Predicting water quality variability in a Mediterranean hypereutrophic monomictic reservoir using Sentinel-2 MSI: the importance of model functional form

Author(s):  
Ibrahim Alameddine ◽  
Mohamad Abbas

<p>Anthropogenic eutrophication is a pressing global environmental problem that threatens the ecological functions of many inland freshwaters and diminishes their abilities to meet their designated uses. Water authorities worldwide are being pressed to manage the negative consequences of harmful algal blooms (HABs) based largely on data collected from conventional monitoring programs that lack the needed spatio-temporal resolution for effective lake/reservoir management. This study assesses the potential of using Sentinel 2 MSI to predict and assess the spatio-temporal variability in the water quality of the Qaraoun Reservoir, a poorly-monitored Mediterranean hypereutrophic monomictic reservoir that is subject to extensive HABs during the growing season. The performance and transferability of water quality models previously calibrated based on Landsat 7 and 8 surface reflectance to predict Chlorophyll-a (Chl-a), total suspended solids (TSS), Secchi Disk Depth (SDD), and Phycocyanin (PC) levels in the reservoir are first assessed. The results showed poor transferability between Landsat and Sentinel 2, with all models experiencing a significant drop in their predictive skill. Sentinel 2 specific models were then developed for the reservoir based on 153 water quality samples collected over two years. Different model functional forms were then tested, including multiple linear regressions (MR), multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS), and support vector regressions (SVR). Our results showed that for Chl-a, the MARS model outperformed MR and SVR, with an R<sup>2</sup> of 60%. Meanwhile, the SVR-based models outperformed their MR and MARS counterparts for TSS, SDD and PC (R<sup>2</sup> = 59%, 94%, and 72% respectively).</p>

2009 ◽  
Vol 66 (7) ◽  
pp. 1528-1537 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nancy N. Rabalais ◽  
R. Eugene Turner ◽  
Robert J. Díaz ◽  
Dubravko Justić

Abstract Rabalais, N. N., Turner, R. E., Díaz, R. J., and Justić, D. 2009. Global change and eutrophication of coastal waters. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 66: 1528–1537. The cumulative effects of global change, including climate change, increased population, and more intense industrialization and agribusiness, will likely continue and intensify the course of eutrophication in estuarine and coastal waters. As a result, the symptoms of eutrophication, such as noxious and harmful algal blooms, reduced water quality, loss of habitat and natural resources, and severity of hypoxia (oxygen depletion) and its extent in estuaries and coastal waters will increase. Global climate changes will likely result in higher water temperatures, stronger stratification, and increased inflows of freshwater and nutrients to coastal waters in many areas of the globe. Both past experience and model forecasts suggest that these changes will result in enhanced primary production, higher phytoplankton and macroalgal standing stocks, and more frequent or severe hypoxia. The negative consequences of increased nutrient loading and stratification may be partly, but only temporarily, compensated by stronger or more frequent tropical storm activity in low and mid-latitudes. In anticipation of the negative effects of global change, nutrient loadings to coastal waters need to be reduced now, so that further water quality degradation is prevented.


Sensors ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 18 (8) ◽  
pp. 2699 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jian Li ◽  
Liqiao Tian ◽  
Qingjun Song ◽  
Zhaohua Sun ◽  
Hongjing Yu ◽  
...  

Monitoring of water quality changes in highly dynamic inland lakes is frequently impeded by insufficient spatial and temporal coverage, for both field surveys and remote sensing methods. To track short-term variations of chlorophyll fluorescence and chlorophyll-a concentrations in Poyang Lake, the largest freshwater lake in China, high-frequency, in-situ, measurements were collected from two fixed stations. The K-mean clustering method was also applied to identify clusters with similar spatio-temporal variations, using remote sensing Chl-a data products from the MERIS satellite, taken from 2003 to 2012. Four lake area classes were obtained with distinct spatio-temporal patterns, two of which were selected for in situ measurement. Distinct daily periodic variations were observed, with peaks at approximately 3:00 PM and troughs at night or early morning. Short-term variations of chlorophyll fluorescence and Chl-a levels were revealed, with a maximum intra-diurnal ratio of 5.1 and inter-diurnal ratio of 7.4, respectively. Using geostatistical analysis, the temporal range of chlorophyll fluorescence and corresponding Chl-a variations was determined to be 9.6 h, which indicates that there is a temporal discrepancy between Chl-a variations and the sampling frequency of current satellite missions. An analysis of the optimal sampling strategies demonstrated that the influence of the sampling time on the mean Chl-a concentrations observed was higher than 25%, and the uncertainty of any single Terra/MODIS or Aqua/MODIS observation was approximately 15%. Therefore, sampling twice a day is essential to resolve Chl-a variations with a bias level of 10% or less. The results highlight short-term variations of critical water quality parameters in freshwater, and they help identify specific design requirements for geostationary earth observation missions, so that they can better address the challenges of monitoring complex coastal and inland environments around the world.


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (19) ◽  
pp. 3956
Author(s):  
Shan He ◽  
Huaiyong Shao ◽  
Wei Xian ◽  
Shuhui Zhang ◽  
Jialong Zhong ◽  
...  

Hilly areas are important parts of the world’s landscape. A marginal phenomenon can be observed in some hilly areas, leading to serious land abandonment. Extracting the spatio-temporal distribution of abandoned land in such hilly areas can protect food security, improve people’s livelihoods, and serve as a tool for a rational land plan. However, mapping the distribution of abandoned land using a single type of remote sensing image is still challenging and problematic due to the fragmentation of such hilly areas and severe cloud pollution. In this study, a new approach by integrating Linear stretch (Ls), Maximum Value Composite (MVC), and Flexible Spatiotemporal DAta Fusion (FSDAF) was proposed to analyze the time-series changes and extract the spatial distribution of abandoned land. MOD09GA, MOD13Q1, and Sentinel-2 were selected as the basis of remote sensing images to fuse a monthly 10 m spatio-temporal data set. Three pieces of vegetation indices (VIs: ndvi, savi, ndwi) were utilized as the measures to identify the abandoned land. A multiple spatio-temporal scales sample database was established, and the Support Vector Machine (SVM) was used to extract abandoned land from cultivated land and woodland. The best extraction result with an overall accuracy of 88.1% was achieved by integrating Ls, MVC, and FSDAF, with the assistance of an SVM classifier. The fused VIs image set transcended the single source method (Sentinel-2) with greater accuracy by a margin of 10.8–23.6% for abandoned land extraction. On the other hand, VIs appeared to contribute positively to extract abandoned land from cultivated land and woodland. This study not only provides technical guidance for the quick acquirement of abandoned land distribution in hilly areas, but it also provides strong data support for the connection of targeted poverty alleviation to rural revitalization.


2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 34
Author(s):  
Xiaofan Wang ◽  
Lingyu Xu

Harmful algal blooms (HABs) often cause great harm to fishery production and the safety of human lives. Therefore, the detection and prediction of HABs has become an important issue. Machine learning has been increasingly used to predict HABs at home and abroad. However, few of them can capture the sudden change of Chl-a in advance and handle the long-term dependencies appropriately. In order to address these challenges, the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) based spatial-temporal attentions model for Chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) concentration prediction is proposed, a model which can capture the correlation between various factors and Chl-a adaptively and catch dynamic temporal information from previous time intervals for making predictions. The model can also capture the stage of Chl-a when values soar as red tide breaks out in advance. Due to the instability of the current Chl-a concentration prediction model, the model is also applied to make a prediction about the forecast reliability, to have a basic understanding of the range and fluctuation of model errors and provide a reference to describe the range of marine disasters. The data used in the experiment is retrieved from Fujian Marine Forecasts Station from 2009 to 2011 and is combined into 8-dimension data. Results show that the proposed approach performs better than other Chl-a prediction algorithms (such as Attention LSTM and Seq2seq and back propagation). The result of error prediction also reveals that the error forecast method possesses established advantages for red tides prevention and control.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dainis Jakovels ◽  
Agris Brauns ◽  
Jevgenijs Filipovs ◽  
Tuuli Soomets

<p>Lakes and water reservoirs are important ecosystems providing such services as drinking water, recreation, support for biodiversity as well as regulation of carbon cycling and climate. There are about 117 million lakes worldwide and a high need for regular monitoring of their water quality. European Union Water Framework Directive (WFD) stipulates that member states shall establish a programme for monitoring the ecological status of all water bodies larger than 50 ha, in order to ensure future quality and quantity of inland waters. But only a fraction of lakes is included in in-situ monitoring networks due to limited resources. In Latvia, there are 2256 lakes larger than 1 ha covering 1.5% of Latvian territory, and approximately 300 lakes are larger than 50 ha, but only 180 are included in Inland water monitoring program, in addition, most of them are monitored once in three to six years. Besides, local municipalities are responsible for the management of lakes, and they are also interested in the assessment of ecological status and regular monitoring of these valuable assets. </p><p>Satellite data is a feasible way to monitor lakes over a large region with reasonable frequency and support the WFD status assessment process. There are several satellite-based sensors (eg. MERIS, MODIS, OLCI) available specially designed for monitoring of water quality parameters, however, they are limited only to use for large water bodies due to a coarse spatial resolution (250...1000 m/pix). Sentinel-2 MSI is a space-borne instrument providing 10...20 m/pix multispectral data on a regular basis (every 5 days at the equator and 2..3 days in Latvia), thus making it attractive for monitoring of inland water bodies, especially the small ones (<1 km<sup>2</sup>). </p><p>Development of Sentinel-2 satellite data-based service (SentiLake) for monitoring of Latvian lakes is being implemented within the ESA PECS for Latvia program. The pilot territory covers two regions in Latvia and includes more than 100 lakes larger than 50 ha. Automated workflow for selecting and processing of available Sentinel-2 data scenes for extracting of water quality parameters (chlorophyll-a and TSM concentrations) for each target water body has been developed. Latvia is a northern country with a frequently cloudy sky, therefore, optical remote sensing is challenging in or region. However, our results show that 1...4 low cloud cover Sentinel-2 data acquisitions per month could be expected due to high revisit frequency of Sentinel-2 satellites. Combination of C2X and C2RCC processors was chosen for the assessment of chl-a concentration showing the satisfactory performance - R<sup>2</sup> = 0,82 and RMSE = 21,2 µg/l. Chl-a assessment result is further converted and presented as a lake quality class. It is expected that SentiLake will provide supplementary data to limited in situ data for filling gaps and retrospective studies, as well as a visual tool for communication with the target audience.</p>


2020 ◽  
pp. 117
Author(s):  
C. Radin ◽  
X. Sòria-Perpinyà ◽  
J. Delegido

<p class="p1">Water quality is a subject of intense scientific inquiry because of its repercussion in human’s life, agriculture or even energy generation. Remote sensing can be used to control water masses by analyzing biophysical variables. Chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) and Total Suspended Solids (SS) are a well-known feature of water quality. These variables have been measured in Sitjar reservoir (Castelló, Spain) as a part of the project Ecological Status of Aquatic Systems with Sentinel Satellites (ESAQS), in order to compare the results with satellite reflectance data. Two processes were compared to correct atmospherically the level 1C Sentinel 2 (S2) images. The results show that Case 2 Regional Coast Colour (C2RCC) method, with a Root Mean Square Error of 2.4 mg/m<span class="s1">3 </span>(Chl-a) and 3.9 g/m<span class="s1">3 </span>(SS) is a better tool for atmospheric correction in this scenario due to the low turbidity levels of water. Besides, in this paper we study the Chl-a and SS variability through April 2017 to March 2019 with fourteen S2 images with the automatic products from C2RCC correction, finding correlations between them and the climate and reservoir conditions. Chl-a increase from 0.4 mg/m<span class="s1">3 </span>to 9.5 mg/m<span class="s1">3 </span>while SS rise 18 g/m<span class="s1">3 </span>in this period, which makes Sitjar as an oligotrophic-mesotrophic system. The correlation results demonstrate an excellent correspondence between them (R<span class="s1">2</span>=0.9). Sitjar reservoir lost almost 40 hm<span class="s1">3 </span>at the beginning of the study, which it had a possible relationship with the increasing parameter values. Also discussed was the role played by the climatology in the reservoir conditions due to the changes in the water structure with seasons, which explains the ariability through the year.</p><p class="p1"> </p>


Water ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (18) ◽  
pp. 2479
Author(s):  
Vítor Hugo Neves ◽  
Giorgio Pace ◽  
Jesús Delegido ◽  
Sara C. Antunes

Reservoirs have been subject to anthropogenic stressors, becoming increasingly degraded. The evaluation of ecological potential in reservoirs is remarkably challenging, and consistent and regular monitoring using the traditional in situ methods defined in the WFD is often time- and money-consuming. Alternatively, remote sensing offers a low-cost, high frequency, and practical complement to these methods. This paper proposes a novel approach, using a C2RCC processor to analyze Sentinel-2 imagery data to retrieve information on water quality in two reservoirs of Portugal, Aguieira and Alqueva. We evaluate the temporal and spatial evolution of Chl a and total suspended solids (TSS), between 2018 and 2020, comparing in situ and satellite data. Generally, Alqueva reservoir allowed lower relative (NRMSE = 8.9% for Chl a and NRMSE = 21.9% for TSS) and systematic (NMBE = 1.7% for Chl a and NMBE = 2.0% for TSS) errors than Aguieira, where some fine-tuning would be required. Our paper shows how satellite data can be fundamental for water-quality assessment to support the effective and sustainable management of inland waters. In addition, it proposes solutions for future research in order to improve upon the methods used and solve the challenges faced in this study.


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