Filtering pore chanels distribution density in Western Siberia

It is well known that information on filter channels distribution density can be obtained based on the data of core samples capillary studies in laboratory conditions. The curve of the fractional participation of pore channels in filtration, as a rule, is obtained by numerical processing of the capillary studies results. In this study, using a generalized mathematical model of capillary curves, an analytical solution is obtained for filtration channels distribution density by size in the conditions of Western Siberia reservoirs. The work shows that the main share in the filtration is taken by pore channels, the sizes of which are close to the maximum value. The density function of the filtering channels is mainly determined by the maximum radius and heterogeneity of the pore channel size distribution. Keywords: capillary pressure curve; generalized model; distribution density; filtering channels.

Distribution Network Optimization with Scattered Generator Integration Using Immune-Clonal Selection Method

This paper proposes distribution network optimization with scattered generator integration using the immune-clonal selection (ICS) method. Nowadays, the high popularity of scattered generators (SG) has made distribution networks essential to manage appropriately. This interest is because SG is usually injected into the distribution network due to the ease of accessing the network and the voltage level of the distribution network, which is easier for SG to reach. However, the presence of SG as a distribution network is increasingly dynamic, so that appropriate techniques are needed to achieve adequate network performance through network optimization. The ICS method is expected to be the right solution for this task. The ICS technique was chosen for its excellence in accurately optimizing for multi-objectives while avoiding premature convergence to local minima. The ICS approach was applied to IEEE model distribution networks of 33-bus and 71-bus. The optimization results show that the effectiveness and superiority of the ICS method, which is indicated by shallow power losses with a better voltage profile, and the load balance on each feeder is maintained. Doi: 10.28991/esj-2021-01312 Full Text: PDF

Monitoring the newly infected cases of COVID-19 data weekly: A Survival Data Analysis (SDA) perspective

This paper attempts to fit the best survival model distribution for the Malaysian COVID-19 new infections experience of Wave I/II and Wave III using the well-known Survival Data Analysis (SDA) procedures. The purpose of fitting such models is to reduce the complexity and frequency of the COVID-19 new infections data into a single measure of scale and shape parameters to enable monitoring of weekly trends, undertake short term forecasts and estimate duration when the virality will be contained. The analysis showed a Weibull distribution is the best statistical fit for Malaysia’s new infections COVID-19 data. The estimates of scale and shape parameters for Wave I/II was 0.05901 and 2.48956 and for Wave III was 0.06463 and 2.5693, respectively. Much higher hazard force in Wave III is due to weaker control in the implementation of cordon sanitaire measures imposed in containing the virality spread. Based on the survival function the short-term forecasts showed that the number of new infections projected to decline from 23,282 cases in 28th week to 22,017 cases in 31st week. Similarly, based on the cumulative hazard function the duration estimated for containing the virality completely projected to stretch over another 19.6 weeks under the prevailing conditions.

Asymptotics of the Far Fields of Internal Gravity Waves Excited by a Source of Radial Symmetry

Abstract— The problem of the far field of internal gravity waves generated by a perturbation source of radial symmetry aroused at an initial instant of time is solved. The constant model distribution of the buoyancy frequency is considered and, using the Fourier–Hankel transform, an analytical solution to the problem is obtained in the form of the sum of wave modes. Asymptotics of the solutions that describe the spatial-temporal characteristics of elevation of the isopycnic lines and the vertical and horizontal velocity components far from the perturbation source are obtained. The asymptotics of the components of the wave field are expressed in terms of the square of the Airy function and its derivatives in the neighborhood of the wave fronts of an individual wave mode. The exact and asymptotic results are compared and it is shown that the asymptotic method makes it possible to calculate effectively the far wave fields at times of the order of ten and more of the Brunt–Väisälä periods.

Tonalite-trondjemite-granodiorite formation of the Archaean. Special features of composition and conditions of formation, Ukrainian Shield as an example

Tonalite-trondjemite-granodiorite formation (TTG) produces the main volume of acidic rocks of the continental crust. Similar rocks are never met later. Therefore the problems of their production are directly connected with the problem of the crust and mantle formation. The structure of the Archean TTG formation of granite-gneiss area of the Bug megablock and granite-grrenstone area of the Middle Dnieper megablock (MDMB) has been considered. Similar and different features have been found. The analysis of these data resulted in a conclusion that within the MDMB, West Periazovian and Khashchevate-Zavalie block of the Middle Bug area the events of formation of the Archean granite-greenstone area were similar, however these three blocks of the Ukrainian Shield demonstrate different levels of erosion damage reflected in PT-conditions of metamorphic transformations. The rocks of TTG formation are a part of complex structured stratum appeared as a result of impregnation (migmatization) by quartz-albite melt of the primary crust and/or of more ancient strata of predominantly basic composition. In the middle-lower crust a partial replacement of the primary crust occurred and in the upper one — the deposition of new portions of the melt on the earlier ones, piercement of granite masses and migmatization of volcanogenic stratum. During the Archean these events happened repeatedly, that resulted in partial replacement of the primary crust with plagiogranites. Modern notions have been considered on the processes of producing of TTG granite formation. It has been shown that according to thermal model distribution of temperatures in the crust does not cross the line of basalt water solidus. That is why the appearance of granite melts could not be the result of submergence to big depths (ultrametamorphism). Chronological and genetic relation with mantle melting, of which komatiites and spilites of green-stone structures were crystallized, assumed convective flows in the mantle. To explain the formation of tonalite and trondjemite melt a model of two-leveled crystallization differentiation of ultrabasic melt has been used. However appearance of primary basalt replacement in such a scale and assimilation of green-stone roots by granite melt are possible only in case of interaction of mantle fluids with the rocks of primary crust. An assumption has been made that the composition of some part of these fluids could be close to composition of granite (trondjemite). According to the author’s opinion such assumption confirms a hypothesis of V. Griffin and N. Pirson about formation of crystalline mantle on the border between the Archean and Proterozoic.

Changing intensity and seasonality of wet extremes over Europe

<p>Daily precipitation extremes are projected to intensify with global warming. Here the focus is on how extreme precipitation scales with the changing global mean surface air temperature (GSAT) and how much their inherent seasonality will change, using historical and SSP5-8.5 scenario simulations from 18 CMIP6 models for different sub-domains over Europe. With strong future global warming, the annual maximum precipitation (RX1DAY) is found to occur later in the year, although this shift is model-dependent and hardly significant in the multi-model distribution. Using generalized extreme value theory also provides evidence for the intensification of wet extremes in the future. In addition, we use monthly model outputs to decompose changes in RX1DAY occurring at the peak of the extreme season into several contributions, which gives insights into the underlying physical mechanisms that control the response of precipitation extremes and their inter-model spread.</p>

An Analysis of Transverse Momentum Spectra of Various Jets Produced in High Energy Collisions

With the framework of the multisource thermal model, we analyze the experimental transverse momentum spectra of various jets produced in different collisions at high energies. Two energy sources, a projectile participant quark and a target participant quark, are considered. Each energy source (each participant quark) is assumed to contribute to the transverse momentum distribution to be the TP-like function, i.e., a revised Tsallis–Pareto-type function. The contribution of the two participant quarks to the transverse momentum distribution is then the convolution of two TP-like functions. The model distribution can be used to fit the experimental spectra measured by different collaborations. The related parameters such as the entropy index-related, effective temperature, and revised index are then obtained. The trends of these parameters are useful to understand the characteristic of high energy collisions.

Generation of Internal Gravity Waves Far from Moving Non-Local Source

We consider analytical solutions describing the generation of internal gravity waves far from a non-local source of disturbances. We suppose that the source moves on the surface of stratified medium of a finite depth. A model distribution of the non-local source shape with radial symmetry is used. This approximation correctly describes (qualitatively) the main spatiotemporal characteristics of natural sources of generation of internal gravity waves in the ocean. The resulting solution is the sum of wave modes. The solution is presented as a series of eigenfunctions of the spectral problem of internal gravity waves. The results of numerical calculations of internal gravity waves components at different depths are presented and discussed.

NUMERICAL SIMULATION OF ARCTIC HALOCLINE FORMATION

This paper discusses issues related to the analysis of the Arctic halocline state over the past decades. Observational data show that the layer of halocline in the Arctic Ocean significantly changed in the last 40 years, which may affect the Arctic ice cover. For the study we used a three-dimensional ocean and sea ice numerical model developed at the ICMMG SB RAS. The main attention was devoted to the analysis of the model distribution of water salinity in the upper 250-meter layer and its variability. Based on numerical experiments on the sensitivity of thermohaline stratification to variations in atmospheric effects and the intensity of river flow, we identified areas of the Arctic basin in which the variability of the Arctic halocline was the most pronounced.