The Ordered Network Structure and its Prediction for the Big Floods of the Changjiang River Basins

According to the latest statistical data of hydrology, a total of 21 floods took place over the Changjiang (Yangtze) River Basins from 1827 to 2012 and showed an obvious commensurable orderliness. In the guidance of the information forecasting theory of Wen-Bo Weng, based on previous research results, combining ordered analysis with complex network technology, we focus on the summary of the ordered network structure of the Changjiang floods, supplement new information, further optimize networks, construct the 2D- and 3D-ordered network structure and make prediction research. Predictions show that the future big deluges will probably occur over the Changjiang River Basin around 2013 - 2014, 2020 - 2021, 2030, 2036, 2051, and 2058.

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The Ordered Network Structure of M≥8 Earthquakes and its Prediction for the Ordered Pair Great Earthquakes in Mainland China

Zeitschrift für Naturforschung A ◽

10.5560/zna.2013-0086 ◽

2014 ◽

Vol 69 (3-4) ◽

pp. 145-154 ◽

Cited By ~ 1

Author(s):

Ke-Pei Men ◽

Kai Zhao

Keyword(s):

Network Structure ◽

Mainland China ◽

Time Interval ◽

Self Organized ◽

Great Earthquakes ◽

New Information ◽

History Of ◽

Rare Earthquake ◽

2D And 3D ◽

Forecasting Theory

According to the statistical data, a total of 23 M ≥ 8 earthquakes occurred in Mainland China from 1303 to 2012. The seismic activity of M ≥ 8 earthquakes has showed an obvious self-organized orderliness. It should be remarked especially that there were three ordered pairs of M ≥8 earthquakes occurred in West China during 1902 - 2001, of which the time interval in each pair of two earthquakes was four years. This is a unique and rare earthquake example in earthquake history of China and the world. In the guidance of the information forecasting theory of Wen-Bo Weng, based on previous research results, combining ordered analysis with complex network technology, this paper focuses on the summary of the ordered network structure of M ≥ 8 earthquakes, supplements new information, constructs and further optimizes the 2D- and 3D-ordered network structure of M ≥ 8 earthquakes to make prediction research. At last, a new prediction opinion is presented that the future ordered pair of great earthquakes will probably occur around 2022 and 2026 in Mainland China.

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The Ordered Network Structure and Prediction Summary for M≥7 Earthquakes in Xinjiang Region of China

Zeitschrift für Naturforschung A ◽

10.5560/zna.2014-0053 ◽

2014 ◽

Vol 69 (12) ◽

pp. 635-644

Author(s):

Ke-Pei Men ◽

Kai Zhao

Keyword(s):

Structure Analysis ◽

Network Structure ◽

Large Earthquake ◽

Study Region ◽

New Information ◽

Network Structure Analysis ◽

2D And 3D ◽

Long Term Prediction ◽

Forecasting Theory

AbstractM ≥7 earthquakes have showed an obvious commensurability and orderliness in Xinjiang of China and its adjacent region since 1800. The main orderly values are 30 a × k (k = 1,2,3), 11 ~ 12 a, 41 ~ 43 a, 18 ~ 19 a, and 5 ~ 6 a. In the guidance of the information forecasting theory of Wen-Bo Weng, based on previous research results, combining ordered network structure analysis with complex network technology, we focus on the prediction summary of M ≥ 7 earthquakes by using the ordered network structure, and add new information to further optimize network, hence construct the 2D- and 3D-ordered network structure of M ≥ 7 earthquakes. In this paper, the network structure revealed fully the regularity of seismic activity of M ≥ 7 earthquakes in the study region during the past 210 years. Based on this, the Karakorum M7.1 earthquake in 1996, the M7.9 earthquake on the frontier of Russia, Mongol, and China in 2003, and two Yutian M7.3 earthquakes in 2008 and 2014 were predicted successfully. At the same time, a new prediction opinion is presented that the future two M ≥ 7 earthquakes will probably occur around 2019 - 2020 and 2025 - 2026 in this region. The results show that large earthquake occurred in defined region can be predicted. The method of ordered network structure analysis produces satisfactory results for the mid-and-long term prediction of M ≥ 7 earthquakes.

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Fishery Resources, Environment, and Conservation in the Mississippi and Yangtze (Changjiang) River Basins

Fishery Resources, Environment, and Conservation in the Mississippi and Yangtze (Changjiang) River Basins ◽

10.47886/9781934874448.ch6 ◽

2016 ◽

Keyword(s):

Water Quality ◽

Mississippi River ◽

Yangtze River ◽

Silver Carp ◽

River Basins ◽

Bighead Carp ◽

The Yangtze River ◽

Changjiang River ◽

Hypophthalmichthys Nobilis ◽

Anthropogenic Modifications

Abstract.—Bighead Carp Hypophthalmichthys nobilis and Silver Carp H. molitrix are native in the Yangtze River and extremely important economically and culturally as food fishes; however, the two species have declined due to overfishing and anthropogenic modifications to hydrology and water quality. Bighead Carp and Silver Carp were imported to North America in the early 1970s, escaped confinement, and have now become undesirable and problematic invasive species. The two carps have become the most abundant fish species in many portions of their invaded range, which continues to expand. We compare the biology, status, and management of these species between their natal range in the Yangtze River and their invaded habitats of the Mississippi River basin.

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