Balance-of-Payments Crises in Emerging Markets: Large Capital Inflows and Sovereign Governments Guillermo A. Calvo

2016 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
pp. 39-51
Author(s):  
Canh Phuc Nguyen

The exchange rate plays an important role to trade, investment and macroeconomic risks of open economies. There are many factors that affect the exchange rate such as inflation, interest rates, balance of payments where remittance flows receive more and more attention of economists due to their increase in their values, particularly in emerging economies. This study uses data from 21 countries which are classified as emerging markets in the period between 2001 and 2013 to investigate the impacts of remittances on exchange rate. Through panel data estimations, we found that remittances increase the value of the local currencies, which is not altered by the 2008 global financial crisis.


Author(s):  
Atish R. Ghosh ◽  
Jonathan D. Ostry ◽  
Mahvash S. Qureshi

This chapter summarizes how thinking about capital flows and their management has evolved in both policymaking and academic circles. Many advanced economies used restrictions on capital inflows for prudential purposes—even as they pursued financial liberalization more broadly—until the 1980s, when capital account restrictions began to be swept away as part of broader liberalization efforts. Likewise, many emerging markets that had inflow controls for prudential reasons dismantled them when liberalizing domestic financial markets and controls over outflows. That the use of capital controls as a means of managing inflows is often viewed with suspicion may be partly a “guilt by association” with outflow controls and exchange restrictions. Historically, these have been more prevalent and more intensive, and their purpose has been to prop up authoritarian regimes or poor macroeconomic policies, often affecting both current and capital transactions.


2020 ◽  
Vol 119 ◽  
pp. 105933
Author(s):  
Deniz Igan ◽  
Ali M. Kutan ◽  
Ali Mirzaei

2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (32) ◽  
Author(s):  
Miloš Grujić ◽  
Mile Šikman

Money laundering, in its almost 90-year-long history, has attracted the attention of the scientific, professional, but also the general public. Throughout the entire period, the manifestations of this criminal phenomenon, its typology, etiological factors, etc., have changed, but the essence has remained the same: the transformation of illegally acquired money into legal financial flows. Emerging markets are particularly burdened, which is the subject of this paper: identifying, monitoring and proving the process of money laundering with the aim to reduce it in developing countries. In addition, what can be observed in these markets is that money laundering operations are mainly related to those activities where most of the payments are made in cash. Their specificity, that is, the basic motive for execution, is not just a profit, but the aspiration to introduce “dirty” money into legal flows. The aim of this paper is to use the method of description to explain and describe scientifically the money laundering process and to combat this phenomenon with a focus on the characteristics of the money laundering process. In addition, the paper describes the models and weaknesses of this process, while at the same time it respects the standards and specifics of business operations in emerging markets. The result of the paper is that it provides an overview of money laundering in the 21st century in small and open economies, including proposals to prevent and combat this negative phenomenon.


Author(s):  
Ewa Bilewicz

The aim of the paper is to analyse changes in the financial account of the balance of payments in 11 Central and Eastern European countries (CEE) during the years 2007-2017. The analysis comprises changes in the value of the financial account's components. The economic crisis reversed existing tendencies in net capital flows to CEE countries. They transformed from net recipients of capital to providers of capital to the rest of the world. This situation is completely different than the pre-crisis period when CEE countries experienced significant net inflows of mainly direct invest- ment, with capital moving ‘downhill', mostly from richer EU countries. The fall in the surplus on the financial account of the balance of payments was determined mainly by a large drop in net other investments and even their outflow, especially during 2012-2015. The net outflow of capital was also caused by the accumulation of reserves by central banks. In relation to other transactions of the financial account, a slowdown in net capital inflows was recorded. The lowered surplus on the CEE countries' financial balances can have an effect on their external stability, however, they have seen a reemergence of inflows in recent quarters, including in non-FDI flows.


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