scholarly journals Future projections of the Greenland ice sheet energy balance driving the surface melt, developed using the regional climate MAR model

2012 ◽  
Vol 6 (4) ◽  
pp. 2265-2303 ◽  
Author(s):  
B. Franco ◽  
X. Fettweis ◽  
M. Erpicum
Keyword(s):  
Energy Balance ◽  
Cloud Cover ◽  
Surface Albedo ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Greenland Ice Sheet ◽  
Heat Fluxes ◽  
Near Surface ◽  
Global Circulation Models ◽  
Surface Melt

Abstract. In this study, 25 km-simulations are performed over the Greenland ice sheet (GrIS) throughout the 20th and 21st centuries, using the regional climate model MAR forced by four RCP scenarios from two CMIP5 global circulation models, in order to investigate the projected changes of the surface energy balance (SEB) components driving the surface melt. Analysis of 2000–2100 melt anomalies compared to melt results over 1980–1999 reveals an exponential relationship of the GrIS surface melt rate simulated by MAR to the near-surface temperature (TAS) anomalies, mainly due to the surface albedo positive feedback associated with the extension of bare ice areas in summer. On the GrIS margins, the future melt anomalies are rather driven by stronger sensible heat fluxes, induced by enhanced warm air advections over the ice sheet. Over the central dry snow zone, the increase of melt surpasses the negative feedback from heavier snowfall inducing therefore a decrease of the summer surface albedo even at the top of the ice sheet. In addition to the incoming longwave flux increase associated to the atmosphere warming, MAR projects an increase of the cloud cover decreasing the ratio of the incoming shortwave versus longwave radiation and dampening the albedo feedback. However, it should be noted that this trend in the cloud cover is contrary to that simulated by ERA-INTERIM-forced MAR over current climate, where the observed melt increase since the 1990's seems rather to be a consequence of more anticyclonic atmospheric conditions. Finally, no significant change is projected in the length of the melt season. This timing highlights the importance of solar radiation in the melt SEB.

scholarly journals Future projections of the Greenland ice sheet energy balance driving the surface melt

2013 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-18 ◽  
Author(s):  
B. Franco ◽  
X. Fettweis ◽  
M. Erpicum
Keyword(s):  
Energy Balance ◽  
Positive Feedback ◽  
Cloud Cover ◽  
Surface Albedo ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Greenland Ice Sheet ◽  
Near Surface ◽  
Global Circulation Models ◽  
Recent Climate ◽  
Surface Melt

Abstract. In this study, simulations at 25 km resolution are performed over the Greenland ice sheet (GrIS) throughout the 20th and 21st centuries, using the regional climate model MAR forced by four RCP scenarios from three CMIP5 global circulation models (GCMs), in order to investigate the projected changes of the surface energy balance (SEB) components driving the surface melt. Analysis of 2000–2100 melt anomalies compared to melt results over 1980–1999 reveals an exponential relationship of the GrIS surface melt rate simulated by MAR to the near-surface air temperature (TAS) anomalies, mainly due to the surface albedo positive feedback associated with the extension of bare ice areas in summer. On the GrIS margins, the future melt anomalies are preferentially driven by stronger sensible heat fluxes, induced by enhanced warm air advection over the ice sheet. Over the central dry snow zone, the surface albedo positive feedback induced by the increase in summer melt exceeds the negative feedback of heavier snowfall for TAS anomalies higher than 4 °C. In addition to the incoming longwave flux increase associated with the atmosphere warming, GCM-forced MAR simulations project an increase of the cloud cover decreasing the ratio of the incoming shortwave versus longwave radiation and dampening the albedo feedback. However, it should be noted that this trend in the cloud cover is contrary to that simulated by ERA-Interim–forced MAR for recent climate conditions, where the observed melt increase since the 1990s seems mainly to be a consequence of more anticyclonic atmospheric conditions. Finally, no significant change is projected in the length of the melt season, which highlights the importance of solar radiation absorbed by the ice sheet surface in the melt SEB.

scholarly journals Albedo reduction caused by black carbon and dust accumulation: a quantitive model applied to the western margin of the Greenland ice sheet

2015 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 1345-1381 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. Goelles ◽  
C. E. Bøggild
Keyword(s):  
Black Carbon ◽  
Surface Albedo ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Mineral Dust ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Greenland Ice Sheet ◽  
Ice Surface ◽  
Regional Climate Model Output ◽  
Surface Melt

Abstract. Ice loss due to surface melt of the Greenland ice sheet has increased in recent years. Surface melt in the ablation zone is controlled by atmospheric temperature and surface albedo. Impurities such as mineral dust and black carbon darken the snow and ice surfaces and therefore reduce the surface albedo which leads to more absorbed solar energy and ultimately amplifying melt. These impurities accumulate on the ice surface both from atmospheric fallout and by melt-out of material which was enclosed in the snowpack or the ice compound. A general impurity accumulation model is developed and applied to calculate the surface albedo evolution at two locations in western Greenland. The model is forced either by regional climate model output or by a parameterisation for temperature and precipitation. Simulations identify mineral dust as the main contributor to impurity mass on ice where the dominating part originates from melt out of englacial dust. Daily reduction of impurities is in the range of one per-mille which leads to a residence time of decades on the ice surface. Therefore the impurities have a prolonged effect on surface melt once they are located on the ice surface. The currently englacially stored mineral dust and black carbon will effect future melt and sea level rise and can be studied with the presented model.

scholarly journals Seasonal monitoring of melt and accumulation within the deep percolation zone of the Greenland Ice Sheet and comparison with simulations of regional climate modeling

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Achim Heilig ◽  
Olaf Eisen ◽  
Michael MacFerrin ◽  
Marco Tedesco ◽  
Xavier Fettweis
Keyword(s):  
Water Content ◽  
Liquid Water ◽  
Pore Space ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Greenland Ice Sheet ◽  
Liquid Water Content ◽  
Water Infiltration ◽  
Near Surface ◽  
Percolation Zone

Abstract. Increasing melt over the Greenland ice sheet (GrIS) recorded over the past years has resulted in significant changes of the percolation regime of the ice sheet. It remains unclear whether Greenland's percolation zone will act as meltwater buffer in the near future through gradually filling all pore space or if near-surface refreezing causes the formation of impermeable layers, which provoke lateral runoff. Homogeneous ice layers within perennial firn, as well as near-surface ice layers of several meter thickness are observable in firn cores. Because firn coring is a destructive method, deriving stratigraphic changes in firn and allocation of summer melt events is challenging. To overcome this deficit and provide continuous data for model evaluations on snow and firn density, temporal changes in liquid water content and depths of water infiltration, we installed an upward-looking radar system (upGPR) 3.4 m below the snow surface in May 2016 close to Camp Raven (66.4779° N/46.2856° W) at 2120 m a.s.l. The radar is capable to monitor quasi-continuously changes in snow and firn stratigraphy, which occur above the antennas. For summer 2016, we observed four major melt events, which routed liquid water into various depths beneath the surface. The last event in mid-August resulted in the deepest percolation down to about 2.3 m beneath the surface. Comparisons with simulations from the regional climate model MAR are in very good agreement in terms of seasonal changes in accumulation and timing of onset of melt. However, neither bulk density of near-surface layers nor the amounts of liquid water and percolation depths predicted by MAR correspond with upGPR data. Radar data and records of a nearby thermistor string, in contrast, matched very well, for both, timing and depth of temperature changes and observed water percolations. All four melt events transferred a cumulative mass of 56 kg/m2 into firn beneath the summer surface of 2015. We find that continuous observations of liquid water content, percolation depths and rates for the seasonal mass fluxes are sufficiently accurate to provide valuable information for validation of model approaches and help to develop a better understanding of liquid water retention and percolation in perennial firn.

scholarly journals Strong Summer Atmospheric Rivers Trigger Greenland Ice Sheet Melt through Spatially Varying Surface Energy Balance and Cloud Regimes

2020 ◽  
Vol 33 (16) ◽  
pp. 6809-6832 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kyle S. Mattingly ◽  
Thomas L. Mote ◽  
Xavier Fettweis ◽  
Dirk van As ◽  
Kristof Van Tricht ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Energy Balance ◽  
Surface Energy ◽  
Surface Energy Balance ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Greenland Ice Sheet ◽  
Heat Fluxes ◽  
Water Vapor Transport ◽  
Turbulent Heat ◽  
Atmospheric Rivers ◽  
Turbulent Heat Fluxes

ABSTRACTMass loss from the Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS) has accelerated over the past two decades, coincident with rapid Arctic warming and increasing moisture transport over Greenland by atmospheric rivers (ARs). Summer ARs affecting western Greenland trigger GrIS melt events, but the physical mechanisms through which ARs induce melt are not well understood. This study elucidates the coupled surface–atmosphere processes by which ARs force GrIS melt through analysis of the surface energy balance (SEB), cloud properties, and local- to synoptic-scale atmospheric conditions during strong summer AR events affecting western Greenland. ARs are identified in MERRA-2 reanalysis (1980–2017) and classified by integrated water vapor transport (IVT) intensity. SEB, cloud, and atmospheric data from regional climate model, observational, reanalysis, and satellite-based datasets are used to analyze melt-inducing physical processes during strong, >90th percentile “AR90+” events. Near AR “landfall,” AR90+ days feature increased cloud cover that reduces net shortwave radiation and increases net longwave radiation. As these oppositely signed radiative anomalies partly cancel during AR90+ events, increased melt energy in the ablation zone is primarily provided by turbulent heat fluxes, particularly sensible heat flux. These turbulent heat fluxes are driven by enhanced barrier winds generated by a stronger synoptic pressure gradient combined with an enhanced local temperature contrast between cool over-ice air and the anomalously warm surrounding atmosphere. During AR90+ events in northwest Greenland, anomalous melt is forced remotely through a clear-sky foehn regime produced by downslope flow in eastern Greenland.

scholarly journals The modelled liquid water balance of the Greenland Ice Sheet

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christian R. Steger ◽  
Carleen H. Reijmer ◽  
Michiel R. van den Broeke
Keyword(s):  
Water Balance ◽  
Liquid Water ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Greenland Ice Sheet ◽  
Special Focus ◽  
Southeastern Part ◽  
Upward Migration ◽  
Near Surface ◽  
Surface Mass ◽  
Surface Melt

Abstract. Recent studies indicate that the surface mass balance will dominate the Greenland Ice Sheet's (GrIS) contribution to 21st century sea level rise. Consequently, it is crucial to understand the liquid water balance (LWB) of the ice sheet and its response to increasing surface melt. We therefore analyse a firn simulation conducted with SNOWPACK for the GrIS and over the period 1960–2014 with a special focus on the LWB and refreezing. An indirect evaluation of the simulated refreezing climate with GRACE and firn temperature observations indicate a good model performance. Results of the LWB analysis reveal a spatially uniform increase in surface melt during 1990–2014. As a response, refreezing and runoff also indicate positive trends for this period, where refreezing increases with only half the rate of runoff, which implies that the majority of the additional liquid input runs off the ice sheet. However, this pattern is spatially variable as e.g. in the southeastern part of the GrIS, most of the additional liquid input is buffered in the firn layer due to relatively high snowfall rates. The increase in modelled refreezing leads to a general decrease in firn air content and to a substantial increase in near-surface firn temperature in some regions. On the western side of the ice sheet, modelled firn temperature increases are highest in the lower accumulation zone and are primarily caused by the exceptional melt season of 2012. On the eastern side, simulated firn temperature increases more gradually and with an associated upward migration of firn aquifers.

Time-Domain Reflectometry Observations of Meltwater Percolation and Retention in the Firn Layer of the Greenland Ice Sheet

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Samira Samimi ◽  
Shawn Marshall ◽  
Michael McFerrin
Keyword(s):  
Energy Balance ◽  
Surface Energy ◽  
Time Domain ◽  
Liquid Water ◽  
Surface Energy Balance ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Greenland Ice Sheet ◽  
Time Domain Reflectometry ◽  
Latent Heat Release ◽  
Near Surface

<p>Mass loss from the Greenland Ice Sheet has increased in recent decades due to significant increases in surface melt and runoff. The fraction of summer melt retains as a liquid water or refreezes as it percolates into the underlying cold firn, acting as a buffer to the summer runoff. There are challenges to quantifying both infiltration and refreezing of meltwater in this complex heterogeneous cold firn and to understand the spatial variability of these processes. In this study we present continuous in situ measurements of near-surface temperature and dielectric permittivity, a proxy for volumetric water content, using TDR (Time Domain Reflectometry) methods in the percolation zone of the southern Greenland Ice Sheet. We established two observation sites near Dye 2 in April, 2016, excavating firn pits to depths of 2.2 and 5.3 m. The two sites are 650 m apart to quantify the percolation and refreezing of meltwater and to observe the spatial variability of these processes through summer 2016. Thermistor arrays were used to track the thermal signature of meltwater penetration in firn, through the effects of latent heat release when meltwater refreezes. Through the addition of TDR probes, we attempt to directly quantify meltwater volume as well as hydraulic conductivity of the near-surface snow and firn. An automatic weather station (AWS) configured for surface energy balance monitoring was also installed. AWS data were used to calculate the surface energy balance and model meltwater production. The melting front, characterized by 0°C conditions and direct evidence of liquid water, penetrated to a depth of between 1.8 and 2.1 m in summer 2016; at depths of 2.1 m and greater, temperatures remained below 0°C, there was no evidence of abrupt warming (i.e. latent heat release), and dielectric permittivities remained at their background levels. Meltwater penetrated several thick ice layers, but not until temperatures reached the melting point at these depths, implying that ice layers may transition to a permeable ‘slush’ layer, given enough conductive and latent heating, permitting progressive penetration of meltwater to depth. Firn temperatures (sub-zero conditions below ~2 m) appear to have been the main barrier to deep penetration of meltwater during summer 2016.</p>

scholarly journals Estimating the Greenland ice sheet surface mass balance contribution to future sea level rise using the regional atmospheric climate model MAR

2013 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 469-489 ◽  
Author(s):  
X. Fettweis ◽  
B. Franco ◽  
M. Tedesco ◽  
J. H. van Angelen ◽  
J. T. M. Lenaerts ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Mass Balance ◽  
Sea Level Rise ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Greenland Ice Sheet ◽  
Surface Mass Balance ◽  
Near Surface ◽  
Surface Mass

Abstract. To estimate the sea level rise (SLR) originating from changes in surface mass balance (SMB) of the Greenland ice sheet (GrIS), we present 21st century climate projections obtained with the regional climate model MAR (Modèle Atmosphérique Régional), forced by output of three CMIP5 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5) general circulation models (GCMs). Our results indicate that in a warmer climate, mass gain from increased winter snowfall over the GrIS does not compensate mass loss through increased meltwater run-off in summer. Despite the large spread in the projected near-surface warming, all the MAR projections show similar non-linear increase of GrIS surface melt volume because no change is projected in the general atmospheric circulation over Greenland. By coarsely estimating the GrIS SMB changes from GCM output, we show that the uncertainty from the GCM-based forcing represents about half of the projected SMB changes. In 2100, the CMIP5 ensemble mean projects a GrIS SMB decrease equivalent to a mean SLR of +4 ± 2 cm and +9 ± 4 cm for the RCP (Representative Concentration Pathways) 4.5 and RCP 8.5 scenarios respectively. These estimates do not consider the positive melt–elevation feedback, although sensitivity experiments using perturbed ice sheet topographies consistent with the projected SMB changes demonstrate that this is a significant feedback, and highlight the importance of coupling regional climate models to an ice sheet model. Such a coupling will allow the assessment of future response of both surface processes and ice-dynamic changes to rising temperatures, as well as their mutual feedbacks.

scholarly journals Evaluation of surface and near-surface melt characteristics on the Greenland ice sheet using MODIS and QuikSCAT data

2009 ◽  
Vol 114 (F4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Dorothy K. Hall ◽  
Son V. Nghiem ◽  
Crystal B. Schaaf ◽  
Nicolo E. DiGirolamo ◽  
Gregory Neumann
Keyword(s):  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Greenland Ice Sheet ◽  
Near Surface ◽  
Surface Melt

scholarly journals Reconstructions of the 1900–2015 Greenland ice sheet surface mass balance using the regional climate MAR model

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xavier Fettweis ◽  
Jason E. Box ◽  
Cécile Agosta ◽  
Charles Amory ◽  
Christoph Kittel ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Mass Balance ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Greenland Ice Sheet ◽  
Ice Cores ◽  
Surface Mass Balance ◽  
Reference Period ◽  
Ice Dynamics ◽  
Near Surface ◽  
Surface Mass

Abstract. With the aim of studying the recent Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS) Surface Mass Balance (SMB) decrease with respect to the last century, we have forced the regional climate MAR model (version 3.5.2) with the ERA-Interim (1979–2015), ERA-40 (1958–2001), NCEP-NCARv1 (1948–2015), NCEP-NCARv2 (1979–2015), JRA-55 (1958–2014), 20CRv2(c) (1900–2014) and ERA-20C (1900–2010) reanalysis. While all of these forcing products are reanalyses assumed to represent the same climate, they produce significant differences in the MAR simulated SMB over their common period. A temperature adjustment of +1 °C (respectively −1 °C) improved the accuracy of MAR boundary conditions from both ERA-20C and 20CRv2 reanalyses given that ERA-20C (resp. 20CRv2) is 1 °C colder (resp. warmer) over Greenland than ERA-Interim over 1980–2010. Comparisons with daily PROMICE near-surface observations validated these adjustments. Comparisons with SMB measurements from PROMICE, ice cores and satellite derived melt extent reveal the most accurate forcing data sets for simulating the GrIS SMB to be ERA-Interim and NCEP-NCARv1. However, some biases remain in MAR suggesting that some improvements need still to be done in its cloudiness and radiative scheme as well as in the representation of the bare ice albedo. Results from all forcing simulations indicate: (i) the period 1961–1990 commonly chosen as a stable reference period for Greenland SMB and ice dynamics is actually a period when the SMB was anomalously positive (~ +10 %) compared to the last 120 years; (ii) SMB has decreased significantly after this reference period due to increasing and unprecedented melt reaching the highest rates in the 120 year common period; (iii) before 1960, both ERA-20C and 20CRv2 forced MAR simulations suggest a significant precipitation increase over 1900–1950 although this increase could be the result of an artefact in reanalysis not enough constrained by observations during this period. These MAR-based SMB and accumulation reconstructions are however quite similar to those from Box (2013) after 1930, which confirms the Box (2013)'s stationarity assumption of SMB over the last century. Finally, the ERA-20C forced simulation only suggests that SMB during the 1920–1930 warm period over Greenland was comparable to the SMB of the 2000's due to both higher melt and lower precipitation than normal.

scholarly journals Importance of Orography for Greenland Cloud and Melt Response to Atmospheric Blocking

2020 ◽  
Vol 33 (10) ◽  
pp. 4187-4206 ◽  
Author(s):  
L. C. Hahn ◽  
T. Storelvmo ◽  
S. Hofer ◽  
R. Parfitt ◽  
C. C. Ummenhofer
Keyword(s):  
High Pressure ◽  
Cloud Cover ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Model Simulation ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Greenland Ice Sheet ◽  
Atmospheric Blocking ◽  
Circulation Anomalies

AbstractMore frequent high pressure conditions associated with atmospheric blocking episodes over Greenland in recent decades have been suggested to enhance melt through large-scale subsidence and cloud dissipation, which allows more solar radiation to reach the ice sheet surface. Here we investigate mechanisms linking high pressure circulation anomalies to Greenland cloud changes and resulting cloud radiative effects, with a focus on the previously neglected role of topography. Using reanalysis and satellite data in addition to a regional climate model, we show that anticyclonic circulation anomalies over Greenland during recent extreme blocking summers produce cloud changes dependent on orographic lift and descent. The resulting increased cloud cover over northern Greenland promotes surface longwave warming, while reduced cloud cover in southern and marginal Greenland favors surface shortwave warming. Comparison with an idealized model simulation with flattened topography reveals that orographic effects were necessary to produce area-averaged decreasing cloud cover since the mid-1990s and the extreme melt observed in the summer of 2012. This demonstrates a key role for Greenland topography in mediating the cloud and melt response to large-scale circulation variability. These results suggest that future melt will depend on the pattern of circulation anomalies as well as the shape of the Greenland Ice Sheet.

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