scholarly journals An analysis of drought evolution characteristics based on standardized precipitation index: a case study in Southwest Guizhou Autonomous Prefecture, China

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (3) ◽  
pp. 327-335
Author(s):  
XU YANG ◽  
XIAOHOU SHAO ◽  
XINYU MAO ◽  
XIUNENG LI ◽  
RONGQI LI

Drought is a worldwide concerned issue which causes huge losses in agriculture, economic and damages in natural ecosystems. The precise assessment of drought evolution characteristics is essential for agricultural water management and drought resistance, while such work is rarely reported. Thus, eight meteorological stations located within the Southwest Guizhou Autonomous Prefecture (SGAP) were selected, and the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) was used to assess the drought evolution characteristics. The results revealed that the drought occurrences number in Pu'an station was the largest (23 droughts), and the average drought duration in Xingren station was the longest (48.75 months). Moreover, the drought characteristics of the eight stations have account for the largest proportion under normal conditions, was more than 60%, the frequency of drought disaster occurring in Xingren is the highest (30.05%), followed by Wangmo (23.73%). The results of this study will provide theoretical guidance for drought resistance and agricultural production in Southwest Guizhou Autonomous Prefecture of China.

2008 ◽  
Vol 97 (3-4) ◽  
pp. 219-233 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cr. Paltineanu ◽  
I. F. Mihailescu ◽  
Zoia Prefac ◽  
Carmen Dragota ◽  
Felicia Vasenciuc ◽  
...  

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shuang Zhu

<p><span lang="EN-US"><span>Climate change has been proved to exacerbate drought events and further cause huge economic and ecological losses worldwide. Therefore, it is of great significance to study the long-term evolution characteristics of drought events and quantify the impact of drought events on typical ecological indexes. Based on the measured historical precipitation data, the standardized precipitation index of different time scales was extracted to measure water deficit. The leaf area index with wide range and high precision was generated based on the Modis remote sensing image and denoising processing to represent vegetation growth. Trend analysis and change point analysis were carried out to study the spatiotemporal evolution characteristics of the concerned drought indexes. Then, with hypothesis test, appropriate copula multivariate analysis method was innovatively introduced to construct joint distribution of the standardized precipitation index and leaf area index. The contribution of drought on vegetation growth was expected to be quantified by deriving the conditional copula and preset marginal distributions. The upper Yangtze River where biomass is extremely sensitive to climate change was taken as a study area. The results show that drought events in this region have significant spatial heterogeneity. The leaf area index is highly influenced by the meteorological drought index. From no drought to severe drought, the vegetation index is distributed more and more toward the low value. Copula is very potential to find the inner relationship of the standardized precipitation index and leaf area index. The study is useful to deepen the understanding of the internal mechanism of drought events and discuss reasonable disaster prevention and mitigation countermeasures.</span></span></p> <p> </p>


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Luis Díaz Chávez ◽  
Ana Patricia Espinosa Romero ◽  
Jairo Rosado Vega

Abstract The objective of this study was to assess droughts in the department of La Guajira, Columbia, on the basis of their operational characteristics. Droughts were assessed using the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) at three- and six-month aggregation periods (SPI-3 and SPI-6), and their operational characteristics were analyzed by the run theory and via analysis of temporal trends using the modified Mann-Kendall (MMK) test. The results indicated that droughts were most frequent in La Guajira between 1995 and 2004. The occurrence of droughts was most accurately identified by SPI-6. It was observed that the central, southern, and western areas of the department had droughts of greater duration, severity, and intensity. The MMK test shows negative (decreasing) temporal trends at significance levels α between 0.1 and 0.01 in 6.12% of the meteorological stations located in the central and southern areas of La Guajira. These results support the conclusion that droughts are recurrent events in the department of La Guajira as a result of the arid and semi-arid climate prevalent in significant portions of the department’s land area. This elucidates the vulnerability of agriculture and livestock in such areas that are prone to droughts of greater duration, severity, and intensity.


2005 ◽  
Vol 9 (5) ◽  
pp. 523-533 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. M. Vicente-Serrano ◽  
J. I. López-Moreno

Abstract. At present, the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) is the most widely used drought index to provide good estimations about the intensity, magnitude and spatial extent of droughts. The main advantage of the SPI in comparison with other indices is the fact that the SPI enables both determination of drought conditions at different time scales and monitoring of different drought types. It is widely accepted that SPI time scales affect different sub-systems in the hydrological cycle due to the fact that the response of the different water usable sources to precipitation shortages can be very different. The long time scales of SPI are related to hydrological droughts (river flows and reservoir storages). Nevertheless, few analyses empirically verify these statements or the usefulness of the SPI time scales to monitor drought. In this paper, the SPI at different time scales is compared with surface hydrological variables in a big closed basin located in the central Spanish Pyrenees. We provide evidence about the way in which the longer (>12 months) SPI time scales may not be useful for drought quantification in this area. In general, the surface flows respond to short SPI time scales whereas the reservoir storages respond to longer time scales (7–10 months). Nevertheless, important seasonal differences can be identified in the SPI-usable water sources relationships. This suggests that it is necessary to test the drought indices and time scales in relation to their usefulness for monitoring different drought types under different environmental conditions and water demand situations.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document