adaptive monitoring
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BMJ Open ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (11) ◽  
pp. e055902
Author(s):  
Lisa Hui ◽  
Melvin B Marzan ◽  
Stephanie Potenza ◽  
Daniel L Rolnik ◽  
Joanne M Said ◽  
...  

BackgroundThe COVID-19 pandemic has resulted in a range of unprecedented disruptions to maternity care with documented impacts on perinatal outcomes such as stillbirth and preterm birth. Metropolitan Melbourne has endured one of the longest and most stringent lockdowns in globally. This paper presents the protocol for a multicentre study to monitor perinatal outcomes in Melbourne, Australia, during the COVID-19 pandemic.MethodsMulticentre observational study analysing monthly deidentified maternal and newborn outcomes from births >20 weeks at all 12 public maternity services in Melbourne. Data will be merged centrally to analyse outcomes and create run charts according to established methods for detecting non-random ‘signals’ in healthcare. Perinatal outcomes will include weekly rates of total births, stillbirths, preterm births, neonatal intensive care admissions, low Apgar scores and fetal growth restriction. Maternal outcomes will include weekly rates of: induced labour, caesarean section, births before arrival to hospital, postpartum haemorrhage, length of stay, general anaesthesia for caesarean birth, influenza and COVID-19 vaccination status, and gestation at first antenatal visit. A prepandemic median for all outcomes will be calculated for the period of January 2018 to March 2020. A significant shift is defined as ≥6 consecutive weeks, all above or below the prepandemic median. Additional statistical analyses such as regression, time series and survival analyses will be performed for an in-depth examination of maternal and perinatal outcomes of interests.Ethics and disseminationEthics approval for the collaborative maternity and newborn dashboard project has been obtained from the Austin Health (HREC/64722/Austin-2020) and Mercy Health (ref. 2020-031).Trial registration numberACTRN12620000878976; Pre-results.


Rangelands ◽  
2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Emily Kachergis ◽  
Scott W. Miller ◽  
Sarah E. McCord ◽  
Melissa Dickard ◽  
Shannon Savage ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Bastien Krumm ◽  
Raphael Faiss

Abstract Background Through longitudinal, individual and adaptive monitoring of blood biomarkers, the haematological module of the athlete biological passport (ABP) has become a valuable tool in anti-doping efforts. The composition of blood as a vector of oxygen in the human body varies in athletes with the influence of multiple intrinsic (genetic) or extrinsic (training or environmental conditions) factors. In this context, it is fundamental to establish a comprehensive understanding of the various causes that may affect blood variables and thereby alter a fair interpretation of ABP profiles. Methods This literature review described the potential factors confounding the ABP to outline influencing factors altering haematological profiles acutely or chronically. Results Our investigation confirmed that natural variations in ABP variables appear relatively small, likely—at least in part—because of strong human homeostasis. Furthermore, the significant effects on haematological variations of environmental conditions (e.g. exposure to heat or hypoxia) remain debatable. The current ABP paradigm seems rather robust in view of the existing literature that aims to delineate adaptive individual limits. Nevertheless, its objective sensitivity may be further improved. Conclusions This narrative review contributes to disentangling the numerous confounding factors of the ABP to gather the available scientific evidence and help interpret individual athlete profiles.


Rangelands ◽  
2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nelson G. Stauffer ◽  
Michael C. Duniway ◽  
Jason W. Karl ◽  
Travis W. Nauman

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chad Kooistra ◽  
Emily Sinkular ◽  
Courtney Schultz

Abstract The US Forest Service’s Collaborative Forest Landscape Restoration Program (CFLRP) was a major policy innovation for supporting collaborative, landscape-scale forest restoration. Twenty-three CFLRP projects were funded following requests for proposals in fiscal years (FY) 2010 and 2011. Congress appropriated the fully authorized amount of $40 million to the program in FY 2012. In 2018, Congress reauthorized the CFLRP, and soon thereafter the Forest Service issued a request for new CFLRP proposals. In this article, we provide background on the reauthorization of the CFLRP and the updated proposal process. We present findings from a document analysis of the final 22 CFLRP proposals submitted in FY 2020 to characterize current demand for CFLRP and the nature of the proposed projects. We discuss our findings in the context of the CFLRP Advisory Committee’s recommendations, funding uncertainty, and broader efforts to support cross-boundary, collaborative wildfire mitigation and forest restoration. Study Implications: Reviewing the broader context of the CFLRP and the FY 2020 proposals highlights the importance of the program in pursuing collaborative, cross-boundary wildfire mitigation and restoration across the US. There is high demand for the program, as illustrated by more than $600 million requested over 10 years and more than $400 million in planned partner contributions for projects across diverse ecosystems involving locally driven partnerships. Ensuring consistent funding and leadership commitment, aligning policies across scales, supporting collaboration, encouraging innovation to support restoration and local economies, and using adaptive monitoring approaches are needed to facilitate the success of programs like CFLRP.


Author(s):  
Pubudu Thilan Abeysiri Wickrama Liyanaarachchige ◽  
Rebecca Fisher ◽  
Helen Thompson ◽  
Patricia Menendez ◽  
James Gilmour ◽  
...  

Time series data are often observed in ecological monitoring. Frequently such data exhibit nonlinear trends over time potentially due to complex relationships between observed and auxiliary variables, and there may also be sudden declines over time due to major disturbances. This poses substantial challenges for modelling such data and also for model-based adaptive monitoring. We propose novel methods for finding adaptive designs for monitoring when historical data show such nonlinear patterns and sudden declines over time. This work is motivated by a coral reef monitoring program that has been established at Scott Reef; a coral reef off the Western coast of Australia. Data collected for monitoring the health of Scott Reef are considered, and semiparametric and interrupted time series modelling approaches are adopted to describe how these data vary over time. New methods are then proposed that enable adaptive monitoring designs to be found based on such modelling approaches. These methods are then applied to find future monitoring designs at Scott Reef and form a set of recommendations for future monitoring. Through applying the proposed methods, it was found that future information gain is expected to be similar across a variety of different sites, suggesting that no particular location needed to be prioritised at Scott Reef for the next monitoring phase. In addition, it was found that omitting some sampling sites/reef locations was possible without substantial loss in expected information gain, depending upon the disturbances that were observed. The resulting adaptive designs are used to provide recommendations for future monitoring in this region, and for reefs where changes to the current monitoring practices are being sought. Furthermore, as the methods used and developed throughout this study are generic in nature, this research has the potential to improve ecological monitoring more broadly where complex data are being collected over time.


2021 ◽  
pp. 101459
Author(s):  
Praveen Venkateswaran ◽  
Kyle E. Benson ◽  
Chia-Ying Hsieh ◽  
Cheng-Hsin Hsu ◽  
Sharad Mehrotra ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lisa Hui ◽  
Stephanie Potenza ◽  
Melvin B Marzan ◽  
Joanne M Said ◽  
Kirsten R Palmer ◽  
...  

Background: The COVID-19 pandemic has resulted in a range of unprecedented disruptions to the delivery of maternity care globally and has been associated with regional changes in perinatal outcomes such as stillbirth and preterm birth. Metropolitan Melbourne endured one of the longest and most stringent lockdowns in 2020. This paper presents the protocol for a collaborative maternity dashboard project to monitor perinatal outcomes in Melbourne, Australia, during the COVID-19 pandemic. Methods: De-identified maternal and newborn outcomes will be collected monthly from all public maternity services in Melbourne, allowing rapid analysis of a multitude of perinatal indicators. Weekly outcomes will be displayed as run charts according to established methods for detecting non-random (signals) in health care. A pre-pandemic median for all indicators will be calculated for the period of January 2018 to March 2020. A significant shift is defined as > six consecutive weeks, all above or below the pre-pandemic median. Additional statistical analyses such as regression, time-series, and survival analyses will be performed for an in-depth examination of maternal and perinatal outcomes of interests. Ethics and Dissemination: This study has been registered as an observational study with the Australian and New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry (ACTRN12620000878976).


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