The Influence of Domestic Economic Factors on Inflation in Indonesia

Inflation is a monetary and structural phenomenon in the Indonesian economy. The objective of this research is to analyse the indirect effect of Debt, Net Export and Interest Rate on the Inflation through Exchange Rate : and to analyse the direct effects of Debt, Net export, Interest Rate, and exchange rate on the inflation in Indonesia. The research uses secondary data carried out from Bank Indonesia. Statistics Center Board, DJPPR ( Directorate General of Financing and Risk Management) of the ministry of finance and from the Ministry of Trade. Quarterly data of 1995 – 2020 are employed as the data and analysed with path analysis technique. Inderect result shows that there is positive and significant effect of debt on inflation through exchange rate, there is positive and significant effect of net export on inflation through exchange rate, and there is positive and insignificant effect of interest rate on inflation throught exchange rate. Direct result shows that there is negative and insignificant effect of debt on inflation, there is negative and insignificant effect of net export on inflation, there is positive and significant effect of interest rate on inflation, and there is positive and significant effect of exchange rate on inflation. Keywords: Debt, Net Exports, Interest Rates, Exchange Rates, Inflation.

Running for Office and Running a Business

In 1971, outgoing Governor Nunn handpicked Tom Emberton to be the Republican candidate for governor and Host to run for lieutenant governor. At that time, the two offices were elected separately, so the two men were not on the same ticket. Emberton lost to Democrat Wendell Ford, and Host lost to Democrat Julian Carroll. After his defeat, Host decided to return to the private sector and established Jim Host & Associates. The Lexington Tourist and Convention Commission also hired him to serve as its executive director and tasked him with obtaining an urban renewal grant for downtown Lexington that would include the construction of a convention center, arena, hotel, and retail shopping mall. Host became the executive director of the Lexington Center Board, which developed plans for the new complex. He convinced University of Kentucky president Otis Singletary to move UK basketball games downtown to the new arena, oversaw the bidding process to construct the site, convinced Hyatt to build a hotel at the location, and oversaw the building of Rupp Arena, the mall, and the Heritage Hall convention center.

ANALISIS PERMINTAAN MINYAK PELUMAS PERTAMINA DI KOTA BANDA ACEH

This study is aimed to know the influence of price, substitution price, consumer income, and the number of vehicles toward the order of Pertamina lubricant in Banda Aceh. For the analysis purpose, multiple regression analysis is used.This research used time series data which was started from 1991 until 2015. The data was a secondary data taken from the Statistic Center Board of Pertamina, and from related institution as well as from various types of sources related to this research. The model used was Marshallian Linear Request function which was analyzed by multiple linear equations through Ordinary Least Square (OLS) approach.This research produced a satisfying result. This was seen from simultaneous and partial examination whereas all free variables in this research impacted significantly toward the order of the lubricant under Mesran trademark. Based on the estimation, price variable was resulting negative, meanwhile substitution price, consumer income and the number of vehicles were resulting positive toward the order of the lubricant of Mesran trademark. This result matched the existing theory. The 94,89 percent determinant coefficient (R2) means that free variable which consisted of variable of Mesran lubricant, substitution price, consumer income, and the number of vehicles were able explain the changes of the order of Mesran lubricant for approximately 94,89 percent, while the remaining 5,51 percent was explained by other variables, such as desire, model, and consumer income distribution, etc., which were excluded of this research model.Pertamina should keep enough supply of lubricant to maintain its normal price in Banda Aceh.Artikel ini bertujuan adalah untuk mengetahui pengaruh harga, harga pengganti, pendapatan dan jumlah kendaraan terhadap permintaan pelumas pertamina di Kota Banda Aceh. Dalam Analisisnya digunakan analisis regresi linear berganda (Multiple Regressions).Penelitian ini menggunakan data time series dimulai dari tahun 1991 sampai dengan 2015. Jenis data adalah data sekunder yang diperoleh dari Badan Pusat Statistik, Pertamina, , dan intansi terkait lainnya serta dari berbagai sumber dan literatur lain yang ada kaitannya dengan penelitian ini. Model yang digunakan adalah fungsi Permintaan Linear Marshallian, dianalisis dengan dengan persamaan linear berganda melalui pendekatan OLS (Ordinary Least Square).Hasil estimasi menunjukkan hasil yang memuaskan ini terlihat baik dari pengujian secara simultan maupun secara partial, dimana semua variabel bebas dalam penelitian ini berpengaruh signifikan terhadap permintaan pelumas merek mesran. Berdasarkan hasil estimasi variabel harga berpengaruh negatif dan harga pengganti, pendapatan dan jumlah kendaraan berpengaruh positif terhadap permintaan pelumas merek mesran, hal ini sesuai dengan teori. Koefisien determinan adjusted (R2 ) sebesar 94,89 persen yang artinya variabel bebas yang terdiri dari variabel harga pelumas merek Mesran, harga pengganti, pendapatan dan jumlah kendaraan mampu menjelaskan variasi perubahan permintaan minyak pelumas merek Mesran sebesar 94,49 persen dan sisanya sebesar 5,51 persen dijelaskan oleh variabel lainnya diluar model penelitian ini seperti selera, corak dan distribusi pendapatan dalam masyarakat dan lain- lain.Pertamina harus mengupayakan suplai pelumas di Kota Banda Aceh selalu tersedia cukup, hal ini dilakukan untuk menjaga kestabilan harga pelumas itu sendiri.

Use of an Electrified Center Board in the Study of Chicks on the Visual Cliff

An electrified grid was used with chicks to reduce latencies and no-response trials on the visual cliff. No significant difference in percentages of deep and shallow side descents was found between the shocked and non-shocked groups. The shocked group had significantly lower latencies and it had no no-descent trials. It was concluded that some improvement in the efficiency of experimentation with the chick might be achieved by the application of a shock stimulus.