposable income in oil-importing countries at the expense of oil-exporting ones. The dollar's strength is also helping rebalance the global economy, although the euro-area's growing current account surplus is contentious. Impacts Disinflation has become widespread, especially within advanced economies, but should be temporary. Low energy prices are estimated to add between 0.5-1.0 percentage points to global growth by 2016. A revision of guidelines and rules is required to reduce the risk of another financial crisis.

scholarly journals Prediction prices of basrah light oil using artificial neural networks

2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 2682
Author(s):  
Maysaa Abd Ulkareem Naser
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Economic Activity ◽  
Global Economy ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Supply And Demand ◽  
Oil Prices ◽  
Developed Countries ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Artificial Neural

The global economy is assured to be very sensitive to the volatility of the oil market. The beneficial from oil prices collapse are both consumers and developed countries. Iraq economy is a one-sided economy which is completely depends on oil revenue to charge the economic activity. Hence, the current decline in oil prices will produce serious concerns. Some factors stopped most investment projects, rationalize the recurrent outflow, and decrease the development of economic activity. The study of forecast oil prices is considered among the most complex studies because of the different dynamic variables that affects the strategic goods. Moreover, the laws of economics controlling the prices of oil such as the supply and demand law. Some other variables that control the oil prices are the political conditions when these conditions contribute to the world production. The subject of forecasting has been extremely developing during recent years and some modern methods have been appeared in this regards, for example, Artificial Neural Networks. In this study, an artificial neural network (FFNN) is adopted to extract the complex relationships among divergent parameters that have the abilities to predict oil prices serving as an inputs to the network data collected in this research represent monthly time series data are Oil prices series in (US dollars) over a period of 11 years (2008–2018) in Iraq

Jiangnan Style

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chris Wickham
Keyword(s):  
Middle Ages ◽  
Economic Activity ◽  
Global Economy ◽  
Medieval Period ◽  
The World ◽  
Transnational Connections ◽  
New Research ◽  
Different Parts

Building on impressive new research into the concept of a ‘global middle ages’, this chapter offers insights into how economic formations developed around the world. Drawing on new research on both Chinese and Mediterranean economies in the ‘medieval’ period, it compares structures of economy and exchange in very different parts of the world. The point of such comparisons is not simply to find instances of global economic flows but to understand the logic of medieval economic activity and its intersections with power and culture; and, in so doing, to remind historians that economic structures, transnational connections, and the imbrications of economy and politics do not arrive only with modernity, nor is the shape of the ‘modern’ global economy the only pattern known to humankind.

scholarly journals Use and Limitations of the Reserve Requirement Policy in Montenegro

2014 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 5-20
Author(s):  
Velibor Milošević
Keyword(s):  
Economic Activity ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Policy Instrument ◽  
Transmission Mechanism ◽  
Demand Model ◽  
Reserve Requirement ◽  
Lending Activity ◽  
The Impact

Abstract Since reserve requirement is the only monetary policy instrument used in Montenegro, it has been subject to frequent amendments since the global crisis outbreak. The analysis of the monetary demand model showed that there is an active transmission mechanism of change in the reserve requirement rate on the deposits trend reflects on lending activity. Also, there is a significant impact of FDIs on deposits trending in the banking system, as well as the positive impact of turnover on stock exchange on the deposits and loans trend. Finally, it was found that the financial crisis has caused negative trends in loans and deposits. On the other hand, the impact of changes in the reserve requirement on the economic activity in Montenegro could not be determined. This is primarily due to the fact that the transmission mechanism of the effect of reserve requirement on economic activity is too long to be able to estimate the model that does not allow the dynamics of the independent variables. The second reason is that industrial output index is only an indirect indicator of the economic activity.

scholarly journals Oil Prices and the Global Economy: Is It Different This Time Around?

2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 (277) ◽  
Author(s):  
Kamiar Mohaddes ◽  
◽  
M. Hashem Pesaran ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Global Economy ◽  
Oil Prices

CORONAVIRUS IMPACT ON THE GLOBAL ECONOMY

2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (10) ◽  
pp. 2491-2498
Author(s):  
L.V. Abdrakhmanova ◽  
◽  
E.S. Shchigortsova ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Activity ◽  
Global Economy ◽  
World Economy ◽  
Raw Materials ◽  
Global Scale ◽  
Retail Trade ◽  
Negative Consequences ◽  
Road Transportation ◽  
The World ◽  
Coronavirus Infection

The article analyzes the consequences of the spread of coronavirus infection on the world economy. The high degree of infection and the rapid spread of COVID-19 caused the quarantine of certain cities and regions of the world, and since March 2020, the borders between the countries have been completely closed. This situation, naturally, could not but affect the global economic activity. The crisis caused by the pandemic has led to the fact that the leaders of the countries were forced to first of all pay attention to health problems and seriously reduce funding in other sectors of the economy. The forced self-isolation regime of the population affected all spheres of life, without exception, large and medium, and, especially, small business suffered. The sectors of the economy most affected by the coronavirus pandemic include: air and road transportation, the leisure and entertainment industry, fitness and sports, tourism, hospitality, catering, the education system, the organization of conferences and exhibitions, the provision of personal services to the population, dentistry, retail trade in non-food products, the media and the production of printed materials, etc. Statistical data on the number of cases of new coronavirus infection by country (as well as those who recovered and died from it) are today not so much of a medical nature as evidence of a deepening global economic crisis. The decline in production volumes on a global scale entails a reduction in the global consumption of most types of industrial raw materials and energy carriers. According to analysts’ forecasts, the possibility of a quick return to the previous economic activity is not foreseen, negative processes may continue for the next several years. The COVID-19 pandemic is a serious test of the readiness of the world economy to effectively resolve global problems, overcome the negative consequences of the spread of the virus and focus on those positive opportunities, the development of which can lead to economic growth in the long term. One of these promising areas of economic development is the further digitalization of society, the development of new digital technologies.

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