An Analysis of the Money Demand Function for Zambia: A Gregory Hansen Cointegration Approach

The objective of this study was to analyze the money demand function for Zambia for the period 1978 – 2018 using annual time series data. The study employed the Gregory Hansen cointegration technique. The study also employed Hendry’s General to Specific technique to estimate the error correction model by obtaining a parsimonious model. The results of the Gregory Hansen test confirmed the presence of a cointegrating relationship and selected the GH-2 model as the most plausible model with a level shift and a trend. The results also endogenously determined 1994 as the break year in the money demand function. Other interesting results obtained by the study suggest that inflation and interest rate are the robust determinants of real money demand both in the short and long run. Furthermore, unlike many other developing countries, the results show that money is a necessity in Zambia. The other interesting results suggested by the study are that the financial sector reforms of 1994 diminished the demand for real money; however, the positive time trend suggests that there has been an increase in real money holdings over time in Zambia. The low-interest elasticity of money demand also potentially compromises the effectiveness of money supply as a monetary policy tool for economic stabilization. The results of the CUSUM and CUSUMSQ confirm the stability of the money demand function in Zambia.

Money Demand Balances and Exchange Rate in Pakistan: A Time Series Analysis

This paper investigates the impact of exchange rate on the money demand balances in Pakistan by applying linear and non-linear ARDL approach. The purpose of study is not only examining the impact of exchange rate and demand for money but also to analyze that whether demand for money in Pakistan is stable or not. For the estimation of money demand function yearly data are used from the 1972 to 2019. The findings of linear ARDL suggest that exchange rate and demand for money balances are positively related. Moreover, Non-linear ARDL exhibit that positive and negative shocks in exchange rate have mixed findings for money demand while asymmetric test shows that exchange rate has symmetric effects for money demand. Stability test suggest the stable money demand in Pakistan.

DETERMINING FACTOR FOR MALAYSIAN MONEY DEMAND FUNCTION

The reason for our study was to determine the factors that influence the role of money demand in the Malaysian economy. We implicit various economic factors comprise real CPI, real interest rate, financial innovation, and real GDP and analyzed through implying ARDL Bound test for short-run and the long-run period over 1970-2018 time-series data. Based on empirical results, we revealed that over the short-run period, financial innovation having positive and significant while real GDP has a negative and significant relationship with real money demand function in Malaysia. The official real exchange rate has a positive and significant relationship with real money demand, with an increase of one unit in the real exchange rate, increasing the money demand function by 0.97 in the long term. More, negative and significant relationships revealed among real GDP and real money demand function which direct that by increase 1% change in real GDP direct to decrease in real money demand by 0.6395 in the Malaysian economy and finally real money demand predicted 13.0796 when all independent variable is zero in the Malaysian economy.