scholarly journals Estimation of a German money demand system - a long-run analysis

1999 ◽  
Vol 24 (1) ◽  
pp. 77-99 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kirstin Hubrich
Keyword(s):  
Money Demand ◽  
Demand System ◽  
System A ◽  
Long Run

The Problem of Identifying and Modeling the Relationship between Monetary Factor and Inflation in the Russian Economy

2008 ◽  
pp. 61-76
Author(s):  
A. Porshakov ◽  
A. Ponomarenko
Keyword(s):  
Money Supply ◽  
Money Demand ◽  
Russian Economy ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Complex Approach ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Long Time ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Supply Side Factors

The role of monetary factor in generating inflationary processes in Russia has stimulated various debates in social and scientific circles for a relatively long time. The authors show that identification of the specificity of relationship between money and inflation requires a complex approach based on statistical modeling and involving a wide range of indicators relevant for the price changes in the economy. As a result a model of inflation for Russia implying the decomposition of inflation dynamics into demand-side and supply-side factors is suggested. The main conclusion drawn is that during the recent years the volume of inflationary pressures in the Russian economy has been determined by the deviation of money supply from money demand, rather than by money supply alone. At the same time, monetary factor has a long-run spread over time impact on inflation.

scholarly journals Persistent Liquidity Effects and Long-Run Money Demand

2014 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 71-107 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fernando Alvarez ◽  
Francesco Lippi
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Money Demand ◽  
Asset Markets ◽  
Propagation Mechanism ◽  
Monetary Model ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Stability ◽  
Two Parameters

We present a monetary model with segmented asset markets that implies a persistent fall in interest rates after a once-and-for-all increase in liquidity. The gradual propagation mechanism produced by our model is novel in the literature. We provide an analytical characterization of this mechanism, showing that the magnitude of the liquidity effect on impact, and its persistence, depend on the ratio of two parameters: the long-run interest rate elasticity of money demand and the intertemporal substitution elasticity. The model simultaneously explains the short-run “instability” of money demand estimates as well as the stability of long-run interest-elastic money demand. (JEL E13, E31, E41, E43, E52, E62)

scholarly journals Seasonal co-integration: An extention of the Johansen and Schaumburg approach with an exclusion test

2009 ◽  
Vol 56 (1) ◽  
pp. 39-53
Author(s):  
Ozlem Tasseven
Keyword(s):  
Money Demand ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
A Priori ◽  
Series Data ◽  
General Acceptance ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Turkish Economy ◽  
Variable Space ◽  
Annual Frequency ◽  
Seasonal Cointegration

In this paper, the Johansen and Schaumburg method for seasonal cointegration has been tried to be applied for testing an a priori hypothesized cointegrating money demand variable space. We aim to provide a comprehensive discussion of the significance of the variables in the long-run context as stationary relationships for both zero and bi-annual frequencies. For this purpose, several restrictions have been used to impose for identification purposes of the relevant vectors. We also touch upon the possibility that most time series data have been subject to the stochastic seasonality as opposed to the general acceptance in empirical papers. Our results employing data from the Turkish economy show that it is not possible to estimate only a single theory-accepted money demand relationship in the long-run variable space for both zero and bi-annual frequences, but we are able to identify different vectors somewhat consistent with theoretical arguments for the annual frequency.

scholarly journals Asymmetric Effects of Exchange Rate on Monetary Policy in Emerging Countries: A Non-Linear ARDL Approach in Uganda

2020 ◽  
Vol 7 (5) ◽  
pp. 24
Author(s):  
Allan Kayongo ◽  
Asumani Guloba ◽  
Joseph Muvawala
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Money Demand ◽  
Economic Uncertainty ◽  
Ardl Model ◽  
Real Money ◽  
Asymmetric Effects ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Non Linear ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Exchange Rate Depreciation

Many money demand studies have been carried out on Uganda, however, these studies perceive and incorporate exchange rate as a linear determinant of real money demand. Indeed, exchange rate may have asymmetric effects on real money demand; with exchange rate appreciation having different effects from exchange rate depreciation. Therefore, this is the first study to estimate exchange rate asymmetries in Uganda, for the period 2008Q3 and 2018Q4. The study uses both the linear ARDL and non-linear ARDL methodologies to accomplish its goal. This is also done by incorporating an economic uncertainty index, which is critical, especially in light of the novel global coronavirus pandemic, that has disrupted trade, movement and supply chains. The error correction terms of both models are negative and significant, with the one of the non-linear ARDL twice as much as that of the linear ARDL. Indeed, the study confirms the existence of exchange rate asymmetries on Uganda’s real money demand. In the linear ARDL model, exchange rate has a positive effect in the long run but a negative result in the short run. On one hand, the non-linear ARDL model reveals that an exchange rate depreciation of the Uganda Shillings negatively affects real money demand in the short run. On the other hand, an exchange rate appreciation positively effects real money demand. Notably, economic uncertainty has insignificant effects in both models, except for its lags in the non-linear model. The implication of these findings is that macro-economic policy management in Uganda should be cognizant of these asymmetric effects of exchange rate, for effective planning, policy and implementation.

scholarly journals Long-Run Money Demand in Ghana: In Search of Stability

2020 ◽  
Vol 09 (04) ◽  
pp. 418-433
Author(s):  
Michael Asiedu ◽  
Sabi Couscous Mouhamadou Nazirou ◽  
Soazafy Joyce Sabrina
Keyword(s):  
Money Demand ◽  
Long Run

SINGLE-MACHINE MULTIPLE-RECIPE PREDICTIVE MAINTENANCE

2013 ◽  
Vol 27 (2) ◽  
pp. 209-235 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yiwei Cai ◽  
John J. Hasenbein ◽  
Erhan Kutanoglu ◽  
Melody Liao
Keyword(s):  
Optimal Policy ◽  
Predictive Maintenance ◽  
Production Costs ◽  
Threshold Policy ◽  
Discrete Time Markov Chain ◽  
System A ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Monotonicity Result ◽  
Maintenance Policies ◽  
Discounted Costs

This paper studies a multiple-recipe predictive maintenance problem with M/G/1 queueing effects. The server degrades according to a discrete-time Markov chain and we assume that the controller knows both the machine status and the current number of jobs in the system. The controller's objective is to minimize total discounted costs or long-run average costs which include preventative and corrective maintenance costs, holdings costs, and possibly production costs. An optimal policy determines both when to perform maintenance and which type of job to process. Since the policy takes into account the machine's degradation status, such control decisions are known as predictive maintenance policies. In the single-recipe case, we prove that the optimal policy is monotone in the machine status, but not in the number of jobs in the system. A similar monotonicity result holds in the two-recipe case. Finally, we provide computational results indicating that significant savings can be realized when implementing a predictive maintenance policies instead of a traditional job-based threshold policy for preventive maintenances.

scholarly journals The Impact of Financial Innovation on the Money Demand Function: An Empirical Verification in India

2020 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 28-61 ◽  
Author(s):  
Masudul Hasan Adil ◽  
Neeraj Hatekar ◽  
Pravakar Sahoo
Keyword(s):  
Money Demand ◽  
Demand Function ◽  
Financial Innovation ◽  
Jel Classification ◽  
Parameter Estimates ◽  
Correlated Errors ◽  
Bounds Testing ◽  
Money Demand Function ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Impact

Traditional money demand functions are often criticized for persistent over-prediction, implausible parameter estimates, highly serially correlated errors and unstable money demand. This study argues that some of these problems may have emerged for the lack of factoring financial innovation into the money demand function. This study estimates money demand for India during the post-reform period, from 1996:Q2 to 2016:Q3. The money demand function is estimated with the linear ARDL approach to cointegration developed by Pesaran, Shin, & Smith (2001), Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships, Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289–326, after employing various proxies for financial innovation. In conclusion, the study finds that there is a stable long-run relationship among variables, such as real money balances, and the scale and opportunity cost variables. In a nutshell, the study assesses the relative importance of financial innovation variables in the money demand equation, and finds that financial innovation plays a very significant role in the money demand specification and its stability. JEL Classification: E41, E44, E42, E52, O16, O53

scholarly journals Money Demand Function for Nepal: An Empirical View from Expenditure Component

2019 ◽  
pp. 12-25
Author(s):  
Pujan Adhikari
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Money Demand ◽  
Capital Formation ◽  
Consumption Expenditure ◽  
Demand For Money ◽  
Final Consumption ◽  
On Demand ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Fixed Capital Formation ◽  
Short Run

This paper examines the long run and short-run dynamics relationship between broad money, consumption expenditure, capital stock and interest rate in Nepal over the period of 1975-2017. This paper employs ARDL bound testing approach for co-integration between the broad money demand and its determinants. Result reveals the evidence of cointegration among the variables. The empirical results show that the demand for money is affected by the interest rate and final consumption expenditure both in the long run and short-run. However, the gross fixed capital formation has no impact on demand for money in the long-run and short-run as well. On contrast, interest rate is positively associated with Broad money demand, which is not consistent with theoretically. Positive association of money demand with interest rate shows that demand for money function is instability in Nepal. Thus, this study suggests that policy maker to correct price fluctuation through the control of various expenditure components, particularly, real final consumption expenditure might be an important strategy in the long run. However, the gross fixed capital formation has no impact on demand for money in the long-run.

scholarly journals Input Demand and the Shortand Long-Run Employment Thresholds: An Empirical Analysis for the German Manufacturing Sector

2001 ◽  
Vol 2 (4) ◽  
pp. 367-384 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gebhard Flaig ◽  
Horst Rottmann
Keyword(s):  
Growth Rate ◽  
Structural Characteristic ◽  
Capital Accumulation ◽  
Manufacturing Sector ◽  
Demand System ◽  
The Public ◽  
Wage Rates ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Input Demand ◽  
The Relationship

Abstract The concept of the `employment threshold' plays an important role in the public discussion of unemployment. The employment threshold is defined as that growth rate of output necessary to keep employment constant despite the continuous rise in productivity. It is related to the Okun coefficient which describes the relationship between the changes in output and unemployment. Many contributions to this debate give the impression that the employment threshold is more or less a structural characteristic independent of economic variables. In this paper we derive short- and long-run employment thresholds from an input demand system and show empirically that they depend on factor prices and capital accumulation. Higher wage rates raise the employment threshold and reduce the probability that a positive output shock will increase employment.

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