Post-Wildfire Numerical Modeling for Flood Risk Management

Author(s):  
Ian Floyd ◽  
Stanford Gibson ◽  
Gaurav Savant ◽  
Alejandro Sanchez ◽  
Ronald Heath

<p>The number and intensity of large wildfires in is a growing concern in the United States.  Over the past decade, the National Interagency Fire Centre (NSTC, 2015) reported increases of large fires in every western state in the arid and semi-arid western U.S.  Wildfires, remove vegetation, reduce organic soil horizons to ash, extirpate microbial communities, alters soil structure, and potential development of hydrophobic soils.  These processes all increase water and sediment runoff. Post-wildfire environments can cause a spectrum of hydrologic and sedimentation responses ranging from no response to catastrophic floods and deadly debris flows. Numerical modellers have developed a variety of Newtonian and non-Newtonian shallow-water algorithms to simulate each of these physical processes – making it difficult to model the range of post-wildfire flood conditions and understand model assumption and limitations. This makes a modular non-Newtonian computation library advantageous. This work presents a flexible, numerical model, library framework ‘DebrisLib’ to simulate large-scale, post-wildfire non-Newtonian flows using diverse shallow-water parents code architecture. This work presents the non-Newtonian model framework effectiveness by linking it with two different modelling frameworks, specifically the diffusive-wave one-dimensional and two-dimensional Hydrologic Engineering Center River Analysis System (HEC-RAS), and shallow-water two-dimensional Adaptive Hydraulics (AdH) numerical models. The model library was verified and validated using three flume experiments for mud flows, hyperconcentrated flows, and debris flows under steady and unsteady flow conditions. Additionally the shallow-water model library framework linked with the 1D Hydrologic Engineering Centre Hydrologic Modelling System (HEC-HMS) successfully predicted the 2018 post-wildfire flooding and debris flows following the 2017 Thomas Fire near Santa Barbara, California.</p>

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ian E. Floyd ◽  
Alejandro Sanchez ◽  
Stanford Gibson ◽  
Gaurav Savant

Abstract. Wildfires increase flow and sediment load through removal of vegetation, alteration of soils, decreasing infiltration, and production of ash commonly generating a wide variety of geophysical flows (i.e., hyperconcentrated flows, mudflows, debris flows, etc.). Numerical modellers have developed a variety of Non-Newtonian algorithms to simulate each of these processes, and therefore, it can be difficult to understand the assumptions and limitations in any given model or replicate work. This diversity in the processes and approach to non-Newtonian simulations makes a modular computation library approach advantageous. A computational library consolidates the algorithms for each process and discriminates between these processes and algorithms with quantitative non-dimensional thresholds. This work presents a flexible numerical library framework (DebrisLib) to simulate large-scale, post-wildfire, non-Newtonian geophysical flows using both kinematic wave and shallow-water models. DebrisLib is derived from a variety of non-Newtonian closure approaches that predict a range of non-Newtonian flow conditions. It is a modular code designed to operate with any Newtonian, shallow-water parent code architecture. This paper presents the non-Newtonian model framework and demonstrates its effectiveness by calling it from two very different modelling frameworks developed by the U.S. Army Corp of Engineers (USACE), specifically, within the one-dimensional and two-dimensional Hydrologic Engineering Centre River Analysis System (HEC-RAS) and two-dimensional Adaptive Hydraulics (AdH) numerical models. The development and linkage-architecture were verified and validated using two non-Newtonian flume experiments selected to represent a range of non-Newtonian flow conditions (i.e., hyperconcentrated flow, mudflow, debris flow) commonly associated with post-wildfire flooding.


Proceedings ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 2 (20) ◽  
pp. 1307
Author(s):  
Malika Benslimane ◽  
Saâdia Benmamar ◽  
André Paquier

In the world, floods are at the forefront of natural hazard. Urban areas are often at risk of flooding and just as often unprepared for management. Flood modeling is nowadays a very important topic in the theme of water, it inevitably involves the numerical resolution of the shallow water equations derived from the Navier Stocks equations governing flows. Two-dimensional shallow water models with porosity appear as an interesting path for the large-scale modeling of floodplains with urbanized areas. The porosity accounts for the reduction in storage and in the exchange sections due to the presence of buildings and other structures in the floodplain. The introduction of a porosity into the two-dimensional shallow water equations leads to modified expressions for the fluxes and source terms. An extra source term appears in the momentum equation. The developed solution method consists in solving the two-dimensional shallow water equations with porosity via a finite volume scheme solving the conservative form of the equations which can be reduced to a calculation of flux through an edge, a problem that can be approached by a one-dimensional problem in the normal direction at the edge (Riemann problem).


Water ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (16) ◽  
pp. 2152
Author(s):  
Gonzalo García-Alén ◽  
Olalla García-Fonte ◽  
Luis Cea ◽  
Luís Pena ◽  
Jerónimo Puertas

2D models based on the shallow water equations are widely used in river hydraulics. However, these models can present deficiencies in those cases in which their intrinsic hypotheses are not fulfilled. One of these cases is in the presence of weirs. In this work we present an experimental dataset including 194 experiments in nine different weirs. The experimental data are compared to the numerical results obtained with a 2D shallow water model in order to quantify the discrepancies that exist due to the non-fulfillment of the hydrostatic pressure hypotheses. The experimental dataset presented can be used for the validation of other modelling approaches.


Water ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (6) ◽  
pp. 750
Author(s):  
Antonio Pasculli ◽  
Jacopo Cinosi ◽  
Laura Turconi ◽  
Nicola Sciarra

The current climate change could lead to an intensification of extreme weather events, such as sudden floods and fast flowing debris flows. Accordingly, the availability of an early-warning device system, based on hydrological data and on both accurate and very fast running mathematical-numerical models, would be not only desirable, but also necessary in areas of particular hazard. To this purpose, the 2D Riemann–Godunov shallow-water approach, solved in parallel on a Graphical-Processing-Unit (GPU) (able to drastically reduce calculation time) and implemented with the RiverFlow2D code (version 2017), was selected as a possible tool to be applied within the Alpine contexts. Moreover, it was also necessary to identify a prototype of an actual rainfall monitoring network and an actual debris-flow event, beside the acquisition of an accurate numerical description of the topography. The Marderello’s basin (Alps, Turin, Italy), described by a 5 × 5 m Digital Terrain Model (DTM), equipped with five rain-gauges and one hydrometer and the muddy debris flow event that was monitored on 22 July 2016, were identified as a typical test case, well representative of mountain contexts and the phenomena under study. Several parametric analyses, also including selected infiltration modelling, were carried out in order to individuate the best numerical values fitting the measured data. Different rheological options, such as Coulomb-Turbulent-Yield and others, were tested. Moreover, some useful general suggestions, regarding the improvement of the adopted mathematical modelling, were acquired. The rapidity of the computational time due to the application of the GPU and the comparison between experimental data and numerical results, regarding both the arrival time and the height of the debris wave, clearly show that the selected approaches and methodology can be considered suitable and accurate tools to be included in an early-warning system, based at least on simple acoustic and/or light alarms that can allow rapid evacuation, for fast flowing debris flows.


2011 ◽  
Vol 687 ◽  
pp. 194-208 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrew McC. Hogg ◽  
William K. Dewar ◽  
Pavel Berloff ◽  
Marshall L. Ward

AbstractThe interaction of a dipolar vortex with topography is examined using a combination of analytical solutions and idealized numerical models. It is shown that an anticyclonic vortex may generate along-topography flow with sufficient speeds to excite hydraulic control with respect to local Kelvin waves. A critical condition for Kelvin wave hydraulic control is found for the simplest case of a 1.5-layer shallow water model. It is proposed that in the continuously stratified case this mechanism may allow an interaction between low mode vortices and higher mode Kelvin waves, thereby generating rapidly converging isopycnals and hydraulic jumps. Thus, Kelvin wave hydraulic control may contribute to the flux of energy from mesoscale to smaller, unbalanced, scales of motion in the ocean.


2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
LMD

We show how the two-layer moist-convective rotating shallow water model (mcRSW), which proved to be a simple and robust tool for studying effects of moist convection on large-scale atmospheric motions, can be improved by including, in addition to the water vapour, precipitable water, and the effects of vaporisation, entrainment, and precipitation. Thus improved mcRSW becomes cloud-resolving. It is applied, as an illustration, to model the development of instabilities of tropical cyclone-like vortices.


Author(s):  
Tomas Carlotto ◽  
Pedro Luiz Borges Chaffe ◽  
Camyla Innocente dos Santos ◽  
Seungsoo Lee

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (7) ◽  
pp. 505
Author(s):  
Gangfeng Wu ◽  
Ying-Tien Lin ◽  
Ping Dong ◽  
Kefeng Zhang

In this study, a two-dimensional depth-integrated non-hydrostatic wave model is developed. The model solves the governing equations with hydrostatic and non-hydrostatic pressure separately. The velocities under hydrostatic pressure conditions are firstly obtained and then modified using the biconjugate gradient stabilized method. The hydrostatic front approximation (HFA) method is used to deal with the wave breaking issue, and after the wave breaks, the non-hydrostatic model is transformed into the hydrostatic shallow water model, where the non-hydrostatic pressure and vertical velocity are set to zero. Several analytical solutions and laboratory experiments are used to verify the accuracy and robustness of the developed model. In general, the numerical simulations are in good agreement with the theoretical or experimental results, which indicates that the model is able to simulate large-scale wave motions in practical engineering applications.


2010 ◽  
Vol 62 (9) ◽  
pp. 1998-2008 ◽  
Author(s):  
L. Cea ◽  
M. Garrido ◽  
J. Puertas ◽  
A. Jácome ◽  
H. Del Río ◽  
...  

This paper presents the experimental validation and the application to a real industrial catchment of a two-dimensional depth-averaged shallow water model used for the computation of rainfall-runoff transformation from direct precipitation data. Instead of using the common approach in flood inundation modelling, which consists in computing the water depth and velocity fields given the water discharge, in this study the rainfall intensity is imposed directly in the model, the surface runoff being generated automatically. The model considers infiltration losses simultaneously with flow simulation. Gullies are also included in the model, although the coupling between the surface runoff and the sewer network is not considered. Experimental validation of the model is presented in several simplified laboratory configurations of urban catchments, in which the surface runoff has been measured for different hyetographs. The application to a real industrial catchment includes a sewer network flow component, which is solved with the SWMM model. The numerical predictions of the discharge hydrograph generated by a 12 hours storm event are compared with field measurements, providing encouraging results.


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