Some Unconventional Profitability Determinants on the Banking Sector in Bosnia and Herzegovina

Author(s):  
Deni Memic ◽  
Selma Skaljic-Memic
2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (24) ◽  
Author(s):  
Goran Mitrović ◽  
Živko Erceg

The monetary policy of Bosnia andHerzegovina is rather limited because it is basedon the principles of a currency boardcharacterized by the impossibility of implementingthe basic monetary policy instruments incomparison with the monetary policy of theEuropean Union. However, the constant presenceof European integrations should point the need fora more drastic change in the monetary policy ofBosnia and Herzegovina. By entering theEuropean Monetary Union (EMU), the monetaryterritory of Bosnia and Herzegovina will becomeone of the branches of the European Central Bank(ECB). In addition, it is not difficult to concludewhy the Law about the Central Bank of Bosnia andHerzegovina has been adopted with the first lawsof the Dayton Agreement, if it is known that thelargest part of the banking system, and thereforethe financial market, is owned by foreign banks.This work will point out the significance of theCentral Bank of Bosnia and Herzegovina, as oneof the most important factors for maintaining thepermanent liquidity of the banking sector inBosnia and Herzegovina. The possibilities andlimitations of the Central Bank of Bosnia andHerzegovina will be determined, with theassumption of macroeconomic sustainability overa longer period of time. The need of reforming thebanking system in Bosnia and Herzegovina will beanalyzed through the constant implementation ofthe Basel standards with the increasingparticipation of foreign banks in the Bosnia andHerzegovina. It will be determined the impact ofthe implementation of the Basel III in the bankingindustry in Bosnia and Herzegovina and itsconsequences on the banking and economicsystem.models, on the ways of financing theelimination of adverse consequences of naturaldisasters.


2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 5-17
Author(s):  
Kemal Kozarić ◽  
Emina Žunić Dželihodžić

AbstractThis paper analyses the impact of macroeconomic conditions on non-performing loans and financial stability in Bosnia and Herzegovina`s banking sector. The aim of this paper is to identify the effects of macroeconomic conditions on non-performing loans and the banking sector`s financial stability. To that end, data for the period 2006-2017 have been used. In order to detect the correlations between analysed variables, we performed the correlation analysis through Pearson coefficient of correlation. Results have confirmed the assumption about correlation between macroeconomic conditions, non-performing loans, and financial stability. Further, regression analysis was applied on data divided into two models: the impact of macroeconomic conditions on non-performing loans and the impact of macroeconomic conditions on the banking sector`s financial stability. Those two models point to the significance of macroeconomic environment for non-performing loans control and financial stability maintenance. Namely, the results have shown that improvement in macroeconomic conditions causes improvement in credit quality. Also, it was disclosed that better macroeconomic conditions ensure better conditions for maintenance of the banking sector`s financial stability.


2017 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Dragan Jović ◽  
Miodrag Jandrić

Credit growth is function of several variables, which are from the domestic banks point of view internal and external. NPL and deposits, on bank level, nominal GDP growth, and inflation have biggest impact on credit growth. Credit growth is under direct and strong influence of global crises and of ECB monetary policy, and these variables influence is with time lag. Between factors which also influence credit growth, but which influence is not so statistically significant, like previous factors, distinguish themselves capitalization ratio and return on asset on banking sector level. Possibility of doing banking business without deposit insurance, putting limits on deposit rates and on deposit growth could contribute to decrease in banks deposit variability, and to smoothness in credit growth path, as well as insisting on capital ratio rising. If domestic economic policy want to manage credit growth in domestic banking sector it is necessary to increase quality of prudential regulation, to improve NPL management and credit risk management and to modify monetary regime, by granting permission to domestic central bank to provide credits to residents. Without providing credit to residents by Central bank of Bosnia and Herzegovina, it is not possible to achieve price stability and it is not possible to decrease deflationary pressure. Increase in capital ratio has positive impact on credit growth, and vice versa, and that is way increase in capitalization must object of permanent supervision. Since activity and profitability of systematically important banks are one of credit growth generator, banking supervision has to have particular strategy for big banks resolution. Low influence of previous credit growth on current credit growth is motive for active countercyclical economic policy.


2020 ◽  
Vol 18 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Dragan S. Jović

At the very beginning of global economic and financial crisis, foreign capital started to withdraw from banking sector of Bosnia and Herzegovina. There was a huge danger that the domestic banking sector would suffer great instability due to high exposure to foreign investors. The big part of foreign funds was in the form of hot money, and the European banks highly exposed to Central and Southeast Europe had to act. EBRD and IMF launched a rescue plan aimed to slow down the deleveraging process and to preserve financial stability. The foreign banks promised that the pace of funds withdrawal would be accommodated to the preserving of home countries financial stability. The meeting about this issue was held in Vienna, which is an international banking hub for part of Central and especially for Southeast Europe. According to the meeting’s place, rescue plan got the name Vienna Initiative (VI). VI was a cross-border activity with the final aim to reduce systematic risks appeared because of the withdraw of foreign capital from BH banking sector. In this view, VI was specific m macroprudential tool for keeping financial stability. In addition, in a broader view, it was cross-border macroprudential policy coordination plan. For Bosnia and Herzegovina, the Vienna Initiative came in the right moment. Without VI it would be very hard or maybe even impossible for Bosnia and Herzegovina to preserve financial stability and to prevent the balance of payment crisis, and even currency crisis and banking crisis. Thus, in the case of BH, VI was very successful cross-border policy coordination due to the large exposure of domestic banking sector to the foreign investors. At the pick of crisis foreign liabilities of BH banking sector were 6 billion BAM (12/2008) i.e. 32,5% of total liabilities or 29% of total asset. All developed models show that foreign liabilities have a great influence on loans, deposits, and industrial production. The unexpected fall in foreign liabilities would have adverse and very strong effects on deposits, loans, and industrial production. All models show that foreign liabilities significantly affect economic and financial activity in Bosnia and Herzegovina. We used different techniques to show influences of foreign liabilities on domestic variables; Vector autoregression in level and in differences, Vector error correction model, Conditional VAR, and multiple regression models. All models show that in case of disorderly withdrawal of foreign funds, fall in industrial production, deposits, and loans would be much higher than in the case when VI is applied. The main conclusion of the article is that VI helped BH to avoid huge and long negative credit growth i.e. credit crunch, and to avoid deeper economic crisis.


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 113-131
Author(s):  
Almir Alihodžić

The level of banking concentration has increased significantly in the banking sector of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of the successful completion of privatization, the formation of new banks, the slow transition and rapid liberalization. Rapid liberalization has introduced strong competition in the domestic banking sector on the one hand, while there has been an increased concentration of some larger banks in the system. The main goal of this research will be to analyze the correlation between the basic measures of the oligopolistic position of banks and their impact on improving or deteriorating the performance of domestic banks, such as return on assets (ROA), return on equity (ROE) and net interest margin (NIM). The survey period covers the years from 2008: Q1 to 2020: Q4 on a quarterly basis. The following variables were used as independent variables in the model: HHI market concentration index in the context of loans, share of foreign banks in the total ownership structure of banks (FB), bank size (BS) and growth rate of total loans (GRTL).The interdependence of variables in this study was tested via the OLS regression model. The results showed that the foreign-owned Banks (FB) variable has a positive impact on the variable return on Assets (ROA), while the variables bank size (BS) and market concentration index for loans (HHI) have a negative impact. The result also showed that the two variables the growth rate of total loans (GRTL) as well as foreign-owned banks (FB) have a positive impact on the variable return on equity (ROE), while the variables market concentration index for loans (HHI) and bank size (BS) have a negative effect. The third result is that the variable net interest margin (NIM) has the strongest positive impact on the two variables foreign-owned banks (FB) and credit growth rate (GRTL), while concentrations for credit placements (HHI) and bank size (BS) have a negative effect.


Author(s):  
Slađana Paunović ◽  
Borka Popović ◽  
Dajana Kovačević

This paper examines the factors that determine the profitability of the banking sector in Bosnia and Herzegovina, measured by return on assets and net interest margin in the period 2008-2014. As the independent variables we used internal variables specific to the operations of banks, as well as external variables that represent the most important macroeconomic indicators. The analysis showed that the most significant impact of internal variables includes: cost-assets ratio of permanent and total assets, and the scope of the bank. When it comes to macroeconomic variables, inflation shows a significant effect on the movement of profitability of the banking sector in Bosnia and Herzegovina.


ECONOMICS ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 83-101
Author(s):  
Antonija Bošnjak ◽  
Abeer Hassan ◽  
Kieran James

Summary The focus of this study is the banking sector of the three neighbouring countries Bosnia and Herzegovina; Montenegro; and Serbia. These are former communist countries which have been going through the transition from centrally-planned economies to open market economies over the past 25 years. During the transition process, structural reforms were conducted to transform the banking sector into a sector suitable for open market economy. These reforms are considered to be the most successful ones in the region. Before the Global Financial Crisis of 2008-09, the economies of the three selected countries were experiencing credit booms. The aim of this research was to examine how the banking sector is performing on an aggregated level years after the crisis and whether the performance is better or worse compared to the pre-crisis period. The findings show that the banking sector was performing better before the crisis in all three countries. After the crisis, the three countries experienced prolonged slow credit growth and had higher nonperforming loans.


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