Analyzing the Application of X-Band Radar for Improving Rainfall Observation and Flood Forecasting in Yeongdong, South Korea

The mountainous Yeongdong region of South Korea contains mountains over 1 km. Owing to this topographic blockage, the region has a low-density rain-gauge network, and there is a low-altitude (~1.5 km) observation gap with the nearest large S-band radar. The Korean government installed an X-band dual-polarization radar in 2019 to improve rainfall observations and to prevent hydrological disasters in the Yeongdong region. The present study analyzed rainfall estimates using the newly installed X-band radar to evaluate its hydrological applicability. The rainfall was estimated using a distributed specific differential phase-based technique for a high-resolution 75 m grid. Comparison of the rainfall estimates of the X-band radar and the existing rainfall information showed that the X-band radar was less likely to underestimate rainfall compared to the S-band radar. The accuracy was particularly high within a 10 km observation radius. To evaluate the hydrological applicability of X-band radar rainfall estimates, this study developed a rain-based flood forecasting method—the flow nomograph—for the Samcheok-osib stream, which is vulnerable to heavy rain and resultant floods. This graph represents the flood risk level determined by hydrological–hydraulic modeling with various rainfall scenarios. Rainfall information (X-band radar, S-band radar, ground rain gauge) was applied as input to the flow nomograph to predict the flood level of the stream. Only the X-band radar could accurately predict the actual high-risk increase in the water level for all studied rainfall events.

Dual-Polarization radar rainfall prediction and rain gauge data

Objective Reported rainfall data from multiple rain gauges and its corresponding estimate from Dual-Polarization (Dual-Pol) radar is presented here. The ordered set of data pairs were collected from multiple peer reviewed publications spanning across the last decade. Data description Taken from multiple sources, the data set represents several radar sites and rain gauge sites combined for 12,734 data points. The data is relevant in various applications of hydrometeorology and engineering as well as weather forecasting. Further, the importance of accuracy in radar precipitation estimates continues to increase, necessitating the incorporation of as much data as possible.

Improved Gridded Precipitation Data Derived from Microwave Link Attenuation

The motivation for improving gridded precipitation data lies in weather now-casting and flood forecasting. Therefore, over the past decade, Commercial Microwave Link (CML) attenuation data have been used to determine rain rates between microwave antennas, and to produce more accurate countrywide precipitation grids. CML networks offer a unique advantage for precipitation measurements due to their high density. However, these data experience uncertainty from several sources as reported in earlier research. This current work determines the reliability of rainfall measurements for each link by comparing CML-derived rain rates to adjusted weather radar rainfall at the link location, over three months. Dynamic Time Warping (DTW) is applied to the pair of CML/radar time-series data in two study areas, Israel and Netherlands. Based on the DTW amplitude and temporal distance, unreliable links are identified and flagged, and interpolated gridded precipitation data are derived in each country after filtering out those unreliable links. Correlations between CML-derived grids and rain observations from an independent set of gauges, tested over several rain events in both study areas, are higher for the reliable subset of CML than the full set. For certain storm events, the Kendall rank correlation for the set of reliable CML is almost double that of the complete set, demonstrating that improved gridded precipitation data can be obtained by removing unreliable links.

A climatological benchmark for operational radar rainfall bias reduction

The presence of significant biases in real-time radar quantitative precipitation estimations (QPEs) limits its use in hydrometeorological forecasting systems. Here, we introduce CARROTS (Climatology-based Adjustments for Radar Rainfall in an OperaTional Setting), a set of fixed bias reduction factors, which vary per grid cell and day of the year. The factors are based on a historical set of 10 years of 5 min radar and reference rainfall data for the Netherlands. CARROTS is both operationally available and independent of real-time rain gauge availability and can thereby provide an alternative to current QPE adjustment practice. In addition, it can be used as benchmark for QPE algorithm development. We tested this method on the resulting rainfall estimates and discharge simulations for 12 Dutch catchments and polders. We validated the results against the operational mean field bias (MFB)-adjusted rainfall estimates and a reference dataset. This reference consists of the radar QPE, that combines an hourly MFB adjustment and a daily spatial adjustment using observations from 32 automatic and 319 manual rain gauges. Only the automatic gauges of this network are available in real time for the MFB adjustment. The resulting climatological correction factors show clear spatial and temporal patterns. Factors are higher away from the radars and higher from December through March than in other seasons, which is likely a result of sampling above the melting layer during the winter months. The MFB-adjusted QPE outperforms the CARROTS-corrected QPE when the country-average rainfall estimates are compared to the reference. However, annual rainfall sums from CARROTS are comparable to the reference and outperform the MFB-adjusted rainfall estimates for catchments away from the radars, where the MFB-adjusted QPE generally underestimates the rainfall amounts. This difference is absent for catchments closer to the radars. QPE underestimations are amplified when used in the hydrological model simulations. Discharge simulations using the QPE from CARROTS outperform those with the MFB-adjusted product for all but one basin. Moreover, the proposed factor derivation method is robust. It is hardly sensitive to leaving individual years out of the historical set and to the moving window length, given window sizes of more than a week.