Greenland land-terminating glaciers velocity trends during the last two decades

Author(s):  
Paul Halas ◽  
Jeremie Mouginot ◽  
Basile de Fleurian ◽  
Petra Langebroek

<div> <p>Ice losses from the Greenland Ice Sheet have been increasing in the last two decades, leading to a larger contribution to the global sea level rise. Roughly 40% of the contribution comes from ice-sheet dynamics, mainly regulated by basal sliding. The sliding component of glaciers has been observed to be strongly related to surface melting, as water can eventually reach the bed and impact the subglacial water pressure, affecting the basal sliding.  </p> </div><div> <p>The link between ice velocities and surface melt on multi-annual time scale is still not totally understood even though it is of major importance with expected increasing surface melting. Several studies showed some correlation between an increase in surface melt and a slowdown in velocities, but there is no consensus on those trends. Moreover those investigations only presented results in a limited area over Southwest Greenland.  </p> </div><div> <p>Here we present the ice motion over many land-terminating glaciers on the Greenland Ice Sheet for the period 2000 - 2020. This type of glacier is ideal for studying processes at the interface between the bed and the ice since they are exempted from interactions with the sea while still being relevant for all glaciers since they share the same basal friction laws. The velocity data was obtained using optical Landsat 7 & 8 imagery and feature-tracking algorithm. We attached importance keeping the starting date of our image pairs similar, and avoided stacking pairs starting before and after melt seasons, resulting in multiple velocity products for each year.  </p> </div><div> <p>Our results show similar velocity trends for previously studied areas with a slowdown until 2012 followed by an acceleration. This trend however does not seem to be observed on the whole ice sheet and is probably specific to this region’s climate forcing. </p> </div><div> <p>Moreover comparison between ice velocities from different parts of Greenland allows us to observe the impact of different climatic trends on ice dynamics.</p> </div>

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Basile de Fleurian ◽  
Petra Langebroek ◽  
Paul Halas

<p>In recent years, temperatures over the Greenland ice sheet have been rising leading to an increase in surface melt.  Projections show that this augmentation of surface melt will continue in the future and spread to higher elevations. As it increases, melt leads to two different feedbacks on the dynamic of the Greenland ice sheet. This augmentation of melt lowers the ice surface and changes its overall geometry hence impacting the ice dynamics through ice deformation. The other feedback comes into play at the base of glaciers. Here, the increase of water availability will impact the distribution of water pressure at the base of glaciers and hence their sliding velocity. The first feedback is relatively well known and relies on our knowledge of the rheology and deformation of ice. The lubrication feedback acting at the bed of glaciers is however highly uncertain on time scales longer than a season. Here we apply the  Ice  Sheet  System  Model  (ISSM)  to  a  synthetic  glacier  which  geometry  is  similar to the one of a Greenland ice sheet land terminating glacier. The dynamic contributions from ice deformation and sliding are separated to study their relative evolution. This is permitted by the use of a dynamical subglacial hydrology model that allows to link the basal sliding to the meltwater production through an appropriate friction law. The  model  is  forced  through  a  simple  temperature  distribution  and  a  Positive  Degree  Day  model which allows to apply a large range of different forcing scenarios. Of particular interest is the evolution of the distribution of the efficient and inefficient component of the subglacial drainage system and their different response to the distribution of melt during the year which directly impact the sliding regime at the base of the glacier.</p>


2013 ◽  
Vol 38 (1) ◽  
pp. 19-54 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vena W. Chu

Understanding Greenland ice sheet (GrIS) hydrology is essential for evaluating response of ice dynamics to a warming climate and future contributions to global sea level rise. Recently observed increases in temperature and melt extent over the GrIS have prompted numerous remote sensing, modeling, and field studies gauging the response of the ice sheet and outlet glaciers to increasing meltwater input, providing a quickly growing body of literature describing seasonal and annual development of the GrIS hydrologic system. This system is characterized by supraglacial streams and lakes that drain through moulins, providing an influx of meltwater into englacial and subglacial environments that increases basal sliding speeds of outlet glaciers in the short term. However, englacial and subglacial drainage systems may adjust to efficiently drain increased meltwater without significant changes to ice dynamics over seasonal and annual scales. Both proglacial rivers originating from land-terminating glaciers and subglacial conduits under marine-terminating glaciers represent direct meltwater outputs in the form of fjord sediment plumes, visible in remotely sensed imagery. This review provides the current state of knowledge on GrIS surface water hydrology, following ice sheet surface meltwater production and transport via supra-, en-, sub-, and proglacial processes to final meltwater export to the ocean. With continued efforts targeting both process-level and systems analysis of the hydrologic system, the larger picture of how future changes in Greenland hydrology will affect ice sheet glacier dynamics and ultimately global sea level rise can be advanced.


2015 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 2563-2596
Author(s):  
T. Goelles ◽  
C. E. Bøggild ◽  
R. Greve

Abstract. Albedo is the dominating factor governing surface melt variability in the ablation area of ice sheets and glaciers. Aerosols such as mineral dust and black carbon (soot) accumulate on the ice surface and cause a darker surface and therefore a lower albedo. The dominant source of these aerosols in the ablation area is melt-out of englacial material which has been transported via ice flow. The darkening effect on the ice surface is currently not included in sea level projections, and the effect is unknown. We present a model framework which includes ice dynamics, aerosol transport, aerosol accumulation and the darkening effect on ice albedo and its consequences for surface melt. The model is applied to a simplified geometry resembling the conditions of the Greenland ice sheet, and it is forced by several temperature scenarios to quantify the darkening effect of aerosols on future mass loss. The effect of aerosols depends non-linearly on the temperature rise due to the feedback between aerosol accumulation and surface melt. The effect of aerosols in the year 3000 is up to 12% of additional ice sheet volume loss in the warmest scenario.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paolo Colosio ◽  
Marco Tedesco ◽  
Xavier Fettweis ◽  
Roberto Ranzi

Abstract. Surface melting is a major component of the Greenland ice sheet (GrIS) surface mass balance, affecting sea level rise through direct runoff and the modulation on ice dynamics and hydrological processes, supraglacially, englacially and subglacially. Passive microwave (PMW) brightness temperature observations are of paramount importance in studying the spatial and temporal evolution of surface melting in view of their long temporal coverage (1979–to date) and high temporal resolution (daily). However, a major limitation of PMW datasets has been the relatively coarse spatial resolution, being historically of the order of tens of kilometres. Here, we use a newly released passive microwave dataset (37 GHz, horizontal polarization) made available through the NASA MeASUREs program to study the spatiotemporal evolution of surface melting over the GrIS at an enhanced spatial resolution of 3.125 Km. We assess the outputs of different detection algorithms through data collected by Automatic Weather Stations (AWS) and the outputs of the MAR regional climate model. We found that surface melting is well captured using a dynamic algorithm based on the outputs of MEMLS model, capable to detect sporadic and persistent melting. Our results indicate that, during the reference period 1979–2019 (1988–2019), surface melting over the GrIS increased in terms of both duration, up to ~4.5 (2.9) days per decade, and extension, up to 6.9 % (3.6 %) of the GrIS surface extent per decade, according to the MEMLS algorithm. Furthermore, the melting season has started up to ~4 (2.5) days earlier and ended ~7 (3.9) days later per decade. We also explored the information content of the enhanced resolution dataset with respect to the one at 25 km and MAR outputs through a semi-variogram approach. We found that the enhanced product is more sensitive to local scale processes, hence confirming the potential interest of this new enhanced product for studying surface melting over Greenland at a higher spatial resolution than the historical products and monitor its impact on sea level rise. This offers the opportunity to improve our understanding of the processes driving melting, to validate modelled melt extent at high resolution and potentially to assimilate this data in climate models.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alexander Vanhulle ◽  
Sébastien Le Clec’h ◽  
Philippe Huybrechts

<p>Subglacial hydrology plays an important role in the evolution of ice dynamics. Primarily, it affects basal processes such as basal sliding. Further, subglacial water exiting a calving front incites submarine melt, increasing calving, resulting in a thinning of the interior ice sheet. Knowledge of it is therefore crucial towards the development and improvement of ice sheet models. We implement a model representing the routing of subglacial water below the Greenland ice sheet in either a one, four or eight directional manner. Due to its computational efficiency, the model is suited for coupling with continental scale ice sheet models on very high resolutions (e.g. 150 m).</p><p>Routing depends on the hydraulic potential of individual grid cells which is therefore heavily dependent on accurate estimates of the ice thickness as well as the grid utilized. Sensitivity analyses brought to life that the routing exhibits artefacts resulting in significant flow diversions on high resolutions if the gradients are only considered over the distance of a single grid cell, this is overcome by incorporating a smoothing procedure.</p><p>With the basal water model in place and input of the basal melt rate from the VUB Greenland Ice Sheet Model (GISM) as well as runoff input from the Modèle Athmospherique Régional (MAR), we calculate the inflow of freshwater to several reference fjords for the last thirty years and investigate its temporal and spatial patterns. Jakobshavn Isbrae experiences by far the most freshwater inflow compared to the other reference fjords. Despite limited runoff in the northeast of Greenland, high basal melt rates and a significant catchment area provide the outlets of the Northeast Greenland Ice Stream (NEGIS) with substantial inflow too.</p>


2007 ◽  
Vol 53 (181) ◽  
pp. 232-240 ◽  
Author(s):  
Eyjólfur Magnússon ◽  
Helmut Rott ◽  
Helgi Björnsson ◽  
Finnur Pálsson

AbstractWe have analyzed InSAR data from the ERS-1/ERS-2 tandem mission, to study the ice dynamics of Vatnajökull, Iceland, during jökulhlaups from the Skaftá cauldrons and the Grímsvötn geothermal area, which drained under the Tungnaárjökull and Skeiðarárjökull outlets, respectively. During the initial phase of a Grímsvötn jökulhlaup in March 1996, the velocity of Skeiðarárjökull increased up to three-fold (relative to observed velocities in December 1995) over an area up to 8 km wide around the subglacial flood path. Accumulation of water was observed at one location in the flood path. During a small jökulhlaup from the Skaftá cauldrons in October 1995 the velocity on Tungnaárjökull increased up to four-fold over a 9 km wide area. The velocity increase was observed 1.5 days before the floodwater was detected in the river Skaftá. A reduced glacier speed as the flood peaked in Skaftá indicates evolution of the subglacial drainage system from sheet to tunnel flow. The glacier acceleration and local uplift, observed in the early phase of both jökulhlaups, supports the concept that increased water inflow in a narrow tunnel system causes water pressure to rise and forces water into areas outside the channels, thus reducing the coupling of ice with the glacier bed.


2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Conrad P. Koziol ◽  
Neil Arnold

Abstract. Surface runoff at the margin of the Greenland Ice Sheet drains to the ice-sheet bed leading to enhanced summer ice flow. Ice velocities show a pattern of early summer acceleration followed by mid-summer deceleration, due to evolution of the subglacial hydrology system in response to meltwater forcing. Modelling the integrated hydrological – ice dynamics system to reproduce measured velocities at the ice margin remains a key challenge for validating the present understanding of the system, and constraining the impact of increasing surface runoff rates on dynamic ice mass loss from the GrIS. Here we show that a multi-component model incorporating supraglacial, subglacial, and ice dynamic components applied to a land-terminating catchment in western Greenland produces modeled velocities which are in good agreement with those observed in GPS records for three melt seasons of varying melt intensities. This provides support for the hypothesis that the subglacial system develops analogously to alpine glaciers, and supports recent model formulations capturing the transition between distributed and channelized states. The model shows development of efficient conduit drainage up-glacier from the ice sheet margin which develops more extensively, and further inland, as melt intensity increases. This suggests current trends of decadal timescale slow-down in the ablation zone will continue in the near future, although the strong summer velocity scaling in our results could begin to offset potential future fall and winter velocity decreases for very high melt rates which are predicted for the end of the 21st century.


2015 ◽  
Vol 9 (5) ◽  
pp. 1845-1856 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. Goelles ◽  
C. E. Bøggild ◽  
R. Greve

Abstract. Albedo is the dominant factor governing surface melt variability in the ablation area of ice sheets and glaciers. Aerosols such as mineral dust and black carbon (soot) accumulate on the ice surface and cause a darker surface and therefore a lower albedo. The darkening effect on the ice surface is currently not included in sea level projections, and the effect is unknown. We present a model framework which includes ice dynamics, aerosol transport, aerosol accumulation and the darkening effect on ice albedo and its consequences for surface melt. The model is applied to a simplified geometry resembling the conditions of the Greenland ice sheet, and it is forced by several temperature scenarios to quantify the darkening effect of aerosols on future mass loss. The effect of aerosols depends non-linearly on the temperature rise due to the feedback between aerosol accumulation and surface melt. According to our conceptual model, accounting for black carbon and dust in future projections of ice sheet changes until the year 3000 could induce an additional volume loss of 7 %. Since we have ignored some feedback processes, the impact might be even larger.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Basile de Fleurian ◽  
Petra M. Langebroeke ◽  
Richard Davy

<p>In recent years, temperatures over the Greenland ice sheet have been rising, leading to an increase in surface melt. This increase however can not be reduced to a simple number. Throughout the recent years we have seen some extreme melt seasons with melt extending over the whole surface of the ice sheet (2012) or melt seasons of lower amplitudes but with a longer duration (2010). The effect of those variations on the subglacial system and hence on ice dynamic are poorly understood and are still mainly deduced from studies based on mountain glaciers.</p><p>Here we apply the Ice-sheet and Sea-level System Model (ISSM) to a synthetic glacier with a geometry similar to a Greenland ice sheet land terminating glacier. The forcing is designed such that it allows to investigate different characteristics of the melt season: its length, intensity or the spatial extension of the melt. Subglacial hydrology and ice dynamics are coupled within ISSM is coupled to a subglacial hydrology model, allowing to study the response of the system in terms of subglacial water pressure and the final impact on ice dynamics. Of particular interest is the evolution of the distribution of the efficient and inefficient component of the subglacial drainage system which directly impacts the water pressure evolution at the base of the glacier.</p><p>We note that the initiation of the melt season and the intensity of the melt at this period is a crucial parameter when studying the dynamic response of the glacier to different melt season characteristics. From those results, we can infer a more precise evolution of the dynamics of land terminating glaciers that are heavily driven by their subglacial drainage system. We also highlight which changes in the melt season pattern would be the most damageable for glacier stability in the future.</p>


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stefan Hofer ◽  
Charlotte Lang ◽  
Charles Amory ◽  
Christoph Kittel ◽  
Alison Delhasse ◽  
...  

<p>Future climate projections show a marked increase in Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS) runoff<br>during the 21st century, a direct consequence of the Polar Amplification signal. Regional<br>climate models (RCMs) are a widely used tool to downscale ensembles of projections from<br>global climate models (GCMs) to assess the impact of global warming on GrIS melt and<br>sea level rise contribution. Initial results of the CMIP6 GCM model intercomparison<br>project have revealed a greater 21st century temperature rise than in CMIP5 models.<br>However, so far very little is known about the subsequent impacts on the future GrIS<br>surface melt and therefore sea level rise contribution. Here, we show that the total GrIS<br>melt during the 21st century almost doubles when using CMIP6 forcing compared to the<br>previous CMIP5 model ensemble, despite an equal global radiative forcing of +8.5 W/m2<br>in 2100 in both RCP8.5 and SSP58.5 scenarios. The total GrIS sea level rise contribution<br>from surface melt in our high-resolution (15 km) projections is 17.8 cm in SSP58.5, 7.9 cm<br>more than in our RCP8.5 simulations, despite the same radiative forcing. We identify a<br>+1.7°C greater Arctic amplification in the CMIP6 ensemble as the main driver behind the<br>presented doubling of future GrIS sea level rise contribution</p>


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