Changes in the temperature sensitivity of surface ozone production: a case-study based on long-term observations in Austria

Author(s):  
Monika Mayer ◽  
Christoph Staehle ◽  
Christian Schmidt ◽  
Harald E. Rieder

<p>As the production of ozone in surface air is determined by ambient temperature and by the prevalent chemical regime, a very different temperature dependence of ozone production emerges for NO<sub>x</sub> and VOC limited regions. In this study we evaluated the temperature sensitivity of ozone production for rural, suburban as well as urban sites in Austria on seasonal basis. The analysis is based on observational data from Austrian monitoring networks for the time period spanning 1990 – 2018. Surface ozone, nitrogen oxides (NO<sub>x</sub>), daily sums of global radiation and minimum daily temperature are used as covariates in our study. The observed NO<sub>x</sub> to VOC ratio at individual sites is variable over time due to changes in precursor emissions and/or the variability of meteorological parameters such as mixing layer height. At the site level we relate the temperature sensitivity of ozone production to the daily mean NO<sub>x</sub> mixing ratio and the daily minimum temperature. This information allows us to determine the impact of past/future temperature changes on surface ozone  abundance in the context of reductions of NO<sub>x</sub> emissions and changing methane backgrounds.</p>

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christoph Stähle ◽  
Monika Mayer ◽  
Christian Schmidt ◽  
Jessica Kult ◽  
Vinzent Klaus ◽  
...  

<p>As the production of ozone in surface air is determined by ambient temperature and by the prevalent chemical regime, a very different temperature dependence of ozone production emerges for nitrogen oxides (NO<sub>x</sub>) and volatile organic compounds (VOC) limited regions. In this study we evaluated the temperature sensitivity of ozone production for rural, suburban as well as urban sites in Austria on seasonal basis. The analysis is based on 30 years of observational data from Austrian monitoring networks for the time period 1990 – 2019. Reductions in precursor emissions as observed in 2020 in Austria due to the pandemic will be used to test the obtained results. Surface ozone, NO<sub>x</sub>, daily sums of global radiation and minimum daily temperature are used as covariates in our study. The observed NO<sub>x</sub> to VOC ratio at individual sites is variable over time due to changes in precursor emissions and/or the variability of meteorological parameters such as mixing layer height. At the site level we relate the temperature sensitivity of ozone production to the daily mean NO<sub>x</sub> mixing ratio and the daily minimum temperature. This information allows us to determine the impact of past/future temperature changes on surface ozone abundance in the context of reductions of NO<sub>x</sub> emissions and changing methane backgrounds.</p>


2013 ◽  
Vol 13 (24) ◽  
pp. 12215-12231 ◽  
Author(s):  
Z. S. Stock ◽  
M. R. Russo ◽  
T. M. Butler ◽  
A. T. Archibald ◽  
M. G. Lawrence ◽  
...  

Abstract. We examine the effects of ozone precursor emissions from megacities on present-day air quality using the global chemistry–climate model UM-UKCA (UK Met Office Unified Model coupled to the UK Chemistry and Aerosols model). The sensitivity of megacity and regional ozone to local emissions, both from within the megacity and from surrounding regions, is important for determining air quality across many scales, which in turn is key for reducing human exposure to high levels of pollutants. We use two methods, perturbation and tagging, to quantify the impact of megacity emissions on global ozone. We also completely redistribute the anthropogenic emissions from megacities, to compare changes in local air quality going from centralised, densely populated megacities to decentralised, lower density urban areas. Focus is placed not only on how changes to megacity emissions affect regional and global NOx and O3, but also on changes to NOy deposition and to local chemical environments which are perturbed by the emission changes. The perturbation and tagging methods show broadly similar megacity impacts on total ozone, with the perturbation method underestimating the contribution partially because it perturbs the background chemical environment. The total redistribution of megacity emissions locally shifts the chemical environment towards more NOx-limited conditions in the megacities, which is more conducive to ozone production, and monthly mean surface ozone is found to increase up to 30% in megacities, depending on latitude and season. However, the displacement of emissions has little effect on the global annual ozone burden (0.12% change). Globally, megacity emissions are shown to contribute ~3% of total NOy deposition. The changes in O3, NOx and NOy deposition described here are useful for quantifying megacity impacts and for understanding the sensitivity of megacity regions to local emissions. The small global effects of the 100% redistribution carried out in this study suggest that the distribution of emissions on the local scale is unlikely to have large implications for chemistry–climate processes on the global scale.


2010 ◽  
Vol 10 (14) ◽  
pp. 6645-6660 ◽  
Author(s):  
P. Huszar ◽  
D. Cariolle ◽  
R. Paoli ◽  
T. Halenka ◽  
M. Belda ◽  
...  

Abstract. In general, regional and global chemistry transport models apply instantaneous mixing of emissions into the model's finest resolved scale. In case of a concentrated source, this could result in erroneous calculation of the evolution of both primary and secondary chemical species. Several studies discussed this issue in connection with emissions from ships and aircraft. In this study, we present an approach to deal with the non-linear effects during dispersion of NOx emissions from ships. It represents an adaptation of the original approach developed for aircraft NOx emissions, which uses an exhaust tracer to trace the amount of the emitted species in the plume and applies an effective reaction rate for the ozone production/destruction during the plume's dilution into the background air. In accordance with previous studies examining the impact of international shipping on the composition of the troposphere, we found that the contribution of ship induced surface NOx to the total reaches 90% over remote ocean and makes 10–30% near coastal regions. Due to ship emissions, surface ozone increases by up to 4–6 ppbv making 10% contribution to the surface ozone budget. When applying the ship plume parameterization, we show that the large scale NOx decreases and the ship NOx contribution is reduced by up to 20–25%. A similar decrease was found in the case of O3. The plume parameterization suppressed the ship induced ozone production by 15–30% over large areas of the studied region. To evaluate the presented parameterization, nitrogen monoxide measurements over the English Channel were compared with modeled values and it was found that after activating the parameterization the model accuracy increases.


2005 ◽  
Vol 5 (5) ◽  
pp. 1187-1203 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. Ordóñez ◽  
H. Mathis ◽  
M. Furger ◽  
S. Henne ◽  
C. Hüglin ◽  
...  

Abstract. An Analysis of Covariance (ANCOVA) was used to derive the influence of the meteorological variability on the daily maximum ozone concentrations at 12 low-elevation sites north of the Alps in Switzerland during the four seasons in the 1992–2002 period. The afternoon temperature and the morning global radiation were the variables that accounted for most of the meteorological variability in summer and spring, while other variables that can be related to vertical mixing and dilution of primary pollutants (afternoon global radiation, wind speed, stability or day of the week) were more significant in winter. In addition, the number of days after a frontal passage was important to account for ozone build-up in summer and ozone destruction in winter. The statistical model proved to be a robust tool for reducing the impact of the meteorological variability on the ozone concentrations. The explained variance of the model, averaged over all stations, ranged from 60.2% in winter to 71.9% in autumn. The year-to-year variability of the seasonal medians of daily ozone maxima was reduced by 85% in winter, 60% in summer, and 50% in autumn and spring after the meteorological adjustment. For most stations, no significantly negative trends (at the 95% confidence level) of the summer medians of daily O3 or Ox (O3+NO2) maxima were found despite the significant reduction in the precursor emissions in Central Europe. However, significant downward trends in the summer 90th percentiles of daily Ox maxima were observed at 6 sites in the region around Zürich (on average −0.73 ppb yr-1 for those sites). The lower effect of the titration by NO as a consequence of the reduced emissions could partially explain the significantly positive O3 trends in the cold seasons (on average 0.69 ppb yr-1 in winter and 0.58 ppb yr-1 in autumn). The increase of Ox found for most stations in autumn (on average 0.23 ppb yr-1) and winter (on average 0.39 ppb yr-1) could be due to increasing European background ozone levels, in agreement with other studies. The statistical model was also able to explain the very high ozone concentrations in summer 2003, the warmest summer in Switzerland for at least ~150 years. On average, the measured daily ozone maximum was 15 ppb (nearly 29%) higher than in the reference period summer 1992–2002, corresponding to an excess of 5 standard deviations of the summer means of daily ozone maxima in that period.


2018 ◽  
Vol 18 (3) ◽  
pp. 2175-2198 ◽  
Author(s):  
Emmanouil Oikonomakis ◽  
Sebnem Aksoyoglu ◽  
Giancarlo Ciarelli ◽  
Urs Baltensperger ◽  
André Stephan Henry Prévôt

Abstract. High surface ozone concentrations, which usually occur when photochemical ozone production takes place, pose a great risk to human health and vegetation. Air quality models are often used by policy makers as tools for the development of ozone mitigation strategies. However, the modeled ozone production is often not or not enough evaluated in many ozone modeling studies. The focus of this work is to evaluate the modeled ozone production in Europe indirectly, with the use of the ozone–temperature correlation for the summer of 2010 and to analyze its sensitivity to precursor emissions and meteorology by using the regional air quality model, the Comprehensive Air Quality Model with Extensions (CAMx). The results show that the model significantly underestimates the observed high afternoon surface ozone mixing ratios (≥ 60 ppb) by 10–20 ppb and overestimates the lower ones (< 40 ppb) by 5–15 ppb, resulting in a misleading good agreement with the observations for average ozone. The model also underestimates the ozone–temperature regression slope by about a factor of 2 for most of the measurement stations. To investigate the impact of emissions, four scenarios were tested: (i) increased volatile organic compound (VOC) emissions by a factor of 1.5 and 2 for the anthropogenic and biogenic VOC emissions, respectively, (ii) increased nitrogen oxide (NOx) emissions by a factor of 2, (iii) a combination of the first two scenarios and (iv) increased traffic-only NOx emissions by a factor of 4. For southern, eastern, and central (except the Benelux area) Europe, doubling NOx emissions seems to be the most efficient scenario to reduce the underestimation of the observed high ozone mixing ratios without significant degradation of the model performance for the lower ozone mixing ratios. The model performance for ozone–temperature correlation is also better when NOx emissions are doubled. In the Benelux area, however, the third scenario (where both NOx and VOC emissions are increased) leads to a better model performance. Although increasing only the traffic NOx emissions by a factor of 4 gave very similar results to the doubling of all NOx emissions, the first scenario is more consistent with the uncertainties reported by other studies than the latter, suggesting that high uncertainties in NOx emissions might originate mainly from the road-transport sector rather than from other sectors. The impact of meteorology was examined with three sensitivity tests: (i) increased surface temperature by 4 ∘C, (ii) reduced wind speed by 50 % and (iii) doubled wind speed. The first two scenarios led to a consistent increase in all surface ozone mixing ratios, thus improving the model performance for the high ozone values but significantly degrading it for the low ozone values, while the third scenario had exactly the opposite effects. Overall, the modeled ozone is predicted to be more sensitive to its precursor emissions (especially traffic NOx) and therefore their uncertainties, which seem to be responsible for the model underestimation of the observed high ozone mixing ratios and ozone production.


2007 ◽  
Vol 7 (23) ◽  
pp. 6061-6073 ◽  
Author(s):  
P. Zanis ◽  
E. Katragkou ◽  
M. Kanakidou ◽  
B. E. Psiloglou ◽  
S. Karathanasis ◽  
...  

Abstract. This study investigates the effects of the total solar eclipse of 29 March 2006 on surface air-quality levels over Greece based on observations at a number of sites in conjunction with chemical box modelling and 3-D air-quality modelling. Emphasis is given on surface ozone and other photooxidants at four Greek sites Kastelorizo, Finokalia (Crete), Pallini (Athens) and Thessaloniki, which are located at gradually increasing distances from the path of the eclipse totality and are characterized by different air pollution levels. The eclipse offered the opportunity to test our understanding of air pollution build-up and the response of the gas-phase chemistry of photo-oxidants during a photolytical perturbation using both a photochemical box model and a regional air-quality offline model based on the modeling system WRF/CAMx. At the relatively unpolluted sites of Kastelorizo and Finokalia no clear signal of the solar eclipse on surface O3, NO2 and NO concentrations can be deduced from the observations while there is no correlation of observed O3, NO2 and NO with observed global radiation. The box and regional model simulations for the two relatively unpolluted sites indicate that the calculated changes in net ozone production rates between eclipse and non eclipse conditions are rather small compared to the observed short-term ozone variability. Furthermore the simulated ozone lifetime is in the range of a few days at these sites and hence the solar eclipse effects on ozone can be easily masked by local and regional transport. At the polluted sites of Thessaloniki and Pallini, the solar eclipse effects on O3, NO2 and NO concentrations are revealed from both the measurements and modeling with the net effect being a decrease in O3 and NO and an increase in NO2 as NO2 formed from the reaction of O3 with NO while at the same time NO2 is not efficiently photolysed. This result is also supported by a positive correlation of observed global radiation with O3 and NO and a negative correlation with NO2. It is evident from the 3-D air quality modeling over Greece that the maximum effects of the eclipse on O3, NO2 and NO are reflected on the large urban agglomerations of Athens, and Thessaloniki where the maximum of the emissions occur.


2013 ◽  
Vol 13 (7) ◽  
pp. 17675-17715 ◽  
Author(s):  
Z. S. Stock ◽  
M. R. Russo ◽  
T. M. Butler ◽  
A. T. Archibald ◽  
M. G. Lawrence ◽  
...  

Abstract. We examine the effects of ozone precursor emissions from megacities on present-day air quality using the global chemistry-climate model UM-UKCA. The sensitivity of megacity and regional ozone to local emissions, both from within the megacity and from surrounding regions, is important for determining air quality across many scales, which in turn is key for reducing human exposure to high levels of pollutants. We use two methods, perturbation and tagging, to quantify the impact of megacity emissions on global ozone. We also completely redistribute the anthropogenic emissions from megacities, to compare changes in local air quality going from centralised, densely populated megacities to decentralised, lower density urban areas. Focus is placed not only on how changes to megacity emissions affect regional and global NOx and O3, but also on changes to NOy deposition and to local chemical environments which are perturbed by the emission changes. The perturbation and tagging methods show broadly similar megacity impacts on total ozone, with the perturbation method underestimating the contribution partially because it perturbs the background chemical environment. The total redistribution of megacity emissions locally shifts the chemical environment towards more NOx-limited conditions in the megacities, which is more conducive to ozone production, and monthly mean surface ozone is found to increase up to 30% in megacities, depending on latitude and season. However, the displacement of emissions has little effect on the global annual ozone burden at the surface (0.12% change). Globally, megacity emissions are shown to increase total NOy deposition by ~3%. The changes in O3, NOx and NOy deposition described here are useful for quantifying megacity impacts and for understanding the sensitivity of megacity regions to local emissions. The small global effects of the 100% redistribution carried out in this study suggest that the distribution of emissions on the local scale is unlikely to have large implications for chemistry-climate processes on the global scale.


2008 ◽  
Vol 5 (4) ◽  
pp. 268 ◽  
Author(s):  
P. D. Hamer ◽  
D. E. Shallcross ◽  
A. Yabushita ◽  
M. Kawasaki

Environmental context. The study of surface photochemical ozone production on the Antarctic continent has direct relevance to climate change and general air quality and is scientifically noteworthy given the otherwise pristine nature of this environmental region. The identification of possible direct ozone emissions from snow surfaces and their contribution to the already active photochemical pollution present there represents a unique physical phenomenon. This process could have wider global significance for other snow-covered regions and therefore for global climate change. Abstract. O(3P) emissions due to photolysis of nitrate were recently identified from ice surfaces doped with nitric acid. O(3P) atoms react directly with molecular oxygen to yield ozone. Therefore, these results may have direct bearing on photochemical activity monitored at the South Pole, a site already noted for elevated summertime surface ozone concentrations. NO2 is also produced via the photolysis of nitrate and the firn air contains elevated levels of NO2, which will lead to direct emission of NO2. A photochemical box model was used to probe what effect O(3P) and NO2 emissions have on ozone concentrations within the South Pole boundary layer. The results suggest that these emissions could account for a portion of the observed ozone production at the South Pole and may explain the observed upward fluxes of ozone identified there.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Amir H. Souri ◽  
Caroline R. Nowlan ◽  
Gonzalo González Abad ◽  
Lei Zhu ◽  
Donald R. Blake ◽  
...  

Abstract. The absence of up-to-date emissions has been a major impediment to accurately simulate aspects of atmospheric chemistry, and to precisely quantify the impact of changes of emissions on air pollution. Hence, a non-linear joint analytical inversion (Gauss–Newton method) of both volatile organic compounds (VOC) and nitrogen oxides (NOx) emissions is made by exploiting the Smithsonian Astrophysical Observatory (SAO) Ozone Mapping and Profile Suite Nadir Mapper (OMPS-NM) formaldehyde (HCHO) and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) Ozone Monitoring Instrument (OMI) tropospheric nitrogen dioxide (NO2) retrievals during the Korea-United States Air Quality (KORUS-AQ) campaign over East Asia in May–June 2016. Effects of the chemical feedback of NOx and VOCs on both NO2 and HCHO are implicitly included through iteratively optimizing the inversion. Emissions estimates are greatly improved (averaging kernels > 0.8) over medium- to high-emitting areas such as cities and dense vegetation. The amount of total NOx emissions is mainly dictated by values reported in the MIX-Asia 2010 inventory. After the inversion we conclude a decline in the emissions (before, after, change) for China (87.94 ± 44.09 Gg/day, 68.00 ± 15.94 Gg/day, −23 %), North China Plain (NCP) (27.96 ± 13.49 Gg/day, 19.05 ± 2.50 Gg/day, −32 %), Pearl River Delta (PRD) (4.23 ± 1.78 Gg/day, 2.70 ± 0.32 Gg/day, −36 %), Yangtze River Delta (YRD) (9.84 ± 4.68 Gg/day, 5.77 ± 0.51 Gg/day, −41 %), Taiwan (1.26 ± 0.57 Gg/day, 0.97 ± 0.33 Gg/day, −23 %), and Malaysia (2.89 ± 2.77 Gg/day, 2.25 ± 1.34 Gg/day, −22 %), all of which have effectively implemented various stringent regulations. In contrast, South Korea (2.71 ± 1.34 Gg/day, 2.95 ± 0.58 Gg/day, +9 %) and Japan (3.53 ± 1.71 Gg/day, 3.96 ± 1.04 Gg/day, +12 %) experience an increase in NOx emissions potentially due to risen number of diesel vehicles and new thermal power plants. We revisit the well-documented positive bias of the model in terms of biogenic VOC emissions in the tropics. The inversion, however, suggests a larger growth of VOC (mainly anthropogenic) over NCP (25 %) than previously reported (6 %) relative to 2010. The spatial variation in both magnitude and sign of NOx and VOC emissions results in non-linear responses of ozone production/loss. Due to simultaneous decrease/increase of NOx/VOC over NCP and YRD, we observe an ~ 53 % reduction in the ratio of the chemical loss of NOx (LNOx) to the chemical loss of ROx (RO2 + HO2) transitioning toward NOx-sensitive regimes, which in turn, reduces/increases the afternoon chemical loss/production of ozone through NO2 + OH (−0.42 ppbv hr−1)/HO2 (and RO2) + NO (+0.31 ppbv hr−1). Conversely, a combined decrease in NOx and VOC emissions in Taiwan, Malaysia, and the southern China suppresses the formation of ozone. Ultimately, model simulations indicate enhancements of maximum daily 8-hour average (MDA8) surface ozone over China (0.62 ppbv), NCP (4.56 ppbv), and YRD (5.25 ppbv) due to the non-linear ozone chemistry, suggesting that emissions standards should be extended to regulate VOCs to be able to curb ozone production rates. Taiwan, Malaysia, and PRD stand out as the regions undergoing lower MDA8 ozone levels resulting from the NOx reductions occurring predominantly in NOx-sensitive regimes.


2009 ◽  
Vol 9 (6) ◽  
pp. 26735-26776
Author(s):  
P. Huszar ◽  
D. Cariolle ◽  
R. Paoli ◽  
T. Halenka ◽  
M. Belda ◽  
...  

Abstract. In general, regional and global chemistry transport models apply instantaneous mixing of emissions into the model's finest resolved scale. In case of a concentrated source, this could result in erroneous calculation of the evolution of both primary and secondary chemical species. Several studies discussed this issue in connection with emissions from ships and aircrafts. In this study, we present an approach to deal with the non-linear effects during dispersion of NOx emissions from ships. It represents an adaptation of the original approach developed for aircraft NOx emissions, which uses an exhaust tracer to trace the amount of the emitted species in the plume and applies an effective reaction rate for the ozone production/destruction during the plume's dilution into the background air. In accordance with previous studies examining the impact of international shipping on the composition of the troposphere, we found that the contribution of ship induced surface NOx to the total reaches 90% over remote ocean and makes 10–30% near coastal regions. Due to ship emissions, surface ozone increases by up to 4–6 ppbv making 10% contribution to the surface ozone budget. When applying the ship plume parameterization, we showed that the large scale NOx decreases and the ship NOx contribution is reduced by up to 20–25%. Similar decrease was found in case of O3. The plume parameterization suppressed the ship induced ozone production by 15–30% over large areas of the focused region. To evaluate the presented parameterization, nitrogen oxide measurements over the English Channel were compared with modeled values and it was found that after activating the parameterization the model accuracy increases.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document