Moment Magnitude Estimates in the Marmara Sea Region (NW Turkey) Using Coda Wave Analysis

Author(s):  
Berkan Özkan ◽  
Tuna Eken ◽  
Peter Gaebler ◽  
Tuncay Taymaz

<p>Reliable magnitude estimates of the earthquakes are of utmost important for seismic hazard studies, particularly, in tectonically active areas such as the Marmara region of NW Turkey. The region is highly populated and contains a major fault associated with destructive earthquakes. In this study we apply a coda wave modelling approach based on acoustic radiative transfer theory to calculate the source displacement spectrum, and thus to obtain moment magnitudes of small earthquakes within the Marmara region. We examine three-component waveform data extracted from local earthquakes with magnitudes 2.5 ≤ M<sub>L</sub> ≤ 5.7 recorded in a radius of 150 km. For each event in the region, an inversion is performed in several different frequency bands. Our results indicate significant similarity with the local magnitude values reported by the KOERI. Consequently, we focus on establishing a novel relation between M<sub>w</sub> and M<sub>L</sub> in the Marmara region.</p>

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Seyhan Okuyan Akcan ◽  
Can Zulfikar

<p>Marmara region located on the western end of the North Anatolian Fault Zone is a tectonically active region in Turkey. There have been frequent severe earthquakes in the region and will continue to occur. There was no serious earthquake in the region after the 1999 Mw7.4 Kocaeli and Mw7.2 Düzce earthquakes. A Marmara Sea offshore earthquake Mw5.8 close to Silivri Town of Istanbul Metropolitan City has occurred on September 26, 2019 daytime at 13:59. The earthquake happened at the coordinate of 40.87N – 28.19E with a depth of 7.0km on the Kumburgaz segment of the North Anatolian Fault line. It was felt in almost all Marmara region. In some settlements in Istanbul City, slight to moderate damages were observed. A foreshock earthquake of Mw4.8 occurred on the same segment on 24 September, 2019. 150 aftershock events ranging from M1.0 to M4.1 have been recorded within the 24 hours after the mainshock. The ground motions have been recorded in the region by the several institutions including AFAD (Disaster and Emergency Management Presidency), KOERI (Kandilli Observatory and Earthquake Research Institute) and IGDAS (Istanbul Gas Distribution Industry and Trade Inc.). The ground motion records and selected parameters have been examined in this study. The ground motion parameters (MMI, PGA, PGV, Sa, Sv, Sd) distribution have been achieved and checked by the recent NGA-West2 ground motion prediction equations (GMPEs); ASK2014, CY2014 and BSSA2014. The compatibility of the GMPEs for a moderate size Marmara Sea earthquake has been examined.</p>


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Esref Yalcinkaya ◽  
Marco Bohnhoff ◽  
Patricia Martinez-Garzon ◽  
Ethem Görgün ◽  
Ali Pınar ◽  
...  

<p>Imaging and characterizing transform fault sections that are capable to produce large earthquakes is crucial for evaluating seismic hazard and subsequent risk for nearby population centers. The Marmara Fault near the megacity of Istanbul is one of the best defined seismic gaps in the world and its complexity is captured by seismological, geodetic and geological data. A local dense seismic array (MONGAN) provides a high resolution data set allowing to image the Ganos fault separating two different geological units in the western Marmara region. First results of the waveform analysis from this array present systematic early-phase arrivals at the seismic stations located on the northern block of the Ganos fault which comprises geological units including older and more compact materials than that of the southern block. This difference in the arrival times causes the earthquake epicenters to shift further north than the real locations. In this preliminary results, the early-arrivals will be evaluated according to source azimuths and distances, and possible earth models and wave paths will be discussed. The results have implications for rupture directivity during future earthquakes as input for hazard and risk models for the Marmara region.</p>


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tohid Nozadkhalil ◽  
Semih Ergintav ◽  
Ziyadin Cakir ◽  
Ugur Dogan ◽  
Thomas R. Walter

<p>Westward migration of M>7 earthquakes along North Anatolian fault with the latest one, Izmit 1999 event, led focus of studies to the seismic gap in the main Marmara fault. For this purpose, the coastal ranges of the Marmara Sea, mainly Istanbul megacity, are renowned for earthquake and ground motion hazards, associated with faulting, landslides and sediment compaction processes. Ground motion associated with man-made activities, however, have been barely studied. The Thrace region of Turkey, some 50 km to the North of the Marmara Sea, expresses pronounced ground motions affecting large areas. We use the Persistent InSAR technique to monitor the Marmara region using Sentinel-1 satellites’ TOPSAR data between 2014 and 2020. Results for both ascending (T131 and T58) and descending (T36) tracks reveals 10 mm/yr rate of subsidence in the Thrace region of Turkey, affecting an area ~15400km² with dimensions of ~110 km by ~140 km. There are two plausible mechanisms for this deformation; (1) excessive pumping of groundwater for agricultural purposes, or (2) natural gas extraction activities taking place in the region. To better understand the observed deformation source, as a first step, we model potential gas extraction by volume change. No piezometric data are available for this region for the time being. Thick sediments including sandstone, reefal carbonates, amongst others, are aimed for gas exploration in the Thrace basin for more than half century. Depth of gas extraction wells and sediment thickness is compiled from previous studies to compare the subsided area with sediment and well depth variations. </p><p>We use  the Poly3D boundary element method to model the surface. Poly3D uses planar triangular elements of constant model to model displacement’s source. Using triangular elements provides models with complex and smooth 3D surfaces avoiding overlaps or gaps, and hence allowing one to construct realistic models. Poly3dinv inverse model applies a fast non-negative/non-positive least squares solver to optimize the solution. We construct a surface enveloping tips of the wells and use it to produce deformation at surface due by allowing opening on it. Small residuals between the observation and model based on opening suggests that deformation is likely caused by natural gas extraction.</p>


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Patricia Martínez-Garzón ◽  
Virginie Durand ◽  
Stephan Bentz ◽  
Taylan Turkmen ◽  
Grzegorz Kwiatek ◽  
...  

<p>Recent laboratory and field observations show that fault seismic and aseismic slip may occur concurrently. Here, we combine microseismicity recordings from a temporary near-fault seismic network (SMARTnet) and borehole strainmeter data from the eastern Marmara region in NW Turkey to track seismic and aseismic deformation around the hypocentral region of a M<sub>W</sub> 4.5 earthquake that occurred in 2018. The strainmeter data show a clear strain signal transient starting at the time of the M<sub>W</sub> 4.5 event and lasting for about 150 days. We study about 1,200 microseismic events following the mainshock within and beyond the mainshock fault rupture. The temporal distribution of the seismicity reveals a strong temporal clustering, including four semi-periodic seismic sequences each containing more than 50 events in two days. Two seismic sequences occurred during the strain transient showing different characteristics compared to two sequences occurring afterwards. Seismicity occurring during the transient displayed typical characteristics driven by aseismic slip, such as the activation of a broader region from the mainshock, and the absence of a clear mainshock in each sequence. Seismic sequences occurring after the transient correspond to typical mainshock-aftershock sequences and activated a region closer to the original M<sub>W</sub> 4.5 mainshock. We suggest post-strain transient seismicity originate from stress redistribution and breaking of remaining asperities. Our observations from a newly installed combined dense seismic and strainmeter network in the eastern Sea of Marmara region allows identifying repeated triggering of aseismic transients within an observation period of three years suggesting these may occur more often than previously thought.</p>


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tuna Eken

Abstract. Proper estimate of moment magnitude that is a physical measure of the energy released at earthquake source is essential for better seismic hazard assessments in tectonically active regions. Here a coda wave modeling approach that enables the source displacement spectrum modeling of examined event was used to estimate moment magnitude of central Anatolia earthquakes. To achieve this aim, three component waveforms of local earthquakes with magnitudes 2.0 ≤ ML ≤ 5.2 recorded at 72 seismic stations which have been operated between 2013 and 2015 within the framework of the CD-CAT passive seismic experiment. An inversion on the coda wave traces of each selected single event in our database was performed in five different frequency bands between 0.75 and 12 Hz. Our resultant moment magnitudes (MW-coda) exhibit a good agreement with routinely reported local magnitude (ML) estimates for study area. Finally, we present an empirical relation between MW-coda and ML for central Anatolian earthquakes.


2020 ◽  
Vol 15 (5) ◽  
pp. 645-654
Author(s):  
Juan Carlos Bermúdez-Barrios ◽  
◽  
Hiroyuki Kumagai

Colombia is tectonically active, and several large earthquakes have ruptured the Colombia-Ecuador subduction zone (CESZ) during the last century. Among them, the Colombia-Ecuador earthquake in 1906 (Mw 8.4) and the Tumaco earthquake in 1979 (Mw 8.3) generated destructive tsunamis. Therefore, it is important to characterize the seismic rupture processes and their relation with interplate coupling along the CESZ. We searched for repeating earthquakes by performing waveform similarity analysis. Cross correlation (CC) values were computed between earthquake pairs with hypocenter differences of less than 50 km that were located in the northern CESZ (1°–4°N) and that occurred from June 1993 to February 2018. We used broadband and short-period seismic waveform data from the Servicio Geológico Colombiano (SGC) seismic network. A CC threshold value of 0.90 was used to identify the waveform similarity and select repeating earthquakes. We found repeating earthquakes distributed near the trench and the coast. Our estimated repeating earthquakes near the trench suggest that the interplate coupling in this region is low. This is in clear constrast to the occurrence of a large slip in the 1906 Colombia-Ecuador earthquake along the trench in the southern part of the CESZ, and suggests that rupture modes are different between the northern and southern parts of CESZ near the trench.


2009 ◽  
Vol 30 (2) ◽  
pp. 113-131 ◽  
Author(s):  
Erkan Gökaşan ◽  
Hüseyin Tur ◽  
Mustafa Ergin ◽  
Tolga Görüm ◽  
Fatma Gül Batuk ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fatma Sevil Malcıoğlu ◽  
Hakan Süleyman ◽  
Eser Çaktı

Abstract An MW 4.5 earthquake took place on September 24, 2019 in the Marmara Sea. Two days after, on September 26, 2019, Marmara region was rattled by an MW5.7 earthquake. With the intention of compiling an ample strong ground motion data set of recordings, we have utilized the stations of Istanbul Earthquake Rapid Response and Early Warning System operated by the Department of Earthquake Engineering of Boğaziçi University and of the National Strong Motion Network operated by AFAD. All together 438 individual records are used to calculate the source parameters of events; namely, corner frequency, radius, rupture area, average source dislocation, source duration and stress drop. Some of these parameters are compared with empirical relationships and discussed extensively. Duration characteristics are analyzed in two steps; first, by making use of the time difference between P-wave and S-wave onsets and then, by considering S-wave durations and significant durations. It is observed that they yield similar trends with global models. PGA, PGV and SA values are compared with three commonly used ground motion prediction models. At distances closer than about 60 km observed intensity measures mostly conform with the GMPE predictions. Beyond 60 km their attenuation is clearly faster than those of GMPEs. Frequency-dependent Q models are developed for both events. Their consistency with existing regional models are confirmed.


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