On the Local Stability of Sunspot Equilibria under Adaptive Learning Rules

1994 ◽  
Vol 64 (1) ◽  
pp. 142-161 ◽  
Author(s):  
George W. Evans ◽  
Seppo Honkapohja
F1000Research ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 6 ◽  
pp. 1222 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gabriele Scheler

In this paper, we present data for the lognormal distributions of spike rates, synaptic weights and intrinsic excitability (gain) for neurons in various brain areas, such as auditory or visual cortex, hippocampus, cerebellum, striatum, midbrain nuclei. We find a remarkable consistency of heavy-tailed, specifically lognormal, distributions for rates, weights and gains in all brain areas examined. The difference between strongly recurrent and feed-forward connectivity (cortex vs. striatum and cerebellum), neurotransmitter (GABA (striatum) or glutamate (cortex)) or the level of activation (low in cortex, high in Purkinje cells and midbrain nuclei) turns out to be irrelevant for this feature. Logarithmic scale distribution of weights and gains appears to be a general, functional property in all cases analyzed. We then created a generic neural model to investigate adaptive learning rules that create and maintain lognormal distributions. We conclusively demonstrate that not only weights, but also intrinsic gains, need to have strong Hebbian learning in order to produce and maintain the experimentally attested distributions. This provides a solution to the long-standing question about the type of plasticity exhibited by intrinsic excitability.


2001 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-31 ◽  
Author(s):  
George W. Evans ◽  
Seppo Honkapohja ◽  
Ramon Marimon

Inflation and the monetary financing of deficits are analyzed in a model in which the deficit is constrained to be less than a given fraction of a measure of aggregate market activity. Depending on parameter values, the model can have multiple steady states. Under adaptive learning with heterogeneous learning rules, there is convergence to a subset of these steady states. In some cases, a high-inflation constrained steady state will emerge. However, with a sufficiently tight fiscal constraint, the low-inflation steady state is globally stable. We provide experimental evidence in support of our theoretical results.


2012 ◽  
Vol 17 (5) ◽  
pp. 998-1022 ◽  
Author(s):  
William A. Branch ◽  
Troy Davig ◽  
Bruce McGough

We study adaptive learning in economic environments subject to recurring structural change. Stochastically evolving institutional and policymaking features can be described by regime-switching models with parameters that evolve according to finite state Markov processes. We demonstrate that in nonlinear models of this form, the presence of sunspot equilibria implies two natural schemes for learning the conditional means of endogenous variables: under mean value learning, agents condition on a sunspot variable that captures the self-fulfilling serial correlation in the equilibrium, whereas under vector autoregression learning (VAR learning), the self-fulfilling serial correlation must be learned. We show that an intuitive condition ensures convergence to a regime-switching rational expectations equilibrium. However, the stability of sunspot equilibria, when they exist, depends on whether agents adopt mean value or VAR learning: coordinating on sunspot equilibria via a VAR learning rule is not possible. To illustrate these phenomena, we develop results for an overlapping-generations model and a New Keynesian model.


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