scholarly journals Implications from palaeoseismological investigations at the Markgrafneusiedl Fault (Vienna Basin, Austria) for seismic hazard assessment

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Esther Hintersberger ◽  
Kurt Decker ◽  
Johanna Lomax ◽  
Christopher Lüthgens
Keyword(s):  
Seismic Hazard ◽  
Hazard Assessment ◽  
Active Faults ◽  
Seismic Hazard Assessment ◽  
Vienna Basin ◽  
Slip Rates ◽  
Small Surface ◽  
Strong Earthquakes ◽  
Splay Faults ◽  
Magnitude Estimates

Abstract. Including faults into seismic hazard assessment depends strongly on their level of seismic activity. Intraplate regions are characterized by low seismicity, so that the evaluation of existing earthquake catalogues does not necessarily reveal all active faults that contribute to seismic hazard. In the Vienna Basin (Austria), moderate historical seismicity (Imax/Mmax = 8/5.2) concentrates along the left-lateral strike-slip Vienna Basin Transfer Fault (VBTF). In contrast, several normal faults branching out of the VBTF show neither historical nor instrumental earthquake records, although geomorphological data indicate Quaternary displacement along those faults. Here, we present a palaeoseismological dataset of three trenches crossing one of these splay faults, the Markgrafneusiedl Fault (MF), in order to evaluate the seismic potential of the fault. Comparing the observations of the different trenches, we found evidence for 5–6 major surface-breaking earthquakes during the last 120 ka, with the youngest event occurring at around ~ 14 ka before present. The inferred surface displacements lead to magnitude estimates ranging between M = 6.2 ± 0.3 and M = 6.8 ± 0.1. Data can be interpreted by two possible event lines, with event line 1 showing more regular recurrence intervals of about 20–25 ka between the earthquakes with M ≥ 6.5, and event line 2 indicating that such earthquakes cluster in two time intervals in the last 120 ka. Event line 2 appears more plausible. Trench observations also show that structural and sedimentological records of strong earthquakes with small surface offset have only low conservation potential. Vertical slip rates of 0.03–0.04 mm/a derived from the trenches compare well to geomorphically derived slip rates of 0.015–0.085 mm/a. Magnitude estimates from fault dimensions suggest that the largest earthquakes observed in the trenches activated the entire fault surface of the MF including the basal detachment that links the normal fault with the VBTF. The most important implications of these paleoseismological results for seismic hazard assessment are that: (1) The MF needs to be considered as a seismic source irrespective of the fact that it did not release historical earthquakes. (2) The maximum credible earthquakes in the Vienna Basin should be considered to be about M = 7.0. (3) The MF is kinematically and geologically equivalent to a number of other splay faults of the VBTF. It must be assumed that these faults are potential sources of large earthquakes as well. The frequency of strong earthquakes near Vienna is therefore expected to be significantly higher than the earthquake frequency reconstructed for the MF.

scholarly journals Implications from palaeoseismological investigations at the Markgrafneusiedl Fault (Vienna Basin, Austria) for seismic hazard assessment

2018 ◽  
Vol 18 (2) ◽  
pp. 531-553 ◽  
Author(s):  
Esther Hintersberger ◽  
Kurt Decker ◽  
Johanna Lomax ◽  
Christopher Lüthgens
Keyword(s):  
Seismic Hazard ◽  
Hazard Assessment ◽  
Seismic Hazard Assessment ◽  
Slip Model ◽  
Vienna Basin ◽  
Slip Rates ◽  
Strong Earthquakes ◽  
Earthquake Frequency ◽  
Splay Faults ◽  
Magnitude Estimates

Abstract. Intraplate regions characterized by low rates of seismicity are challenging for seismic hazard assessment, mainly for two reasons. Firstly, evaluation of historic earthquake catalogues may not reveal all active faults that contribute to regional seismic hazard. Secondly, slip rate determination is limited by sparse geomorphic preservation of slowly moving faults. In the Vienna Basin (Austria), moderate historical seismicity (Imax,obs/Mmax,obs=8/5.2) concentrates along the left-lateral strike-slip Vienna Basin Transfer Fault (VBTF). In contrast, several normal faults branching out from the VBTF show neither historical nor instrumental earthquake records, although geomorphological data indicate Quaternary displacement along those faults. Here, located about 15 km outside of Vienna, the Austrian capital, we present a palaeoseismological dataset of three trenches that cross one of these splay faults, the Markgrafneusiedl Fault (MF), in order to evaluate its seismic potential. Comparing the observations of the different trenches, we found evidence for five to six surface-breaking earthquakes during the last 120 kyr, with the youngest event occurring at around 14 ka. The derived surface displacements lead to magnitude estimates ranging between 6.2±0.5 and 6.8±0.4. Data can be interpreted by two possible slip models, with slip model 1 showing more regular recurrence intervals of about 20–25 kyr between the earthquakes with M≥6.5 and slip model 2 indicating that such earthquakes cluster in two time intervals in the last 120 kyr. Direct correlation between trenches favours slip model 2 as the more plausible option. Trench observations also show that structural and sedimentological records of strong earthquakes with small surface offset have only low preservation potential. Therefore, the earthquake frequency for magnitudes between 6 and 6.5 cannot be constrained by the trenching records. Vertical slip rates of 0.02–0.05 mm a−1 derived from the trenches compare well to geomorphically derived slip rates of 0.02–0.09 mm a−1. Magnitude estimates from fault dimensions suggest that the largest earthquakes observed in the trenches activated the entire fault surface of the MF including the basal detachment that links the normal fault with the VBTF. The most important implications of these palaeoseismological results for seismic hazard assessment are as follows. (1) The MF is an active seismic source, capable of rupturing the surface despite the lack of historical earthquakes. (2) The MF is kinematically and geologically equivalent to a number of other splay faults of the VBTF. It is reasonable to assume that these faults are potential sources of large earthquakes as well. The frequency of strong earthquakes near Vienna is therefore expected to be significantly higher than the earthquake frequency reconstructed for the MF alone. (3) Although rare events, the potential for earthquake magnitudes equal or greater than M=7.0 in the Vienna Basin should be considered in seismic hazard studies.

scholarly journals Geodetic fault slip rates on active faults in the Baza sub-Basin (SE Spain): Insights for seismic hazard assessment

2021 ◽  
Vol 144 ◽  
pp. 101815
Author(s):  
P. Alfaro ◽  
A. Sánchez-Alzola ◽  
I. Martin-Rojas ◽  
F.J. García-Tortosa ◽  
J. Galindo-Zaldívar ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Seismic Hazard ◽  
Hazard Assessment ◽  
Active Faults ◽  
Seismic Hazard Assessment ◽  
Fault Slip ◽  
Se Spain ◽  
Slip Rates ◽  
Fault Slip Rates

scholarly journals Tectonic Geomorphology and Paleoseismology of the Sharkhai fault: a new source of seismic hazard for Ulaanbaatar (Mongolia)

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abeer Al-Ashkar ◽  
Antoine Schlupp ◽  
Matthieu Ferry ◽  
Ulziibat Munkhuu
Keyword(s):  
Seismic Hazard ◽  
Scaling Laws ◽  
Active Faults ◽  
Seismic Hazard Assessment ◽  
Capital City ◽  
Tectonic Geomorphology ◽  
Time Interval ◽  
Coseismic Slip ◽  
Slip Rates ◽  
Large Earthquakes

Abstract. We present new constraints from tectonic geomorphology and paleoseismology along the newly discovered Sharkhai fault near the capital city of Mongolia. Detailed observations from high resolution Pleiades satellite images and field investigations allowed us to map the fault in detail, describe its geometry and segmentation, characterize its kinematics, and document its recent activity and seismic behavior (cumulative displacements and paleoseismicity). The Sharkhai fault displays a surface length of ~40 km with a slightly arcuate geometry, and a strike ranging from N42° E to N72° E. It affects numerous drainages that show left-lateral cumulative displacements reaching 57 m. Paleoseismic investigations document the faulting and deposition record for the last ~3000 yr and reveal that the penultimate earthquake (PE) occurred between 1515 ± 90 BC and 945 ± 110 BC and the most recent event (MRE) occurred after 860 ± 85 AD. The resulting time interval of 2080 ± 470 years is the first constraint on the Sharkhai fault for large earthquakes. On the basis of our mapping of the surface rupture and the resulting segmentation analysis, we propose two possible scenarios for large earthquakes with likely magnitudes between 6.4 ± 0.2 and 7.1 ± 0.2. Furthermore, we apply scaling laws to infer coseismic slip values and derive preliminary estimates of long-term slip rates between 0.2 ± 0.2 and 1.0 ± 0.5 mm/y. Finally, we propose that these original observations and results from a newly discovered fault should be taken into account for the seismic hazard assessment for the city of Ulaanbaatar and help build a comprehensive model of active faults in that region.

scholarly journals Bayesian earthquake dating and seismic hazard assessment using chlorine-36 measurements (BED v1)

2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (11) ◽  
pp. 4383-4397 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joakim Beck ◽  
Sören Wolfers ◽  
Gerald P. Roberts
Keyword(s):  
Inverse Problem ◽  
Seismic Hazard ◽  
Hazard Assessment ◽  
Ad Hoc ◽  
Seismic Hazard Assessment ◽  
Fault Scarp ◽  
Physical Models ◽  
Monte Carlo Algorithm ◽  
Slip Rates ◽  
Chlorine 36

Abstract. Over the past 20 years, analyzing the abundance of the isotope chlorine-36 (36Cl) has emerged as a popular tool for geologic dating. In particular, it has been observed that 36Cl measurements along a fault plane can be used to study the timings of past ground displacements during earthquakes, which in turn can be used to improve existing seismic hazard assessment. This approach requires accurate simulations of 36Cl accumulation for a set of fault-scarp rock samples, which are progressively exhumed during earthquakes, in order to infer displacement histories from 36Cl measurements. While the physical models underlying such simulations have continuously been improved, the inverse problem of recovering displacement histories from 36Cl measurements is still mostly solved on an ad hoc basis. The current work resolves this situation by providing a MATLAB implementation of a fast, automatic, and flexible Bayesian Markov-chain Monte Carlo algorithm for the inverse problem, and provides a validation of the 36Cl approach to inference of earthquakes from the demise of the Last Glacial Maximum until present. To demonstrate its performance, we apply our algorithm to a synthetic case to verify identifiability, and to the Fiamignano and Frattura faults in the Italian Apennines in order to infer their earthquake displacement histories and to provide seismic hazard assessments. The results suggest high variability in slip rates for both faults, and large displacements on the Fiamignano fault at times when the Colosseum and other ancient buildings in Rome were damaged.

scholarly journals Neotectonic activity and paleoseismological analysis in Eastern of Antioquia, in the vicinity of Medellin city - Colombia

2015 ◽  
pp. 5-19
Author(s):  
Albeiro De Jesús Rendón-Rivera ◽  
John Jairo Gallego-Montoya ◽  
Jenny Paola Jaramillo-Rendón ◽  
Adrián González-Patiño ◽  
José Humberto Caballero-Acosta ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Seismic Hazard ◽  
Age Of Onset ◽  
Active Faults ◽  
Seismic Hazard Assessment ◽  
Seismic Events ◽  
Small Surface ◽  
Neotectonic Activity ◽  
Neotectonic Deformation ◽  
Alluvial Terraces ◽  
Prehistoric Earthquakes

The aim of this investigation was the paleoseismological characterization of eastern Antioquia, using trenches analysis and detailed study of indicators of neotectonic activity, some of which had been reported in previous seismic hazard assessment studies of the Aburra Valley.Through techniques of neotectonic, paleoseismology and also age correlation of Quaternary deposits obtained by several authors, it was found at Alcaravanes site (Marinilla Town), evidences of three seismic events with magnitudes Mw 6.4, 6.6 and 6.5 which displaced recent deposits with maximum ages of 440,000, 37,000 and 8,000 years respectively. Likewise, two prehistoric earthquakes, both with magnitude Mw 6.5 were recognized at the Hamburgo site (Guarne Town), dated between 880,000 and 37,000 years respectively, which proves the existence and activity of La Mosca fault. Finally, the Manantiales site (Rionegro Town) revealed a couple of seismic events with magnitude Mw 6.7 and 6.6 that displaced alluvial terraces in Rio Negro basin with a maximum age of onset of neotectonic deformation of 880,000 years.Latest neotectonic findings change the perspective of seismic hazard in Medellin city and surroundings. Prehistoric earthquakes have occurred in the last million years and created small surface rupture and faulting not related with active mountain fronts. Furthermore, the evidence shows obliterated active faults and efficiency of erosion factors in modeling relief and alluvial fill in the basins of Rionegro Erosion Surface.

Updated seismotectonic zoning scheme of Metropolitan France, with reference to geologic and seismotectonic data

2013 ◽  
Vol 184 (3) ◽  
pp. 225-259 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stéphane Baize ◽  
Edward Marc Cushing ◽  
Francis Lemeille ◽  
Hervé Jomard
Keyword(s):  
Seismic Hazard ◽  
Hazard Assessment ◽  
Active Faults ◽  
Seismic Hazard Assessment ◽  
Tectonic Activity ◽  
Hazard Evaluation ◽  
Boundary Location ◽  
Seismotectonic Zones ◽  
Seismic Hazard Evaluation ◽  
Surface Geology

Abstract This work presents the seismotectonic zoning scheme of Metropolitan France developed by the IRSN (French Institute for Radioprotection and Nuclear Safety) within the framework of its seismic hazard assessment activities. It is the outcome of many years of work following the publication of the “seismotectonic atlas” in 1993 [Grellet et al., 1993]. This scheme supports the assessment of seismic hazard by IRSN. It takes into account the most recent data concerning the deep and surface geology, as well as those related to seismotectonics and tectonic activity. It finally includes 67 surface seismotectonic zones (STZ), as well as a catalogue of 74 faults or structures (named hereafter “potential active faults”) for which indications of Neogene to Quaternary displacement can be inferred. The description of the zoning scheme comes along with an estimation of the uncertainty on the boundary location between adjacent STZ. We also qualitatively determine a “relevance order” for each limit, so as to illustrate their reliability to separate regions of different seismogenic potential. Also, we attributed to the faults an indication whose purpose is to reflect the recent character of their activity, and thus their seismotectonic potential. This assessment of uncertainties was undertaken to better integrate the zoning scheme in the general approach, which arises from recent studies, namely the propagation of the uncertainties in seismic hazard evaluation, whether deterministic or probabilistic.

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