scholarly journals Identifying climatic drivers of tropical forest dynamics

2015 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 3145-3176 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Aubry-Kientz ◽  
V. Rossi ◽  
F. Wagner ◽  
B. Hérault

Abstract. In the context of climate changes, identifying and then predicting the impacts of climatic drivers on tropical forest dynamics is becoming a matter of urgency. We used a coupled model of tropical tree growth and mortality, calibrated with forest dynamic data from the 20 year study site of Paracou, French Guiana, in order to introduce and test a set of climatic variables. Three major climatic drivers were identified through the variable selection procedure: drought, water saturation and temperature. Drought decreased annual growth and mortality rates, high precipitation increased mortality rates and high temperature decreased growth. Interactions between key functional traits, stature and climatic variables were investigated, showing best resistance to drought for trees with high wood density and for trees with small current diameters. Our results highlighted strong long-term impacts of climate variables on tropical forest dynamics, suggesting potential deep impacts of climate changes during the next century.

2015 ◽  
Vol 12 (19) ◽  
pp. 5583-5596 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Aubry-Kientz ◽  
V. Rossi ◽  
F. Wagner ◽  
B. Hérault

Abstract. In the context of climate change, identifying and then predicting the impacts of climatic drivers on tropical forest dynamics is becoming a matter of urgency. To look at these climate impacts, we used a coupled model of tropical tree growth and mortality, calibrated with forest dynamic data from the 20-year study site of Paracou, French Guiana, in order to introduce and test a set of climatic variables. Three major climatic drivers were identified through the variable selection procedure: drought, water saturation and temperature. Drought decreased annual growth and mortality rates, high precipitation increased mortality rates and high temperature decreased growth. Interactions between key functional traits, stature and climatic variables were investigated, showing best resistance to drought for trees with high wood density and for trees with small current diameters. Our results highlighted strong long-term impacts of climate variables on tropical forest dynamics, suggesting potential deep impacts of climate changes during the next century.


2009 ◽  
Vol 106 (44) ◽  
pp. 18621-18626 ◽  
Author(s):  
W. J. Kress ◽  
D. L. Erickson ◽  
F. A. Jones ◽  
N. G. Swenson ◽  
R. Perez ◽  
...  

Vegetatio ◽  
1995 ◽  
Vol 121 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 41-52 ◽  
Author(s):  
Soedarsono Riswan ◽  
Lies Hartanti

2008 ◽  
Vol 148 (5) ◽  
pp. 748-760 ◽  
Author(s):  
A.R. Huete ◽  
N. Restrepo-Coupe ◽  
P. Ratana ◽  
K. Didan ◽  
S.R. Saleska ◽  
...  

2004 ◽  
Vol 20 (01) ◽  
pp. 51-72 ◽  
Author(s):  
Richard Condit ◽  
Salomon Aguilar ◽  
Andres Hernandez ◽  
Rolando Perez ◽  
Suzanne Lao ◽  
...  

2005 ◽  
Vol 62 (8) ◽  
pp. 785-796 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sylvie Gourlet-Fleury ◽  
Lilian Blanc ◽  
Nicolas Picard ◽  
Plinio Sist ◽  
Jan Dick ◽  
...  

2018 ◽  
Vol 34 (3) ◽  
pp. 157-175 ◽  
Author(s):  
John B. Vincent ◽  
Benjamin L. Turner ◽  
Clant Alok ◽  
Vojtech Novotny ◽  
George D. Weiblen ◽  
...  

Abstract:Long-term forest dynamics plots in the tropics tend to be situated on stable terrain. This study investigated forest dynamics on the north coast of New Guinea where active subduction zones are uplifting lowland basins and exposing relatively young sediments to rapid weathering. We examined forest dynamics in relation to disturbance history, topography and soil nutrients based on partial re-census of the 50-ha Wanang Forest Dynamics Plot in Papua New Guinea. The plot is relatively high in cations and phosphorus but low in nitrogen. Soil nutrients and topography accounted for 29% of variation in species composition but only 4% of variation in basal area. There were few areas of high biomass and most of the forest was comprised of small-diameter stems. Approximately 18% of the forest was less than 30 y old and the annual tree mortality rate of nearly 4% was higher than in other tropical forests in South-East Asia and the neotropics. These results support the reputation of New Guinea's forests as highly dynamic, with frequent natural disturbance. Empirical documentation of this hypothesis expands our understanding of tropical forest dynamics and suggests that geomorphology might be incorporated in models of global carbon storage especially in regions of unstable terrain.


Science ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 368 (6487) ◽  
pp. 165-168 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nadja Rüger ◽  
Richard Condit ◽  
Daisy H. Dent ◽  
Saara J. DeWalt ◽  
Stephen P. Hubbell ◽  
...  

Understanding tropical forest dynamics and planning for their sustainable management require efficient, yet accurate, predictions of the joint dynamics of hundreds of tree species. With increasing information on tropical tree life histories, our predictive understanding is no longer limited by species data but by the ability of existing models to make use of it. Using a demographic forest model, we show that the basal area and compositional changes during forest succession in a neotropical forest can be accurately predicted by representing tropical tree diversity (hundreds of species) with only five functional groups spanning two essential trade-offs—the growth-survival and stature-recruitment trade-offs. This data-driven modeling framework substantially improves our ability to predict consequences of anthropogenic impacts on tropical forests.


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