scholarly journals Real Time Short-term Forecasting Method of Remaining Parking Space in Urban Parking Guidance Systems

2018 ◽  
Vol 30 (2) ◽  
pp. 173-185 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaobo Zhu ◽  
Jianhua Guo ◽  
Wei Huang ◽  
Fengquan Yu ◽  
Byungkyu Brian Park

Short-term forecasting of the remaining parking space is important for urban parking guidance systems (PGS). The previous methods like polynomial equations and neural network methods are difficult to be applied in practice because of low accuracy or lengthy initial training time which is unfavourable if real-time training is carried out on adapting to changing traffic conditions. To forecast the remaining parking space in real-time with higher accuracy and improve the performances of PGS, this study develops an online forecasting model based on a time series method. By analysing the characteristics of data collected in Nanjing, China, an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model has been established and a real-time forecasting procedure developed. The performance of this proposed model has been further analysed and compared with the performances of a neural network method and the Markov chain method. The results indicate that the mean error of the proposed model is about 2 vehicles per 15 minutes, which can meet the requirements for general PGS. Furthermore, this method outperforms the neural network model and the Markov chain method both in individual and collective error analysis. In summary, the proposed online forecasting method appears to be promising for forecasting the remaining parking space in supporting the PGS.

Electronics ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (10) ◽  
pp. 1717
Author(s):  
Wanxing Ma ◽  
Zhimin Chen ◽  
Qing Zhu

With the fast expansion of renewable energy systems during recent years, the stability and quality of smart grids using solar energy have been challenged because of the intermittency and fluctuations. Hence, forecasting photo-voltaic (PV) power generation is essential in facilitating planning and managing electricity generation and distribution. In this paper, the ultra-short-term forecasting method for solar PV power generation is investigated. Subsequently, we proposed a radial basis function (RBF)-based neural network. Additionally, to improve the network generalization ability and reduce the training time, the numbers of hidden layer neurons are limited. The input of neural network is selected as the one with higher Spearman correlation among the predicted power features. The data are normalized and the expansion parameter of RBF neurons are adjusted continuously in order to reduce the calculation errors and improve the forecasting accuracy. Numerous simulations are carried out to evaluate the performance of the proposed forecasting method. The mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of the testing set is within 10%, which show that the power values of the following 15 min. can be predicted accurately. The simulation results verify that our method shows better performance than other existing works.


2015 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 202-209 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yanjie Ji ◽  
Phil Blythe ◽  
Weihong Guo ◽  
Wei Wang ◽  
Dounan Tang

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (12) ◽  
pp. 4864
Author(s):  
Ziyao Zhao ◽  
Yi Zhang ◽  
Yi Zhang ◽  
Kaifeng Ji ◽  
He Qi

In recent years, with the rapid development of China’s automobile industry, the number of vehicles in China has been increasing steadily. Vehicles represent a convenient mode of travel, but the growth rate of the number of urban motor vehicles far exceeds the construction rate of parking facilities. The continuous improvement of parking allocation methods has always been key for ensuring sustainable city management. Thus, developing an efficient and dynamic parking distribution algorithm will be an important breakthrough to alleviate the urban parking shortage problem. However, the existing parking distribution models do not adequately consider the influence of real-time changes in parking demand and supply on parking space assignment. Therefore, this study proposed a method for dynamic parking allocation using parking demand predictions and a predictive control method. A neural-network-based dynamic parking distribution model was developed considering seven influencing factors: driving duration, walking distance, parking fee, traffic congestion, possibility of finding a parking space in the target parking lot and adjacent parking lot, and parking satisfaction degree. Considering whether the parking spaces in the targeted parking lots are shared or not, two allocation modes—sharing mode and non-sharing mode—were proposed and embedded into the model. At the experimental stage, a simulation case and a real-time case were performed to evaluate the developed models. The experimental results show that the dynamic parking distribution model based on neural networks can not only allocate parking spaces in real time but also improve the utilisation rate of different types of parking spaces. The performance score of the dynamic parking distribution model for a time interval of 2–20 min was maintained above 80%. In addition, the distribution performance of the sharing mode was better than that of the non-sharing mode and contributed to a better overall effectiveness. This model can effectively improve the utilisation rate of resources and the uniformity of distribution and can reduce the failure rate of parking; thus, it significantly contributes to more smart and sustainable urban parking management.


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Hye-Jeong Song ◽  
Tak-Sung Heo ◽  
Jong-Dae Kim ◽  
Chan-Young Park ◽  
Yu-Seop Kim

Sentence similarity evaluation is a significant task used in machine translation, classification, and information extraction in the field of natural language processing. When two sentences are given, an accurate judgment should be made whether the meaning of the sentences is equivalent even if the words and contexts of the sentences are different. To this end, existing studies have measured the similarity of sentences by focusing on the analysis of words, morphemes, and letters. To measure sentence similarity, this study uses Sent2Vec, a sentence embedding, as well as morpheme word embedding. Vectors representing words are input to the 1-dimension convolutional neural network (1D-CNN) with various sizes of kernels and bidirectional long short-term memory (Bi-LSTM). Self-attention is applied to the features transformed through Bi-LSTM. Subsequently, vectors undergoing 1D-CNN and self-attention are converted through global max pooling and global average pooling to extract specific values, respectively. The vectors generated through the above process are concatenated to the vector generated through Sent2Vec and are represented as a single vector. The vector is input to softmax layer, and finally, the similarity between the two sentences is determined. The proposed model can improve the accuracy by up to 5.42% point compared with the conventional sentence similarity estimation models.


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