scholarly journals Incorporating the effects of topographic amplification in the analysis of earthquake-induced landslide hazards using logistic regression

2010 ◽  
Vol 10 (12) ◽  
pp. 2475-2488 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. T. Lee ◽  
T. T. Yu ◽  
W. F. Peng ◽  
C. L. Wang

Abstract. Seismic-induced landslide hazards are studied using seismic shaking intensity based on the topographic amplification effect. The estimation of the topographic effect includes the theoretical topographic amplification factors and the corresponding amplified ground motion. Digital elevation models (DEM) with a 5-m grid space are used. The logistic regression model and the geographic information system (GIS) are used to perform the seismic landslide hazard analysis. The 99 Peaks area, located 3 km away from the ruptured fault of the Chi-Chi earthquake, is used to test the proposed hypothesis. An inventory map of earthquake-triggered landslides is used to produce a dependent variable that takes a value of 0 (no landslides) or 1 (landslides). A set of independent parameters, including lithology, elevation, slope gradient, slope aspect, terrain roughness, land use, and Arias intensity (Ia) with the topographic effect. Subsequently, logistic regression is used to find the best fitting function to describe the relationship between the occurrence and absence of landslides within an individual grid cell. The results of seismic landslide hazard analysis that includes the topographic effect (AUROC = 0.890) are better than those of the analysis without it (AUROC = 0.874).

2012 ◽  
Vol 500 ◽  
pp. 773-779 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shing Tsz Lee ◽  
Teng To Yu ◽  
Wen Fei Peng

The effect of Chi-Chi earthquake on typhoon-triggered landslides was estimated using accuracy curves method in seismic landslide hazard model. The logistic regression model and geographic information system (GIS) are chosen to perform the seismic landslide hazard analysis. An inventory map of the landslides from SPOT images taken before and after the events was used to produce a dependent variable, which takes a value of 0 and 1 for the absence and presence of landslides. A set of independent parameters include lithology, elevation, slope gradient, slope aspect, terrain roughness, land use and Arias intensity (Ia) with topographic effect. Subsequently, the logistic regression is used to find the best fitting function to describe the relationship between occurrence or non-occurrence of landslides within an individual grid cell. The decreased effect of the earthquake was measured using accuracy curves method. It found that the effect of earthquake decreases with time. The landslide events of 2004 had little correlation with the Chi-Chi earthquake. Nevertheless, after period of 5 years, the seismic intensity from the Chi-Chi earthquake might still have affected conditions of landslides in the study area.


2005 ◽  
Vol 29 (4) ◽  
pp. 548-567 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wang Huabin ◽  
Liu Gangjun ◽  
Xu Weiya ◽  
Wang Gonghui

In recent years, landslide hazard assessment has played an important role in developing land utilization regulations aimed at minimizing the loss of lives and damage to property. A variety of approaches has been used in landslide assessment and these can be classified into qualitative factor overlay, statistical models, geotechnical process models, etc. However, there is little work on the satisfactory integration of these models with geographic information systems (GIS) to support slope management and landslide hazard mitigation. This paper deals with several aspects of landslide hazard assessment by presenting a focused review of GIS-based landslide hazard assessment: it starts with a framework for GIS-based assessment of landslide hazard; continues with a critical review of the state of the art in using GIS and digital elevation models (DEM) for mapping and modelling landslide hazards; and concludes with a description of an integrated system for effective landslide hazard assessment and zonation incorporating artificial intelligence and data mining technology in a GIS-based framework of knowledge discovery.


Author(s):  
C. Kakonkwe ◽  
D. E. Rwabuhungu ◽  
M. Biryabarema

A series of ArcGIS-generated maps were applied in analysing the potential for flooding and landslide hazards within the Lake Kivu drainage basin. This study was carried out using digital elevation data of the basin. The Kivu drainage basin encompasses an area of 7,382 km2. Sediment and water supply to Lake Kivu originate mostly from its eastern hinterland. The distribution of land sliding potentiality in the drainage basin shows that the northern and the southern portions of the basin are the ones with relatively low risk of land sliding, whereas the rift shoulders are most prone to land sliding. Mass wasting on slopes has the potential to grade downstream into debris and mudflows, promoting in turn further erosion and flooding. Keywords: drainage, Kivu, Africa, flooding, landslide, hazard


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Leulalem Shano ◽  
Tarun Kumar Raghuvanshi ◽  
Matebie Meten

Abstract Landslide hazard zonation plays an important role in safe and viable infrastructure development, urbanization, land use, and environmental planning. The Shafe and Baso catchments are found in the Gamo highland which has been highly degraded by erosion and landslides thereby affecting the lives of the local people. In recent decades, recurrent landslide incidences were frequently occurring in this Highland region of Ethiopia in almost every rainy season. This demands landslide hazard zonation in the study area in order to alleviate the problems associated with these landslides. The main objectives of this study are to identify the spatiotemporal landslide distribution of the area; evaluate the landslide influencing factors and prepare the landslide hazard map. In the present study, lithology, groundwater conditions, distance to faults, morphometric factors (slope, aspect and curvature), and land use/land cover were considered as landslide predisposing/influencing factors while precipitation was a triggering factor. All these factor maps and landslide inventory maps were integrated using ArcGIS 10.4 environment. For data analysis, the principle of logistic regression was applied in a statistical package for social sciences (SPSS). The result from this statistical analysis showed that the landslide influencing factors like distance to fault, distance to stream, groundwater zones, lithological units and aspect have revealed the highest contribution to landslide occurrence as they showed greater than a unit odds ratio. The resulting landslide hazard map was divided into five classes: very low (13.48%), low (28.67%), moderate (31.62%), high (18%), and very high (8.2%) hazard zones which was then validated using the goodness of fit techniques and receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) with an accuracy of 85.4. The high and very high landslide hazard zones should be avoided from further infrastructure and settlement planning unless proper and cost-effective landslide mitigation measures are implemented.


2017 ◽  
Vol 53 ◽  
pp. 93-98
Author(s):  
Subash Acharya ◽  
Dinesh Pathak

In the hilly and mountainous terrain of Nepal, landslide is the most common natural hazard especially during prolong rainfall. Every year landslide cost lives and causes injuries. In order to address this problem, the best that can be done is to prepare the landslide hazard map of the area, apply mitigation measures and evacuate the high hazardous area, if necessary. Landslide hazard assessment is the primary tool so as to understand the nature and characteristics of the slope that are prone to failure. Logistic Regression Model is used for the preparation of landslide hazard map of the Besi Shahar-Tal area in Marsyangdi River basin in west Nepal. The causative factors such as elevation, slope, slope aspect, land use, geology, rainfall, lineament density, stream density are used. All the thematic layers of these parameters are prepared in GIS and logistic regression analysis is done by using Statistical Package for Social Science (SPSS). Five different hazard zones are separated namely very low hazard zone, low hazard zone, medium hazard zone, high hazard zone and very high hazard zone. The high hazard zone is lying along the Marsyangdi River and its tributaries.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abdurohman Adem ◽  
Suryabhagavan Venkata Karuturi ◽  
Tarun Kumar Raghuvanshi

Abstract The present study was undertaken to identify landslides hazard prone areas in North Ethiopia. The landslide hazard in the present study area was evaluated by using the logistic regression model. Seven landslide causative factors were used for the landslide hazard evaluation, these are; slope gradient, slope aspect, elevation, proximity to streams, land-use/ land-cover, lithology and Normalized Difference Vegetation Index. Besides, for the present study landslides inventory data for the period of 2000 to 2018 was collected from the field survey and the Google earth image interpretation. The coefficient for the considered causative factors and classes were used for the identification of landslides hazard index using raster tool in ARCGIS environment. The prediction of the logistic regression model reveals that one third of the study area (32%) is under high hazard zone and the steep slopes and the elevated areas are most susceptible areas. The predicted landslides hazard zonation map is highly correlated with the training data set where 74% of it lies in the very high and high landslide hazard zones. Results of the area under the Receiver Operating Characteristic curve for the training sample, was found to be 0.76 while the area under the ROC curve of the validation sample was 0.71. Thus, the validation results has confirmed the rationality of adopted methodology, considered causative factors and their evaluation in producing LHZ map for the area. Further, the study has forwarded recommendations that can be followed to prevent and mitigate the adverse impact of landslides in the study area.


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