Shifting Gears in Precision Oncology—Challenges and Opportunities of Integrative Data Analysis

For decades, research relating to modification of host immunity towards antitumor response activation has been ongoing, with the breakthrough discovery of immune-checkpoint blockers. Several biomarkers with potential predictive value have been reported in recent studies for these novel therapies. However, with the plethora of therapeutic options existing for a given cancer entity, modern oncology is now being confronted with multifactorial interpretation to devise “the best therapy” for the individual patient. Into the bargain come the multiverse guidelines for established and emerging diagnostic biomarkers, as well as the complex interplay between cancer cells and tumor microenvironment, provoking immense challenges in the therapy decision-making process. Through this review, we present various molecular diagnostic modalities and techniques, such as genomics, immunohistochemistry and quantitative image analysis, which have the potential of becoming powerful tools in the development of an optimal treatment regime when analogized with patient characteristics. We will summarize the underlying complexities of these methods and shed light upon the necessary considerations and requirements for data integration. It is our hope to provide compelling evidence to emphasize on the need for inclusion of integrative data analysis in modern cancer therapy, and thereupon paving a path towards precision medicine and better patient outcomes.

Predictive approaches to heterogeneous treatment effects: a systematic review

BackgroundRecent evidence suggests that there is often substantial variation in the benefits and harms across a trial population. We aimed to identify regression modeling approaches that assess heterogeneity of treatment effect within a randomized clinical trial.MethodsWe performed a literature review using a broad search strategy, complemented by suggestions of a technical expert panel.ResultsThe approaches are classified into 3 categories: 1) Risk-based methods (11 papers) use only prognostic factors to define patient subgroups, relying on the mathematical dependency of the absolute risk difference on baseline risk; 2) Treatment effect modeling methods (9 papers) use both prognostic factors and treatment effect modifiers to explore characteristics that interact with the effects of therapy on a relative scale. These methods couple data-driven subgroup identification with approaches to prevent overfitting, such as penalization or use of separate data sets for subgroup identification and effect estimation. 3) Optimal treatment regime methods (12 papers) focus primarily on treatment effect modifiers to classify the trial population into those who benefit from treatment and those who do not. Finally, we also identified papers which describe model evaluation methods (4 papers).ConclusionThree classes of approaches were identified to assess heterogeneity of treatment effect. Methodological research, including both simulations and empirical evaluations, is required to compare the available methods in different settings and to derive well-informed guidance for their application in RCT analysis.Key messagesHeterogeneity of treatment effect refers to the non-random variation in the direction or magnitude of a treatment effect for individuals within a population.A large number of regression-based predictive approaches to the analysis of treatment effect heterogeneity exists, which can be divided into three broad classes based on if they incorporate: prognostic factors (risk-based methods); treatment effect modifiers (optimal treatment regime methods); or both (treatment effect modeling methods).Simulations and empirical evaluations are required to compare the available methods in different settings and to derive well-informed guidance for their application in RCT analysis.

On restricted optimal treatment regime estimation for competing risks data

SUMMARY It is well accepted that individualized treatment regimes may improve the clinical outcomes of interest. However, positive treatment effects are often accompanied by certain side effects. Therefore, when choosing the optimal treatment regime for a patient, we need to consider both efficacy and safety issues. In this article, we propose to model time to a primary event of interest and time to severe side effects of treatment by a competing risks model and define a restricted optimal treatment regime based on cumulative incidence functions. The estimation approach is derived using a penalized value search method and investigated through extensive simulations. The proposed method is applied to an HIV dataset obtained from Health Sciences South Carolina, where we minimize the risk of treatment or virologic failures while controlling the risk of serious drug-induced side effects.