scholarly journals Comparison Analysis of Facebook’s Prophet, Amazon’s DeepAR+ and CNN-QR Algorithms for Successful Real-World Sales Forecasting

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 67-84
Author(s):  
Emir Žunić ◽  
Kemal Korjenić ◽  
Sead Delalić ◽  
Zlatko Šubara
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Real World ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Real Data ◽  
Detailed Comparison ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Comparison Analysis ◽  
Forecasting Models ◽  
The Creation ◽  
Analysis Of Time Series

By successfully solving the problem of forecasting, the processes in the work of various companies are optimized and savings are achieved. In this process, the analysis of time series data is of particular importance. Since the creation of Facebook’s Prophet, and Amazon’s DeepAR+ and CNN-QR forecasting models, algorithms have attracted a great deal of attention. The paper presents the application and comparison of the above algorithms for sales forecasting in distribution companies. A detailed comparison of the performance of algorithms over real data with different lengths of sales history was made. The results show that Prophet gives better results for items with a longer history and frequent sales, while Amazon’s algorithms show superiority for items without a long history and items that are rarely sold.

Dimensionality Reduction for the Analysis of Time Series Data from Wind Turbines

2017 ◽  
pp. 317-339 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jochen Garcke ◽  
Rodrigo Iza-Teran ◽  
Marvin Marks ◽  
Mandar Pathare ◽  
Dirk Schollbach ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Dimensionality Reduction ◽  
Wind Turbines ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Analysis Of Time Series

Italy's disappearing ‘red regions’: a longitudinal analysis

Modern Italy ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 25 (3) ◽  
pp. 279-297
Author(s):  
Bruno Bracalente ◽  
Davide Pellegrino ◽  
Antonio Forcina
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Extended Period ◽  
Minimal Change ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Regional Government ◽  
Left Wing ◽  
Recent Period ◽  
Left And Right ◽  
Analysis Of Time Series

Using an analysis of time series data over an extended period, this article describes the waning strength of the left-wing vote in Italy's ‘red regions’. By analysing changes to the provincial share of the vote for successive principal left-wing parties over the period 1953–2018, the degree of continuity in relation to the left's traditional territorial entrenchment is assessed. It becomes clear that after an extended period of minimal change, in more recent years there has been an increasing disruption of previous patterns. A thorough analysis of voter transitions during the 2001–19 period in Umbria, the first red region in which the left lost control of the regional government, shows that in this case the gradual weakening of the traditional left-wing ‘vote of belonging’ has experienced a dramatic acceleration during the more recent period. This has been expressed in a growing rate of abstention, vote-switching according to the type of electoral contest, and a marked propensity to vote for populist movements and parties on both the left and right.

scholarly journals How to Identify Varying Lead–Lag Effects in Time Series Data: Implementation, Validation, and Application of the Generalized Causality Algorithm

Algorithms ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (4) ◽  
pp. 95 ◽  
Author(s):  
Johannes Stübinger ◽  
Katharina Adler
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Structural Breaks ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Consumer Price Index ◽  
Real Data ◽  
Linear Mapping ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Lag Effects ◽  
Silver Metal

This paper develops the generalized causality algorithm and applies it to a multitude of data from the fields of economics and finance. Specifically, our parameter-free algorithm efficiently determines the optimal non-linear mapping and identifies varying lead–lag effects between two given time series. This procedure allows an elastic adjustment of the time axis to find similar but phase-shifted sequences—structural breaks in their relationship are also captured. A large-scale simulation study validates the outperformance in the vast majority of parameter constellations in terms of efficiency, robustness, and feasibility. Finally, the presented methodology is applied to real data from the areas of macroeconomics, finance, and metal. Highest similarity show the pairs of gross domestic product and consumer price index (macroeconomics), S&P 500 index and Deutscher Aktienindex (finance), as well as gold and silver (metal). In addition, the algorithm takes full use of its flexibility and identifies both various structural breaks and regime patterns over time, which are (partly) well documented in the literature.

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