The Leading Mid-European Astronomer Marian Wolfgang Koller

Marian Wolfgang Koller used to be considered the very best astronomer from Carniola next to Augustin Hallerstein. Today, his work connected with the Dalton Minimum is again in limelight as the alternative explanation of global warming phenomena. Koller wrote precise notes of six semestrial courses of Josef Stefan to promote Stefan’s talents. By using the international connection of his patron Koller, Stefan published at least twenty articles in the British Philosophical Magazine, some of them also in Paris and Geneva.

Number of Sunspot Groups and Individual Sunspots Recorded by Tevel for the Period 1816–1836 in the Dalton Minimum

Cornelis Tevel made sunspot observations during the period 1816–1836, including the Dalton Minimum. In this work, the first revision of these observations since Wolf incorporated them into his database is presented. On the one hand, the number of individual sunspots from Tevel’s drawings was counted. This is of special interest for the sunspot number reconstruction because this kind of information is not as common in historical sunspot records as the number of groups. Thus, Tevel could be considered for the future reconstruction of the sunspot number index. On the other hand, the number of groups counted according to modern sunspot group classifications finding significant misinterpretations with the number of groups assigned to Tevel in the existing databases. Tevel was a relevant sunspot observer in the Dalton Minimum. In fact, he was the observer with the highest number of groups observed in Solar Cycles 6 and 7 according to the existing sunspot group number databases. According to the raw group number recount in this work, the maximum amplitudes for Solar Cycles 6 and 7 are, respectively, 27% and 7% lower than those previously determined. Moreover, Solar Cycle 6 is the weakest solar cycle since the Maunder Minimum after applying these new counts. Group counts from Tevel’s observations were compared with those from relevant contemporary astronomers, demonstrating that Schwabe and Tevel systematically recorded a higher number of groups than Flaugergues and Derfflinger. In addition, sunspot areas and positions recorded by Tevel should be used with caution for scientific purposes.

Past megadroughts in central Europe were longer, more severe and less warm than modern droughts

Megadroughts are notable manifestations of the American Southwest, but not so much of the European climate. By using long-term hydrological and meteorological observations, as well as paleoclimate reconstructions, here we show that central Europe has experienced much longer and severe droughts during the Spörer Minimum (~AD 1400–1480) and Dalton Minimum (~AD 1770–1840), than the ones observed during the 21st century. These two megadroughts appear to be linked with a cold state of the North Atlantic Ocean and enhanced winter atmospheric blocking activity over the British Isles and western part of Europe, concurrent with reduced solar forcing and explosive volcanism. Moreover, we show that the recent drought events (e.g., 2003, 2015, and 2018), are within the range of natural variability and they are not unprecedented over the last millennium.

The Interplay between Volcanic and Solar Cooling in the Early 19th Century

<p>Volcanic eruptions and reduced solar radiance can individually cool our globe through both direct changes in incoming radiation and indirect influences from dynamical processes. However, whether the cooling from the combination of two forcing can be linearly additive, or if additional cooling exists when reduced solar radiance is imposed during volcanic eruptions remains unclear. In this project, by using the state-of-art climate model (MPI-ESM1-2-LR), we found that the total cooling of the two forcing can be additive, but also have additional cooling during the period when volcanic cooling bouncing back to climatology. Our experiments focus on the early 19th century (1791-1850) since the period existed multiple strong volcanic events (especially the 1809 unidentified eruption and 1815 Tambora eruption), a solar minimum (Dalton minimum from 1790-1830), and limited influence from anthropogenic greenhouse gases. In the presentation, we will discuss how volcanic eruptions and different amplitudes of solar reconstructions can individually and together cool the surface through both direct radiative changes and dynamical influences. Our main focus will be how the atmospheric circulation may influence the polar sea ice and large-scale climate patterns when imposing combinations of solar and volcanic forcing.</p>

The Dalton Minimum and John Dalton’s Auroral Observations

In addition to the regular Schwabe cycles of approximately 11 y, “prolonged solar activity minima” have been identified through the direct observation of sunspots and aurorae, as well as proxy data of cosmogenic isotopes. Some of these minima have been regarded as grand solar minima, which are arguably associated with the special state of the solar dynamo and have attracted significant scientific interest. In this paper, we review how these prolonged solar activity minima have been identified. In particular, we focus on the Dalton Minimum, which is named after John Dalton. We review Dalton’s scientific achievements, particularly in geophysics. Special emphasis is placed on his lifelong observations of auroral displays over approximately five decades in Great Britain. Dalton’s observations for the auroral frequency allowed him to notice the scarcity of auroral displays in the early 19th century. We analyze temporal variations in the annual frequency of such displays from a modern perspective. The contemporary geomagnetic positions of Dalton’s observational site make his dataset extremely valuable because his site is located in the sub-auroral zone and is relatively sensitive to minor enhancements in solar eruptions and solar wind streams. His data indicate clear solar cycles in the early 19th century and their significant depression from 1798 to 1824. Additionally, his data reveal a significant spike in auroral frequency in 1797, which chronologically coincides with the “lost cycle” that is believed to have occurred at the end of Solar Cycle 4. Therefore, John Dalton’s achievements can still benefit modern science and help us improve our understanding of the Dalton Minimum.