Visual classification of three computed tomography lung patterns to predict prognosis of COVID-19: a retrospective study

Background Quantitative evaluation of radiographic images has been developed and suggested for the diagnosis of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). However, there are limited opportunities to use these image-based diagnostic indices in clinical practice. Our aim in this study was to evaluate the utility of a novel visually-based classification of pulmonary findings from computed tomography (CT) images of COVID-19 patients with the following three patterns defined: peripheral, multifocal, and diffuse findings of pneumonia. We also evaluated the prognostic value of this classification to predict the severity of COVID-19. Methods This was a single-center retrospective cohort study of patients hospitalized with COVID-19 between January 1st and September 30th, 2020, who presented with suspicious findings on CT lung images at admission (n = 69). We compared the association between the three predefined patterns (peripheral, multifocal, and diffuse), admission to the intensive care unit, tracheal intubation, and death. We tested quantitative CT analysis as an outcome predictor for COVID-19. Quantitative CT analysis was performed using a semi-automated method (Thoracic Volume Computer-Assisted Reading software, GE Health care, United States). Lungs were divided by Hounsfield unit intervals. Compromised lung (%CL) volume was the sum of poorly and non-aerated volumes (− 500, 100 HU). We collected patient clinical data, including demographic and clinical variables at the time of admission. Results Patients with a diffuse pattern were intubated more frequently and for a longer duration than patients with a peripheral or multifocal pattern. The following clinical variables were significantly different between the diffuse pattern and peripheral and multifocal groups: body temperature (p = 0.04), lymphocyte count (p = 0.01), neutrophil count (p = 0.02), c-reactive protein (p < 0.01), lactate dehydrogenase (p < 0.01), Krebs von den Lungen-6 antigen (p < 0.01), D-dimer (p < 0.01), and steroid (p = 0.01) and favipiravir (p = 0.03) administration. Conclusions Our simple visual assessment of CT images can predict the severity of illness, a resulting decrease in respiratory function, and the need for supplemental respiratory ventilation among patients with COVID-19.

Enhanced CT-Based Radiomics to Predict Micropapillary Pattern Within Lung Invasive Adenocarcinoma

ObjectiveWe aimed to investigate whether enhanced CT-based radiomics can predict micropapillary pattern (MPP) of lung invasive adenocarcinoma (IAC) in the pre-op phase and to develop an individual diagnostic predictive model for MPP in IAC.Methods170 patients who underwent complete resection for pathologically confirmed lung IAC were included in our study. Of these 121 were used as a training cohort and the other 49 as a test cohort. Clinical features and enhanced CT images were collected and assessed. Quantitative CT analysis was performed based on feature types including first order, shape, gray-level co-occurrence matrix-based, gray-level size zone matrix-based, gray-level run length matrix-based, gray-level dependence matrix-based, neighboring gray tone difference matrix-based features and transform types including Log, wavelet and local binary pattern. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) and area under the curve (AUC) were used to value the ability to identify the lung IAC with MPP using these characteristics.ResultsUsing quantitative CT analysis, one thousand three hundred and seventeen radiomics features were deciphered from R (https://www.r-project.org/). Then these radiomic features were decreased to 14 features after dimension reduction using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) method in R. After correlation analysis, 5 key features were obtained and used as signatures for predicting MPP within IAC. The individualized prediction model which included age, smoking, family tumor history and radiomics signature had better identification (AUC=0.739) in comparison with the model consisting only of radiomics features (AUC=0.722). DeLong test showed that the difference in AUC between the two models was statistically significant (P&lt;0.01). Compared with the simple radiomics model, the more comprehensive individual prediction model has better prediction performance.ConclusionThe use of radiomics approach is of great value in the diagnosis of tumors by non-invasive means. The individualized prediction model in the study, when incorporated with age, smoking and radiomics signature, had effective predictive performance of lung IAC with MPP lesions. The combination of imaging features and clinical features can provide additional diagnostic value to identify the micropapillary pattern in IAC and can affect clinical diagnosis and treatment.