Analysis of the relationship between the North Atlantic oscillation and sea-level changes in northwest Europe

2004 ◽  
Vol 24 (6) ◽  
pp. 743-758 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhongwei Yan ◽  
Michael N. Tsimplis ◽  
David Woolf
Keyword(s):  
North Atlantic Oscillation ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Sea Level Changes ◽  
The North ◽  
Northwest Europe ◽  
The North Atlantic ◽  
The North Atlantic Oscillation ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
And Sea Level

scholarly journals Sea-level changes in Iceland and the influence of the North Atlantic Oscillation during the last half millennium

2015 ◽  
Vol 108 ◽  
pp. 23-36 ◽  
Author(s):  
Margot H. Saher ◽  
W. Roland Gehrels ◽  
Natasha L.M. Barlow ◽  
Antony J. Long ◽  
Ivan D. Haigh ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
North Atlantic Oscillation ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Sea Level Changes ◽  
The North ◽  
The North Atlantic ◽  
The North Atlantic Oscillation

The influence of the North Atlantic Oscillation on the sea-level around the northern European coasts reconsidered: the thermosteric effects

2006 ◽  
Vol 364 (1841) ◽  
pp. 845-856 ◽  
Author(s):  
M.N Tsimplis ◽  
A.G.P Shaw ◽  
R.A Flather ◽  
D.K Woolf
Keyword(s):  
Surface Temperature ◽  
Sea Surface Temperature ◽  
North Atlantic Oscillation ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Sea Surface ◽  
Sea Level Changes ◽  
The North ◽  
The North Atlantic ◽  
The North Atlantic Oscillation

The thermosteric contribution of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) to the North Sea sea-level for the winter period is investigated. Satellite sea surface temperature as well as in situ measurements are used to define the sensitivity of winter water temperature to the NAO as well as to determine the trends in temperature. The sea surface temperature sensitivity to the NAO is about 0.85 °C per unit NAO, which results in thermosteric sea-level changes of about 1–2 cm per unit NAO. The sensitivity of sea surface temperatures to the NAO is strongly time-dependent. Model data from a two-dimensional hydrodynamic tide+surge model are used in combination with the estimated thermosteric anomalies to explain the observed sea-level changes and, in particular, the sensitivity of the datasets to the NAO variability. The agreement between the model and the observed data is improved by the inclusion of the thermosteric effect.

scholarly journals Variations in the difference between mean sea level measured either side of Cape Hatteras and their relation to the North Atlantic Oscillation

2016 ◽  
Vol 49 (7-8) ◽  
pp. 2451-2469 ◽  
Author(s):  
P. L. Woodworth ◽  
M. Á. Morales Maqueda ◽  
W. R. Gehrels ◽  
V. M. Roussenov ◽  
R. G. Williams ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
North Atlantic Oscillation ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Mean Sea Level ◽  
The North ◽  
Cape Hatteras ◽  
The North Atlantic ◽  
The Difference ◽  
The North Atlantic Oscillation

The Relationship between the North Atlantic Oscillation and High-Wind Observations Across the Eastern United States 

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sylvia Stinnett ◽  
Joshua Durkee ◽  
Joshua Gilliland ◽  
Victoria Murley ◽  
Alan Black ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
North Atlantic Oscillation ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Eastern United States ◽  
High Wind ◽  
The North ◽  
The North Atlantic ◽  
Wind Events ◽  
The North Atlantic Oscillation ◽  
The Relationship

<p>The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is a high-frequency oscillation that has known influences on the climatology of weather patterns across the eastern United States. This study explores the relationship between the daily North Atlantic Oscillation index with observed high-wind events from 391 first-order weather stations across the eastern U.S. from 1973-2015. These events were determined following typical National Weather Service high-wind criteria: sustained winds of at least 18 m•s-1 for at least 1 hour or a wind gust of at least 26 m•s-1 for any duration. Since research literature shows high-wind events are often connected to parent mid-latitude cyclone tracks, and since the NAO has been shown to influence these storm tracks, it is hypothesized that changes in NAO phases are connected to spatial shifts and frequencies in high-wind observations. Initial results show a preferred southwesterly direction during each NAO phase. Variance in high-wind directions appears to increase (decrease) during negative (positive) NAO phases. Further, the greatest spatial difference in the mean center of high-wind observations was between positive and negative NAO phases. Overall, these preliminary findings indicate changes in high-wind observations may be linked to NAO phases.</p>

Mapping Wet-Dry Signatures of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) in British Catchments

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Harry West ◽  
Nevil Quinn ◽  
Michael Horswell
Keyword(s):  
North Atlantic Oscillation ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Temporal Analysis ◽  
Precipitation Patterns ◽  
The North ◽  
Standardised Precipitation Index ◽  
The North Atlantic ◽  
Spatio Temporal ◽  
The North Atlantic Oscillation ◽  
The Relationship

<p>The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is one of the primary atmospheric circulations which influence weather patterns in Great Britain. Its two phases (either positive or negative depending on differences in sea level pressure) result in characteristic precipitation patterns, the effects of which cascade down to signatures in streamflow. However, in relation to streamflow response to the NAO, these studies have been spatio-temporally limited as they have been undertaken using a small number of measurement sites with relatively short records.</p><p>The release of new historic datasets from the UK Centre for Ecology and Hydrology (CEH) provides a new opportunity to undertake a broad spatio-temporal analysis of the relationship between NAO and streamflow. This research used reconstructed daily flows for 291 catchments and the associated Standardised Streamflow Index (SSI) to explore the relationship between the North Atlantic Oscillation Index (NAOI) for the period January 1900-November 2015. Spearman correlations were calculated at monthly intervals between the NAOI and SSI (with a 1-month accumulation period), and the historic flows dataset was used to explore the variability in flows across the catchments under NAO+ and NAO- phases.</p><p>This analysis revealed distinct wet and dry spatio-temporal signatures in streamflow. The winter months are characterised by a north-west and south-east divide in this relationship; catchments in the northern and western regions show strong positive correlations between the NAOI and SSI and NAO+ is associated with higher than normal flows in many north-western catchments, and vice versa under NAO-. While catchments in the south-eastern and central regions are negatively correlated and therefore show and opposite wet-dry response. However, during the summer months, while there are some wet-dry signatures under NAO positive/negative phases - the reverse to that seen in winter, almost all catchments show weak NAOI-SSI negative correlation values. </p><p>Finally, we compare the wet-dry responses to the NAO observed in streamflow to NAO-precipitation patterns, measured via correlations between the NAOI and Standardised Precipitation Index with a 1-month accumulation period over the same study period. The two sets of correlations (NAO-SPI and NAO-SSI) were analysed for spatio-temporal similarity through a Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) analysis and a space-time clustering analysis. This revealed that in winter, as described above, the correlations with SPI and SSI generally behave similarly during the winter months – i.e. the wet-dry signatures in rainfall cascade down and are identifiable in streamflow patterns. In the summer months the NAOI-SPI correlations for the majority of catchments are negative. In the NAOI-SSI correlations, the summer values, while still negative, are notably weaker. The catchments with the weakest NAOI-SSI correlations are those generally in the central/southern region. These catchments have very slow response times due to their characteristics which may moderate the NAO wet/dry rainfall deviation.</p>

scholarly journals Why is the North Atlantic Oscillation More Predictable in December?

Atmosphere ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (8) ◽  
pp. 477 ◽  
Author(s):  
Baoqiang Tian ◽  
Ke Fan
Keyword(s):  
North Atlantic Oscillation ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Heat Fluxes ◽  
Surface Heat Fluxes ◽  
The North ◽  
Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly ◽  
Stratospheric Circulation ◽  
The North Atlantic ◽  
The North Atlantic Oscillation ◽  
The Relationship

The prediction skill of the Climate Forecast System, version 2 (CFSv2), for the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is evaluated in three winter months (December, January, and February). The results show that the CFSv2 model can skillfully predict the December NAO one month in advance. There are two main contributors to NAO predictability in December. One is the predictability of the relationship between the North Atlantic sea surface temperature anomaly (SSTA) tripole and the NAO and the other is the second empirical orthogonal function (EOF) mode of the geopotential height at 50 hPa (Z50-EOF2). The relationship between the NAO and SSTA tripole index in December is the most significant in the three winter months. The significant monthly differences of surface heat fluxes in December over the whole North Atlantic are favorable for promoting the interaction between the NAO and North Atlantic SSTAs, in addition to improving the predictability of the December NAO. When the NAO is in a positive phase, easterly anomalies are located at the low and high latitudes and westerly anomalies prevail in the mid-latitudes of the troposphere. The correlation between the December Z50-EOF2 and zonal-mean zonal wind anomalies shows a similar spatial structure to that for the NAO. The possible reason why the CFSv2 model can predict the December NAO one month ahead is that it can reasonably reproduce the relationship between the December NAO and both the North Atlantic SST and stratospheric circulation.

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