Towards Improving Code Stylometry Analysis in Underground Forums

Code Stylometry has emerged as a powerful mechanism to identify programmers. While there have been significant advances in the field, existing mechanisms underperform in challenging domains. One such domain is studying the provenance of code shared in underground forums, where code posts tend to have small or incomplete source code fragments. This paper proposes a method designed to deal with the idiosyncrasies of code snippets shared in these forums. Our system fuses a forum-specific learning pipeline with Conformal Prediction to generate predictions with precise confidence levels as a novelty. We see that identifying unreliable code snippets is paramount to generate high-accuracy predictions, and this is a task where traditional learning settings fail. Overall, our method performs as twice as well as the state-of-the-art in a constrained setting with a large number of authors (i.e., 100). When dealing with a smaller number of authors (i.e., 20), it performs at high accuracy (89%). We also evaluate our work on an open-world assumption and see that our method is more effective at retaining samples.

Synergy conformal prediction applied to large-scale bioactivity datasets and in federated learning

Confidence predictors can deliver predictions with the associated confidence required for decision making and can play an important role in drug discovery and toxicity predictions. In this work we investigate a recently introduced version of conformal prediction, synergy conformal prediction, focusing on the predictive performance when applied to bioactivity data. We compare the performance to other variants of conformal predictors for multiple partitioned datasets and demonstrate the utility of synergy conformal predictors for federated learning where data cannot be pooled in one location. Our results show that synergy conformal predictors based on training data randomly sampled with replacement can compete with other conformal setups, while using completely separate training sets often results in worse performance. However, in a federated setup where no method has access to all the data, synergy conformal prediction is shown to give promising results. Based on our study, we conclude that synergy conformal predictors are a valuable addition to the conformal prediction toolbox.