Predicting Stock Returns by Decision Tree Combining Neural Network

Author(s):  
Shou-Hsiung Cheng
2019 ◽  
Vol 64 (2) ◽  
pp. 53-71
Author(s):  
Botond Benedek ◽  
Ede László

Abstract Customer segmentation represents a true challenge in the automobile insurance industry, as datasets are large, multidimensional, unbalanced and it also requires a unique price determination based on the risk profile of the customer. Furthermore, the price determination of an insurance policy or the validity of the compensation claim, in most cases must be an instant decision. Therefore, the purpose of this research is to identify an easily usable data mining tool that is capable to identify key automobile insurance fraud indicators, facilitating the segmentation. In addition, the methods used by the tool, should be based primarily on numerical and categorical variables, as there is no well-functioning text mining tool for Central Eastern European languages. Hence, we decided on the SQL Server Analysis Services (SSAS) tool and to compare the performance of the decision tree, neural network and Naïve Bayes methods. The results suggest that decision tree and neural network are more suitable than Naïve Bayes, however the best conclusion can be drawn if we use the decision tree and neural network together.


2013 ◽  
Vol 774-776 ◽  
pp. 1757-1761
Author(s):  
Bing Xiang Liu ◽  
Xu Dong Wu ◽  
Ying Xi Li ◽  
Xie Wei Wang

This paper takes more than four hundred records of some cable television system for example, makes data mining according to users data record, uses BP neural network and decision tree method respectively to have model building and finds the best model fits for users to order press service. The results of the experiment validate the methods feasibility and validity.


Author(s):  
J. Vijayarangam ◽  
S. Kamalakkannan ◽  
J. Anita Smiles
Keyword(s):  

Complexity ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jianhui Wu ◽  
Lu Zhang ◽  
Sufeng Yin ◽  
Haidong Wang ◽  
Guoli Wang ◽  
...  

The arrival of the era of big data has brought new ideas to solve problems for all walks of life. Medical clinical data is collected and stored in the medical field by utilizing the medical big data platform. Based on medical information big data, new ideas and methods for the differential diagnosis of hypo-MDS and AA are studied. The basic information, peripheral blood classification counts, peripheral blood cell morphology, bone marrow cell morphology, and other information were collected from patients diagnosed with hypo-MDS and AA diagnosed in the first diagnosis. First, statistical analysis was performed. Then, the logistic regression model, decision tree model, BP neural network model, and support vector machine (SVM) model of hypo-MDS and AA were established. The sensitivity, specificity, Youden index, positive likelihood ratio (+LR), negative likelihood ratio (−LR), area under curve (AUC), accuracy, Kappa value, positive predictive value (+PV), negative predictive value (−PV) of the four model training set and test set were compared, respectively. Finally, with the support of medical big data, using logistic regression, decision tree, BP neural network, and SVM four classification algorithms, the decision tree algorithm is optimal for the classification of hypo-MDS and AA and analyzes the characteristics of the optimal model misjudgment data.


Author(s):  
Xu Wang ◽  
Hongyang Gu ◽  
Tianyang Wang ◽  
Wei Zhang ◽  
Aihua Li ◽  
...  

AbstractThe fault diagnosis of bearings is crucial in ensuring the reliability of rotating machinery. Deep neural networks have provided unprecedented opportunities to condition monitoring from a new perspective due to the powerful ability in learning fault-related knowledge. However, the inexplicability and low generalization ability of fault diagnosis models still bar them from the application. To address this issue, this paper explores a decision-tree-structured neural network, that is, the deep convolutional tree-inspired network (DCTN), for the hierarchical fault diagnosis of bearings. The proposed model effectively integrates the advantages of convolutional neural network (CNN) and decision tree methods by rebuilding the output decision layer of CNN according to the hierarchical structural characteristics of the decision tree, which is by no means a simple combination of the two models. The proposed DCTN model has unique advantages in 1) the hierarchical structure that can support more accuracy and comprehensive fault diagnosis, 2) the better interpretability of the model output with hierarchical decision making, and 3) more powerful generalization capabilities for the samples across fault severities. The multiclass fault diagnosis case and cross-severity fault diagnosis case are executed on a multicondition aeronautical bearing test rig. Experimental results can fully demonstrate the feasibility and superiority of the proposed method.


Agriculture ◽  
2022 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 77
Author(s):  
Tsu Chiang Lei ◽  
Shiuan Wan ◽  
You Cheng Wu ◽  
Hsin-Ping Wang ◽  
Chia-Wen Hsieh

This study employed a data fusion method to extract the high-similarity time series feature index of a dataset through the integration of MS (Multi-Spectrum) and SAR (Synthetic Aperture Radar) images. The farmlands are divided into small pieces that consider the different behaviors of farmers for their planting contents in Taiwan. Hence, the conventional image classification process cannot produce good outcomes. The crop phenological information will be a core factor to multi-period image data. Accordingly, the study intends to resolve the previous problem by using three different SPOT6 satellite images and nine Sentinel-1A synthetic aperture radar images, which were used to calculate features such as texture and indicator information, in 2019. Considering that a Dynamic Time Warping (DTW) index (i) can integrate different image data sources, (ii) can integrate data of different lengths, and (iii) can generate information with time characteristics, this type of index can resolve certain classification problems with long-term crop classification and monitoring. More specifically, this study used the time series data analysis of DTW to produce “multi-scale time series feature similarity indicators”. We used three approaches (Support Vector Machine, Neural Network, and Decision Tree) to classify paddy patches into two groups: (a) the first group did not apply a DTW index, and (b) the second group extracted conflict predicted data from (a) to apply a DTW index. The outcomes from the second group performed better than the first group in regard to overall accuracy (OA) and kappa. Among those classifiers, the Neural Network approach had the largest improvement of OA and kappa from 89.51, 0.66 to 92.63, 0.74, respectively. The rest of the two classifiers also showed progress. The best performance of classification results was obtained from the Decision Tree of 94.71, 0.81. Observing the outcomes, the interference effects of the image were resolved successfully by various image problems using the spectral image and radar image for paddy rice classification. The overall accuracy and kappa showed improvement, and the maximum kappa was enhanced by about 8%. The classification performance was improved by considering the DTW index.


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