Structural and sampling uncertainty in observed UK daily precipitation extremes derived from an intercomparison of gridded data sets

2018 ◽  
Vol 39 (1) ◽  
pp. 128-142 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ian R. Simpson ◽  
Mark P. McCarthy



2014 ◽  
Vol 19 (7) ◽  
pp. 1593-1621 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuliya Lovcha ◽  
Alejandro Perez-Laborda

A recent finding of the SVAR literature is that the response of hours worked to a (positive) technology shock depends on the assumed order of integration of the hours. In this work we relax this assumption, allowing fractional integration in hours and productivity. We find that the sign and magnitude of the estimated responses depend crucially on the identification assumptions employed. Although the responses of hours recovered with short-run (SR) restrictions are positive in all data sets, long-run (LR) identification results in negative, although sometimes not significant responses. We check the validity of these assumptions with the Sims procedure, concluding that both LR and SR are appropriate to recover responses in a fractionally integrated VAR. However, the application of the LR scheme always results in an increase in sampling uncertainty. Results also show that even the negative responses found in the data could still be compatible with real business cycle models.



2014 ◽  
Vol 45 (5-6) ◽  
pp. 1325-1354 ◽  
Author(s):  
Emilia Paula Diaconescu ◽  
Philippe Gachon ◽  
John Scinocca ◽  
René Laprise


2017 ◽  
Vol 122 (15) ◽  
pp. 7800-7819 ◽  
Author(s):  
Toshichika Iizumi ◽  
Hiroki Takikawa ◽  
Yukiko Hirabayashi ◽  
Naota Hanasaki ◽  
Motoki Nishimori


2017 ◽  
Vol 86 ◽  
pp. 128-138 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mónica Santos ◽  
Marcelo Fragoso ◽  
João A. Santos


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Amal John ◽  
Hervé Douville ◽  
Pascal Yiou

<p>Daily precipitation extremes are projected to intensify with global warming. Here the focus is on how extreme precipitation scales with the changing global mean surface air temperature (GSAT) and how much their inherent seasonality will change, using historical and SSP5-8.5 scenario simulations from 18 CMIP6 models for different sub-domains over Europe. With strong future global warming, the annual maximum precipitation (RX1DAY) is found to occur later in the year, although this shift is model-dependent and hardly significant in the multi-model distribution. Using generalized extreme value theory also provides evidence for the intensification of wet extremes in the future. In addition, we use monthly model outputs to decompose changes in RX1DAY occurring at the peak of the extreme season into several contributions, which gives insights into the underlying physical mechanisms that control the response of precipitation extremes and their inter-model spread.</p>





2019 ◽  
Vol 53 (5-6) ◽  
pp. 2517-2538 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mark D. Risser ◽  
Christopher J. Paciorek ◽  
Michael F. Wehner ◽  
Travis A. O’Brien ◽  
William D. Collins


2020 ◽  
Vol 56 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Lei Xu ◽  
Nengcheng Chen ◽  
Hamid Moradkhani ◽  
Xiang Zhang ◽  
Chuli Hu


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