Large-Scale Circulation Anomalies Associated with Extreme Heat in South Korea and Southern–Central Japan

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ke Xu
Keyword(s):  
South Korea ◽  
East Asia ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Extreme Heat ◽  
Central Japan ◽  
Large Scale Circulation ◽  
Westerly Jet ◽  
Anomalous Anticyclone ◽  
Wave Trains ◽  
Circulation Anomalies

<p>    The large-scale circulation anomalies associated with extreme heat (EH) in South Korea and southern–central Japan are examined using data during the time period 1979–2016. Statistical analysis indicates that EH days in these two regions are concentrated in July and August and tend to occur simultaneously. These EH days are therefore combined to explore the physical mechanisms leading to their occurrence. The composite results indicate that the anomalous atmospheric warming during EH days is dominantly caused by a significant subsidence anomaly, which is associated with a deep anomalous anticyclone over East Asia. Further investigation of the evolution of circulation anomalies suggests that the anomalous anticyclone over East Asia related to EH is primarily initiated by wave trains originating from upstream regions, which propagate eastward along the Asian westerly jet in the upper troposphere. These wave trains can be categorized into two types that are characterized by the precursor anticyclonic and cyclonic anomalies, respectively, over central Asia. The distinction between these two types of wave train can be explained by the wavenumbers of the Rossby waves, which are modulated by both the intensity and the shape of the Asian westerly jet as the background basic flow.</p>

scholarly journals Large-Scale Circulation Anomalies Associated with Extreme Heat in South Korea and Southern–Central Japan

2019 ◽  
Vol 32 (10) ◽  
pp. 2747-2759 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ke Xu ◽  
Riyu Lu ◽  
Baek-Jo Kim ◽  
Jong-Kil Park ◽  
Jiangyu Mao ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
South Korea ◽  
East Asia ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Central Japan ◽  
Large Scale Circulation ◽  
Westerly Jet ◽  
Anomalous Anticyclone ◽  
Southern Central ◽  
Wave Trains ◽  
Circulation Anomalies

Abstract The large-scale circulation anomalies associated with extreme heat (EH) in South Korea and southern–central Japan are examined using data during the time period 1979–2016. Statistical analysis indicates that EH days in these two regions are concentrated in July and August and tend to occur simultaneously. These EH days are therefore combined to explore the physical mechanisms leading to their occurrence. The composite results indicate that the anomalous atmospheric warming during EH days is dominantly caused by a significant subsidence anomaly, which is associated with a deep anomalous anticyclone over East Asia. Further investigation of the evolution of circulation anomalies suggests that the anomalous anticyclone over East Asia related to EH is primarily initiated by wave trains originating from upstream regions, which propagate eastward along the Asian westerly jet in the upper troposphere. These wave trains can be categorized into two types that are characterized by the precursor anticyclonic and cyclonic anomalies, respectively, over central Asia. The distinction between these two types of wave train can be explained by the wavenumbers of the Rossby waves, which are modulated by both the intensity and the shape of the Asian westerly jet as the background basic flow.

Comparison of the Circulation Anomalies Associated with Wet and Dry Extreme Heat in South Korea and Southern–Central Japan

2020 ◽  
pp. 1-54
Author(s):  
Ke Xu ◽  
Riyu Lu ◽  
Ying Na ◽  
Baek-Jo Kim ◽  
Jiangyu Mao ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
South Korea ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Type A ◽  
Wave Pattern ◽  
Extreme Heat ◽  
Statistical Characteristics ◽  
Formation Mechanisms ◽  
Type B ◽  
Central Japan ◽  
Southern Central

AbstractThis study indicates a significant variation of humidity on extreme heat (EH) days over South Korea and southern–central Japan during the period 1979–2018. EH is therefore classified into three categories: type-A and type-B wet EH, and dry EH. Their statistical characteristics and formation mechanisms are investigated and compared. Our results suggest that the type-A wet EH is the most destructive, with the highest intensity, longest duration and broadest spatial scale covering most of mid-latitude East Asia. By contrast, type-B wet EH and dry EH are weaker, shorter and mostly confined to northeast Asia. Despite these differences in characteristics, both types of wet EH are caused by the poleward advance of tropical warm and humid air masses as a result of the northward displacement of the Asian westerly jet. By contrast, dry EH is primarily induced by an increase in adiabatic heating and solar radiation resulting from anomalous subsidence.The three types of EH are associated with distinct large-scale teleconnections over Eurasia. A stable and persistent tripole wave pattern is responsible for type-A wet EH. The activity of atmospheric blocking over northern Europe, where the pattern originates, plays a crucial role in maintaining this pattern. By contrast, type-B wet EH and dry EH are related to a quadruple pattern and a Silk Road pattern-like teleconnection, respectively, both lasting for a shorter time. These results highlight the diversity of EH, which suggests that multiple local and large-scale circulations should be considered to improve the forecast skills for EH.

Large-Scale Circulation Anomalies and Intraseasonal Oscillations Associated with Long-Lived Extreme Heat Events in South China

2017 ◽  
Vol 31 (1) ◽  
pp. 213-232 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ruidan Chen ◽  
Zhiping Wen ◽  
Riyu Lu
Keyword(s):  
South China ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Eastern China ◽  
Intraseasonal Oscillation ◽  
Extreme Heat ◽  
Western Pacific ◽  
Large Scale Circulation ◽  
Extreme Heat Events ◽  
Circulation Anomalies ◽  
The Western Pacific

Abstract South China experiences extreme heat (EH) most frequently in eastern China. This study specifically explores the large-scale circulation anomalies associated with long-lived EH events in south China. The results show that there is an anomalous cyclone (anticyclone) and active (inactive) convection over south China (the western Pacific) before the EH onset; then, an anticyclone develops and moves northwestward and dominates over south China on the onset day. The anomalous anticyclone maintains its strength over south China and then diminishes and is replaced by another cyclone migrating from the western Pacific after the final day of the EH event. Consequently, the temperature increases over south China around the onset day and is anomalously warm for approximately 10 days on average and then decreases shortly thereafter. The fluctuating anomalies over south China and the western Pacific are intimately related to two intraseasonal oscillation (ISO) modes, namely, the 5–25- and 30–90-day oscillations, which originate from the tropical western Pacific and propagate northwestward. The 5–25-day oscillation is vital to triggering and terminating EH, accounting for approximately half of the original temperature and circulation anomaly transitions. The 30–90-day oscillation favors the persistent warming during EH events, accounting for approximately one-third of the original prolonged warming and anticyclonic anomaly. This result suggests that different ISO modes play crucial roles at different stages of the events. Moreover, a higher annual frequency of long-lived EH days in south China is associated with the transition phase from El Niño to La Niña. It is suggested that both medium-range and interannual forecasting of long-lived EH in south China are possible.

Circulation Features Associated with the Record-Breaking Rainfall over South China in June 2017

2018 ◽  
Vol 31 (18) ◽  
pp. 7209-7224 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jianqi Sun ◽  
Jing Ming ◽  
Mengqi Zhang ◽  
Shui Yu
Keyword(s):  
East Asia ◽  
South China ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Wave Train ◽  
Western Pacific Subtropical High ◽  
Early Summer ◽  
Intense Rainfall ◽  
Maritime Continent ◽  
Anomalous Anticyclone

In June 2017, south China suffered from intense rainfall that broke the record spanning the previous 70 years. In this study, the large-scale circulations associated with the south China June rainfall are analyzed. The results show that the anomalous Pacific–Japan (PJ) pattern is a direct influence on south China June rainfall or East Asian early summer rainfall. In addition, the Australian high was the strongest in June 2017 during the past 70 years, which can increase the equatorward flow to northern Australia and activate convection over the Maritime Continent. Enhanced convection over the Maritime Continent can further enhance local meridional circulation along East Asia, engendering downward motion over the tropical western North Pacific and enhancing the western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH) and upward motion over south China, which increases the rainfall therein. In addition, a strong wave train pattern associated with North Atlantic air–sea interaction was observed in June 2017 at Northern Hemispheric mid- to high latitudes; it originated from the North Atlantic and propagated eastward to East Asia, resulting in an anomalous anticyclone over the Mongolian–Baikal Lake region. This anomalous anticyclone produced strong northerly winds over East Asia that encountered the southerly associated with the WPSH over south China, thereby favoring intense rainfall over the region. Case studies of June 2017 and climate research based on data during 1979–2017 and 1948–2017 indicate that the extremities of the atmospheric circulation over south Europe and Australian high and their coupling with the PJ pattern could be responsible for the record-breaking south China rainfall in June 2017.

scholarly journals Probabilistic Heat Wave Forecast Based on a Large-Scale Circulation Pattern Using the TIGGE Data

2020 ◽  
Vol 35 (2) ◽  
pp. 367-377
Author(s):  
Hyun-Ju Lee ◽  
Woo-Seop Lee ◽  
Jong Ahn Chun ◽  
Hwa Woon Lee
Keyword(s):  
South Korea ◽  
Heat Wave ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Heat Waves ◽  
Ensemble Prediction ◽  
Multimodel Ensemble ◽  
Large Scale Circulation ◽  
Circulation Patterns ◽  
Wave Forecast ◽  
Prediction Systems

Abstract Forecasting extreme events is important for having more time to prepare and mitigate high-impact events because those are expected to become more frequent, intense, and persistent around the globe in the future under the warming atmosphere. This study evaluates the probabilistic predictability of the heat wave index (HWI) associated with large-scale circulation patterns for predicting heat waves over South Korea. The HWI, reflecting heat waves over South Korea, was defined as the vorticity difference at 200 hPa between the South China Sea and northeast Asia. The forecast of up to 15 days from five ensemble prediction systems and the multimodel ensemble has been used to predict the probabilistic HWI during the summers of 2011–15. The ensemble prediction systems consist of different five operational centers, and the forecast skill of the probability of heat waves occurrence was assessed using the Brier skill score (BSS), relative operating characteristics (ROC), and reliability diagram. It was found that the multimodel ensemble is capable of better predicting the large-scale circulation patterns leading to heat waves over South Korea than any other single ensemble system through all forecast lead times. We concluded that the probabilistic forecast of the HWI has promise as a tool to take appropriate and timely actions to minimize the loss of lives and properties from imminent heat waves.

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