Sovereign Finance: When Economic Growth and Sovereign Debt Are a Mismatch

Author(s):  
John E. Silvia
Author(s):  
Ly Dai Hung

The paper investigates the dependence pattern of economic growth on external debt supply by accounting for the safety of debts, measured by the sovereign debt rating. The method of cross-section regression is based on a sample of 145 advanced and developing economies with averaged data over the 1990–2019 period. The pattern of economic growth follows a U-shaped curve, for which the growth rate is first decreasing and then increasing on the external debt supply. A possible explanation can rely on the sovereign debt rating. For low supply of external debts, more supply of debts reduces the debt rating, which, in turn, lowers the economic growth rate. But for high enough supply of debts, more debts raise their rating, improving the growth rate. These results are robust on controlling for various determinants of economic growth and on the fixed effect panel regression.


Author(s):  
Sudawan Somjai ◽  
Saroge Vasuvanich ◽  
Akarapitta Meechaiwong ◽  
Watcharin Joemsittiprasert

2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 262-267
Author(s):  
Hussein Salameh ◽  
Ahmed Alodadi ◽  
Khaled Alzubi

2021 ◽  
Vol 298 (5 Part 1) ◽  
pp. 205-209
Author(s):  
LIUDMYLA SYTNYK ◽  
◽  
IELYZAVETA SHAKHOVALOVA ◽  

The comprehensive analysis of domestic economy and it’s actual state undoubtedly confirms its steady transformation into a small, resource-based economy. Its also proves the absence of positive trends related to key factors for ensuring financial sustainability and attaining national security. Special attention is paid to factors in the fiscal sector (an increase in budget revenues based on economic growth as the result of changes in the volume of domestic and foreign trade, due to improvement in the financial results of enterprises and an increase in wages, as well as due to changes in direct tax receipts, and a decrease in the budget deficit); it is also analysed the debt sector (management of Ukraine’s sovereign debt); the detailed attention is given to banking sector (overcoming crisis phenomena in the banking system). Revealing the institutional problems, inefficiency of the public administration system we are justifying the implementation the number of measures in the areas of economic growth recovery, development of the internal market as the basis for sustainable growth, changes in the structure and activation of export policy. The expansion of small farming can be a trigger of the Ukrainian economy’s development. A significant part of the world’s natural resources is located in Ukraine. There is a significant increase in the number of populations worldwide, as well as an increase in soil deficiency suitable for agriculture. Since Ukraine is an agricultural country and most of its lands are suitable for the production of agricultural products – it gives it significant advantages for both self-sufficiency and economic development. Ukraine has always been and remains an agrarian country. Most of its’ lands are suitable for the growing of agricultural products and it gives Ukraine the significant self-sustaining advantages for both exponential growth and supporting of country’s economy. Small farming stays the main factor of the agrarian sector’s development, it supports the economy and helps to sustain the natural resources of Ukraine.


Significance If two-thirds of creditors agree to the scheme by a July 13 meeting, the government will exchange IBA debt for sovereign loans but it has made it clear it does not bear responsibility for the state-owned bank's liabilities. Impacts Banking sector instability has negative implications for confidence and economic growth. The potential increases in sovereign debt appear manageable. Reducing the size of IBA will bring more competition to the banking system.


2014 ◽  
Vol 13 (3) ◽  
pp. 593
Author(s):  
William Seyfried

At the beginning of the second decade of the 21st century, several countries in the periphery of Europe began suffering from sovereign debt crises, resulting from and contributing to economic weakness. As of late 2013, each country was struggling with double-digit unemployment rates with rates in Greece and Spain near 27%. Though economic weakness was responsible for falling employment, the linkage between economic growth and employment, known as the employment intensity of economic growth (also called employment elasticity), may differ between nations. Estimation of models developed reveal different dynamics in the respective countries. Regardless of the model employed, the results revealed a very high employment intensity of economic growth in Spain relative to the other nations, indicating that employment was highly sensitive to changes in economic growth. As such, an equivalent decline in GDP had a much larger impact on employment in Spain than the other PIIGS. There is evidence that the structure of the labor market may play some role in explaining different employment elasticities for the countries in question. In particular, the degree of unionization appeared to be negatively correlated with employment intensity (economic growth had a smaller impact on employment in nations that have a larger percentage of unions) while the portion of workers on temporary contracts was positively correlated with employment intensity; countries with a larger percentage of workers on temporary contracts, such as Spain, had a higher employment intensity as employment responded more to changes in economic growth.


2016 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 86
Author(s):  
Deniz Zungun ◽  
Emine Turkan Ayvaz Guven

<p><em>This study tries to reveal the unsustainable long-term effects of public expenditures, which are extended based on loan between 2000 and 2015 in 18 Euro zone countries, on economic growth. The countries located in Euro zone chose a way to obtain economic growth by directly lowering taxes on foreign capital investments in the subject period. However, while they could achieve this purpose especially between 2006 and 2007, by 2008 which is subsequent to aforementioned years, they increase their countries’ debt loads and thusly public expenditures extremely. Therefore, these countries which applied austerity policies by 2010 to lower the expenses faced sharp declines of their economic growth rates when they achieved their aims. For this reason, even if Euro zone countries continue to apply various policies today, they have difficulty in redressing their macroeconomic balance because of the effects of debt crisis. Since the solution does not lie behind having a debt-growth which is aimed at increasing public expenditures; it lies behind a foreign trade-oriented growth aimed at developing the production. </em></p>


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