Abstract
Consideration of future change in water salinity is important for estimating irrigation demand in salinity-prone arid regions. Further, it is important to evaluate the contribution of irrigation efficiency enhancement to climate change resilience. Based on field measurements in 2019, a simulation approach from 2019 to 2050 was carried out in this study to investigate the impact of climate change and its consequences (i.e., change in water salinity) on the future gross irrigation demand of date palms and possible applied dose of water in a Tunisian oasis considering different irrigation efficiency enhancements. The estimation was done under very high (RCP 8.5), medium (RCP 6.0), and low (RCP 4.5) emission scenarios using the CROPWAT model. Results first showed an increase in gross irrigation requirement under inefficient surface irrigation (37% efficiency) from 3,340 mm year−1 in 2019 to 3,588–3,642 mm year−1 in 2050 for different climate change scenarios. This significant increase is mainly attributed to a significant change in climate variables and a high increase in water salinity. Second, considerable water savings (up to 1,980 mm) can be achieved if surface irrigation efficiency increases from the current value of 37–70%. Finally, much water can be saved only by reducing the overdose amount of water.
Impact of Climate Change on Irrigation Demand and Crop Growth in a Mediterranean Environment of Turkey
