Short-Term Load Forecasting Based on Self-organizing Map and Support Vector Machine

Author(s):  
Zhejing Bao ◽  
Daoying Pi ◽  
Youxian Sun
2012 ◽  
Vol 591-593 ◽  
pp. 1311-1314
Author(s):  
Xing Tong Zhu ◽  
Bo Xu

The values of parameters of support vector machine have close contact with its forecast accuracy. In order to accurately forecast power short-term load,we presented a power short-term load forecasting method based on quantum-behaved particle swarm optimization and support vector machine.First,cauchy distribution was used to improve the quantum particle swarm algorithm.Secondly,the improved quantum particle swarm optimization algorithm was used to optimize the parameter of support vector machine.Finally, the support vector machine was used for power short-term load forecasting. In the proposed method such factors impacting loads as meteorology,weather and date types are comprehensively considered. The experimental results show that the root-mean-square relative error of the proposed method is only 1.90%, which is less than those of SVM and PSO-SVM model by 2.29% and 2.80%, respectively.


2011 ◽  
Vol 127 ◽  
pp. 569-574
Author(s):  
Dong Liang Li ◽  
Xiao Feng Zhang ◽  
Ming Zhong Qiao ◽  
Gang Cheng

The power load characteristics of warship on a specific task was analyzed,and a task-based forecasting method for warship short-term load forecasting was presented. the new influencing factors of warship power load were used in modeling which is different with the land grid and civilian vessels grid. Theory of particle swarm optimization and Support vector machine was disscused first, and the method of particle swarm optimization was improved to have the ability of adaptive parameter optimization. and the method of support vector machine was improved by the adaptive PSO optimizational method. then a new adaptive short-term load forecasting model was established by the adaptive PSO-SVM method. finally Through simulation results show that the adaptive PSO-SVM method is highly feasible to predict with high accuracy and high generalization capability.


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