scholarly journals Interannual variability in Transpolar Drift ice thickness and potential impact of Atlantification

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
H. Jakob Belter ◽  
Thomas Krumpen ◽  
Luisa von Albedyll ◽  
Tatiana A. Alekseeva ◽  
Sergei V. Frolov ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Sea Ice ◽  
Arctic Sea Ice ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Ice Thickness ◽  
Fram Strait ◽  
Ice Growth ◽  
Arctic Sea ◽  
Transpolar Drift ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. Changes in Arctic sea ice thickness are the result of complex interactions of the dynamic and variable ice cover with atmosphere and ocean. Most of the sea ice exits the Arctic Ocean through Fram Strait, which is why long-term measurements of ice thickness at the end of the Transpolar Drift provide insight into the integrated signals of thermodynamic and dynamic influences along the pathways of Arctic sea ice. We present an updated time series of extensive ice thickness surveys carried out at the end of the Transpolar Drift between 2001 and 2020. Overall, we see a more than 20 % thinning of modal ice thickness since 2001. A comparison with first preliminary results from the international Multidisciplinary drifting Observatory for the Study of Arctic Climate (MOSAiC) shows that the modal summer thickness of the MOSAiC floe and its wider vicinity are consistent with measurements from previous years. By combining this unique time series with the Lagrangian sea ice tracking tool, ICETrack, and a simple thermodynamic sea ice growth model, we link the observed interannual ice thickness variability north of Fram Strait to increased drift speeds along the Transpolar Drift and the consequential variations in sea ice age and number of freezing degree days. We also show that the increased influence of upward-directed ocean heat flux in the eastern marginal ice zones, termed Atlantification, is not only responsible for sea ice thinning in and around the Laptev Sea, but also that the induced thickness anomalies persist beyond the Russian shelves and are potentially still measurable at the end of the Transpolar Drift after more than a year. With a tendency towards an even faster Transpolar Drift, winter sea ice growth will have less time to compensate the impact of Atlantification on sea ice growth in the eastern marginal ice zone, which will increasingly be felt in other parts of the sea ice covered Arctic.

scholarly journals Interannual variability in Transpolar Drift summer sea ice thickness and potential impact of Atlantification

2021 ◽  
Vol 15 (6) ◽  
pp. 2575-2591
Author(s):  
H. Jakob Belter ◽  
Thomas Krumpen ◽  
Luisa von Albedyll ◽  
Tatiana A. Alekseeva ◽  
Gerit Birnbaum ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Sea Ice ◽  
Arctic Sea Ice ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Ice Thickness ◽  
Fram Strait ◽  
Sea Ice Thickness ◽  
Ice Growth ◽  
Arctic Sea ◽  
Transpolar Drift

Abstract. Changes in Arctic sea ice thickness are the result of complex interactions of the dynamic and variable ice cover with atmosphere and ocean. Most of the sea ice exiting the Arctic Ocean does so through Fram Strait, which is why long-term measurements of ice thickness at the end of the Transpolar Drift provide insight into the integrated signals of thermodynamic and dynamic influences along the pathways of Arctic sea ice. We present an updated summer (July–August) time series of extensive ice thickness surveys carried out at the end of the Transpolar Drift between 2001 and 2020. Overall, we see a more than 20 % thinning of modal ice thickness since 2001. A comparison of this time series with first preliminary results from the international Multidisciplinary drifting Observatory for the Study of Arctic Climate (MOSAiC) shows that the modal summer thickness of the MOSAiC floe and its wider vicinity are consistent with measurements from previous years at the end of the Transpolar Drift. By combining this unique time series with the Lagrangian sea ice tracking tool, ICETrack, and a simple thermodynamic sea ice growth model, we link the observed interannual ice thickness variability north of Fram Strait to increased drift speeds along the Transpolar Drift and the consequential variations in sea ice age. We also show that the increased influence of upward-directed ocean heat flux in the eastern marginal ice zones, termed Atlantification, is not only responsible for sea ice thinning in and around the Laptev Sea but also that the induced thickness anomalies persist beyond the Russian shelves and are potentially still measurable at the end of the Transpolar Drift after more than a year. With a tendency towards an even faster Transpolar Drift, winter sea ice growth will have less time to compensate for the impact processes, such as Atlantification, have on sea ice thickness in the eastern marginal ice zone, which will increasingly be felt in other parts of the sea-ice-covered Arctic.

scholarly journals Sea ice kinematic features in the Arctic outflow region and their associations with Arctic Northeast Passage accessibility

2019 ◽  
Vol 1 ◽  
pp. 1-1
Author(s):  
Dawei Gui ◽  
Xiaoping Pang ◽  
Ruibo Lei ◽  
Xi Zhao ◽  
Jia Wang
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Arctic Sea Ice ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Fram Strait ◽  
The North ◽  
Atmospheric Circulation Indices ◽  
Arctic Sea ◽  
Outflow Region ◽  
Transpolar Drift ◽  
The Impact

<p><strong>Abstract.</strong> Increasing amounts of evidence have proven Arctic sea ice is undergoing remarkable loss. On the bright side, the Arctic sea routes are becoming increasingly accessible. In this study, the NSIDC product of sea ice motion was applied to reconstruct the northward speed of sea ice to obtain the kinematic features of the sea ice in the Arctic outflow region which specially referred to the Fram Strait and to the north of the Northeast Passage (NEP).</p><p>In the Arctic outflow region, the average southward displacement of sea ice in 2007&amp;ndash;2014 (1511&amp;thinsp;km) was more than twice the average prior to 2007 (617&amp;thinsp;km), which indicated continuous enhancement of the Transpolar Drift Stream (TDS) in comparison with previous years. In the regions to the north of the NEP, the long-term trend of northward sea ice speed in the Kara sector was +0.04&amp;thinsp;cm&amp;thinsp;s<sup>&amp;minus;1</sup>&amp;thinsp;year<sup>&amp;minus;1</sup> in spring. A significant statistical relationship was found between the NEP open period and the northward speed of the sea ice to the north of the NEP. The offshore advection of sea ice could account for the opening of sea routes by 33% and 15% in the Kara and Laptev sectors, respectively.</p><p>The atmospheric circulation indices across the TDS, i.e., the Central Arctic Index (CAI), presented more significant correlation than for the Arctic atmospheric Dipole Anomaly index with the open period of the NEP, and the CAI could explain the southward displacement of sea ice toward Fram Strait by more than 45%. The impact from the summer positive CAI reinforces the thinning and mechanical weakening of the sea ice in the NEP region, which promoted the navigability of the NEP.</p>

scholarly journals Suppression of Arctic sea ice growth by winter clouds and snowfall

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Won-il Lim ◽  
Hyo-Seok Park ◽  
Andrew Stewart ◽  
Kyong-Hwan Seo
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Longwave Radiation ◽  
Arctic Sea Ice ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Ice Thickness ◽  
Sea Ice Thickness ◽  
Ice Growth ◽  
Downward Longwave Radiation ◽  
Arctic Sea ◽  
The Impact

Abstract The ongoing Arctic warming has been pronounced in winter and has been associated with an increase in downward longwave radiation. While previous studies have demonstrated that poleward moisture flux into the Arctic strengthens downward longwave radiation, less attention has been given to the impact of the accompanying increase in snowfall. Here, utilizing state-of-the art sea ice models, we show that typical winter snowfall anomalies of 1.0 cm, accompanied by positive downward longwave radiation anomalies of ~5 W m-2 can decrease sea ice thickness by around 5 cm in the following spring over the Eurasian Seas. This basin-wide ice thinning is followed by a shrinking of summer ice extent in extreme cases. In the winter of 2016–17, anomalously strong warm/moist air transport combined with ~2.5 cm increase in snowfall decreased spring ice thickness by ~10 cm and decreased the following summer sea ice extent by 5–30%. Projected future reductions in the thickness of Arctic sea ice and snow will amplify the impact of anomalous winter snowfall events on winter sea ice growth and seasonal sea ice thickness.

scholarly journals A means-corrected estimate for the Arctic sea-ice volume in 1990–2019

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Petteri Uotila ◽  
Joula Siponen ◽  
Eero Rinne ◽  
Steffen Tietsche
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Sea Ice ◽  
Satellite Altimetry ◽  
Arctic Sea Ice ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Ice Thickness ◽  
Sea Ice Thickness ◽  
Ice Volume ◽  
Basin Scale ◽  
Arctic Sea

&lt;p&gt;Decadal changes in sea-ice thickness are one of the most visible signs of climate variability and change. To gain a comprehensive understanding of mechanisms involved, long time series, preferably with good uncertainty estimates, are needed. Importantly, the development of accurate predictions of sea ice in the Arctic requires good observational products. To assist this, a new sea-ice thickness product by ESA Climate Change Initiative (CCI) is compared to a set of five ocean reanalysis (ECCO-V4r4, GLORYS12V1, ORAS5 and PIOMAS).&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;The CCI product is based on two satellite altimetry missions, CryoSat-2 and ENVISAT, which are combined to the longest continuous satellite altimetry time series of Arctic-wide sea-ice thickness, 2002&amp;#8211;2017. The CCI product performs well in the validation of the reanalyses: overall root-mean-square difference (RMSD) between monthly sea-ice thickness from CCI and the reanalyses ranges from 0.4&amp;#8211;1.2 m. The differences are a sum of reanalysis biases, such as incorrect physics or forcing, as well as uncertainties in satellite altimetry, such as the snow climatology used in the thickness retrieval.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;The CCI and reanalysis basin-scale sea-ice volumes have a good match in terms of year-to-year variability and long-term trends but rather different monthly mean climatologies. These findings provide a rationale to construct a multi-decadal sea-ice volume time series for the Arctic Ocean and its sub-basins from 1990&amp;#8211;2019 by adjusting the ocean reanalyses ensemble toward CCI observations. Such a time series, including its uncertainty estimate, provides new insights to the evolution of the Arctic sea-ice volume during the past 30 years.&lt;/p&gt;

Evaluation of a multilayer snow scheme in NEMO-LIM3

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gaëlle Gilson ◽  
Thierry Fichefet ◽  
Olivier Lecomte ◽  
Pierre-Yves Barriat ◽  
Jean Sterlin ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Ocean Circulation ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Thickness Distribution ◽  
Arctic Sea Ice ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Optimum Number ◽  
Ice Growth ◽  
Arctic Sea ◽  
The Impact

&lt;p&gt;Arctic sea ice is a major component of the Earth&amp;#8217;s climate system and has been experiencing a drastic decline over the past decades, with important consequences regionally and globally. With the sustained warming of the Arctic, sea ice loss is expected to continue in the future. However, the estimation of its magnitude is model-dependent. As a result, the representation of sea ice in climate models requires further consideration. A major issue relates to the long-standing misrepresentation of snow properties on sea ice. However, the presence of snow strongly impacts sea ice growth and surface energy balance. Through its high albedo, snow reflects more solar radiation than bare sea ice does. When a snow cover is present, sea ice growth is reduced because snow is an effective insulator, with a thermal conductivity an order of magnitude lower than that of sea ice. Ocean circulation models usually use multiple layers to resolve sea ice thermodynamics but only one single layer for snow. Lecomte et al. (2013) developed a multilayer snow scheme for ocean circulation models and improved the snow depth distribution by considering the macroscopic effects of wind packing and redeposition. Since then, this snow scheme has been revisited and implemented in a more recent and much more robust NEMO-LIM version, using a simpler technical approach. In addition, new instrumental observations of snow thickness, distribution and density are available since these exploratory works. They are used in the current study to: 1) evaluate the performance of the multilayer snow scheme for sea ice in the NEMO-LIM3 model, and 2) investigate the climatic importance of this snow scheme. Here, we present results of simulations with a varying number of snow layers. By comparing these to the latest observational datasets, we recommend an optimum number of snow &amp;#160;layers to be used in ocean circulation models in both hemispheres. Finally, we explore the impact of a few specific parameterizations of snow thermophysical properties on the representation of sea ice in climate models.&lt;/p&gt;

scholarly journals A 1-D model study of Arctic sea-ice salinity

2014 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 1723-1793 ◽  
Author(s):  
P. J. Griewank ◽  
D. Notz
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Arctic Sea Ice ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Thermal Resistivity ◽  
Ice Thickness ◽  
Salinity Profile ◽  
Arctic Sea ◽  
Bulk Salinity ◽  
The Impact ◽  
D Model

Abstract. We use a 1-D model to study how salinity evolves in Arctic sea ice. To do so, we first explore how sea-ice surface melt and flooding can be incorporated into the 1-D thermodynamic SAMSIM sea-ice model presented by Griewank and Notz (2013). We introduce flooding and a flushing parametrization which treats sea ice as a hydraulic network of horizontal and vertical fluxes. Forcing SAMSIM with 36 years of ERA-interim atmospheric reanalysis data, we obtain a modeled Arctic sea-ice salinity that agrees well with ice-core measurements. The simulations hence allow us to identify the main drivers of the observed mean salinity profile in Arctic sea ice. Our results show a 1.5–4 g kg−1 decrease of bulk salinity via gravity drainage after ice growth has ceased and before flushing sets in, which hinders approximating bulk salinity from ice thickness beyond the first growth season. In our simulations, salinity variability of first-year ice is mostly restricted to the top 20 cm. We find that ice thickness, thermal resistivity, freshwater column, and stored energy change by less than 5% on average when the full salinity parametrization is replaced with a prescribed salinity profile. We conclude that for earth system models the impact of fully parametrizing the Arctic temporal salinity evolution is too small to justify the increase in computational cost and model complexity.

scholarly journals Fram Strait: Possible key to saving Arctic ice

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Detelina Ivanova ◽  
Subarna Bhattacharyya ◽  
Leslie Field ◽  
Velimir Mlaker ◽  
Anthony Strawa ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Arctic Sea Ice ◽  
Atmospheric Dynamics ◽  
Arctic Climate ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Fram Strait ◽  
Arctic Sea ◽  
Transpolar Drift ◽  
Arctic Ice ◽  
Ice Pack

Abstract We present a modeling study of the sensitivity of present-day Arctic climate dynamics to increases in sea ice albedo in the Fram Strait. Our analysis reveals a new mechanism whereby enhancing the albedo in the Fram Strait triggers a transition of the regional atmospheric dynamics to a negative Arctic Dipole Anomaly phase. This causes an Arctic-wide ice circulation regime, weakening Transpolar Drift and reducing Fram Strait ice export, leading to thickening of the multi-year ice pack. These findings advance our understanding of the key role that the Fram Strait plays in the Arctic climate and highlights a potential path to restoring Arctic sea ice.

scholarly journals A Multi-Sensor and Modeling Approach for Mapping Light Under Sea Ice During the Ice-Growth Season

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Julienne Stroeve ◽  
Martin Vancoppenolle ◽  
Gaelle Veyssiere ◽  
Marion Lebrun ◽  
Giulia Castellani ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Ice Cover ◽  
Snow Accumulation ◽  
Arctic Sea Ice ◽  
Ecosystem Dynamics ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Ice Thickness ◽  
Growth Season ◽  
Ice Growth ◽  
Arctic Sea

Arctic sea ice is shifting from a year-round to a seasonal sea ice cover. This substantial transformation, via a reduction in Arctic sea ice extent and a thinning of its thickness, influences the amount of light entering the upper ocean. This in turn impacts under-ice algal growth and associated ecosystem dynamics. Field campaigns have provided valuable insights as to how snow and ice properties impact light penetration at fixed locations in the Arctic, but to understand the spatial variability in the under-ice light field there is a need to scale up to the pan-Arctic level. Combining information from satellites with state-of-the-art parameterizations is one means to achieve this. This study combines satellite and modeled data products to map under-ice light on a monthly time-scale from 2011 through 2018. Key limitations pertain to the availability of satellite-derived sea ice thickness, which for radar altimetry, is only available during the sea ice growth season. We clearly show that year-to-year variability in snow depth, along with the fraction of thin ice, plays a key role in how much light enters the Arctic Ocean. This is particularly significant in April, which in some regions, coincides with the beginning of the under-ice algal bloom, whereas we find that ice thickness is the main driver of under-ice light availability at the end of the melt season in October. The extension to the melt season due to a warmer Arctic means that snow accumulation has reduced, which is leading to positive trends in light transmission through snow. This, combined with a thinner ice cover, should lead to increased under-ice PAR also in the summer months.

scholarly journals Recent summer sea ice thickness surveys in the Fram Strait and associated volume fluxes

2015 ◽  
Vol 9 (5) ◽  
pp. 5171-5202 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. Krumpen ◽  
R. Gerdes ◽  
C. Haas ◽  
S. Hendricks ◽  
A. Herber ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Source Area ◽  
Arctic Sea Ice ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Ice Thickness ◽  
Fram Strait ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Sea Ice Thickness ◽  
Airborne Electromagnetic ◽  
Transpolar Drift

Abstract. Fram Strait is the main gateway for sea ice export out of the Arctic Ocean, and therefore observations there give insight into composition and properties of Arctic sea ice in general and how it varies over time. An extensive data set of ground-based and airborne electromagnetic ice thickness measurements collected between 2001 and 2012 is presented here, including long transects well into the southern part of the Transpolar Drift obtained using fixed-wing aircrafts. The source area for the surveyed ice is primarily the Laptev Sea, and the estimated age is consistent with a decreased from 3 to 2 years between 1990 and 2012. The data consistently also show a general thinning for the last decade, with a decrease in modal thickness of second year and multiyear ice, and a decrease in mean thickness and fraction of ice thicker than 3 m. Local melting in the strait was investigated in two surveys performed in the downstream direction, showing a decrease of 0.19 m degree−1 latitude south of 81° N probably driven by bottom melting from warm water of Atlantic origin. Further north variability in ice thickness is more related to differences in age and deformation. The thickness observations were combined with ice area export estimates to calculate summer volume fluxes of sea ice. This shows that it is possible to determine volume fluxes through Fram Strait during summer when satellite based sea ice thickness information is missing. While the ice area export based on satellite remote sensing shows positive trends since 2001, the mean fluxes during summer (July and August) are small (18 km3), and long-term trends are uncertain due to the limited surveys available.

Parameter calibration and uncertainty analysis for snow depths from the NASA Eulerian Snow On Sea Ice Model and derived sea ice thickness from ICESat-2

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alex Cabaj ◽  
Paul Kushner ◽  
Alek Petty
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Snow Depth ◽  
Arctic Sea Ice ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Ice Thickness ◽  
Blowing Snow ◽  
Sea Ice Thickness ◽  
Ice Growth ◽  
Arctic Sea ◽  
Ice Model

&lt;p&gt;&lt;span&gt;Snow on Arctic sea ice plays many, sometimes contrasting roles in Arctic climate feedbacks. During the sea ice growth season, the presence of snow on sea ice can enhance ice growth by increasing the sea ice albedo, or conversely, inhibit sea ice growth by insulating the ice from the cold atmosphere. Furthermore, estimates of snow depth on Arctic sea ice are also a key input for deriving sea ice thickness from altimetry measurements, such as satellite lidar altimetry measurements from ICESat-2. Due to the logistical challenges of making measurements in as remote a region as the Arctic, snow depth on Arctic sea ice is difficult to observationally constrain.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;The NASA Eulerian Snow On Sea Ice Model (NESOSIM) can be used to provide snow depth and density estimates over Arctic sea ice with pan-Arctic coverage within a relatively simple framework. The latest version of NESOSIM, version 1.1, is a 2-layer model with simple representations of the processes of accumulation, wind packing, loss due to blowing snow, and redistribution due to sea ice motion. Relative to version 1.0, NESOSIM 1.1 features an extended model domain, and reanalysis snowfall input scaled to observed snowfall retrieved from CloudSat satellite radar reflectivity measurements.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;In this work, we present a systematic calibration, and an accompanying estimate in the uncertainty of the free parameters in NESOSIM, targeting airborne snow radar measurements from Operation IceBridge. We further investigate uncertainties in snow depth and the resulting uncertainties in derived sea ice thickness from ICESat-2 altimetry measurements using NESOSIM snow depths.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;

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