Interannual thermocline signals and El Niño-La Niña turnabout in the tropical Pacific Ocean

2006 ◽  
Vol 23 (6) ◽  
pp. 1003-1019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Weihong Qian ◽  
Haoran Hu
Keyword(s):  
Pacific Ocean ◽  
El Niño ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Tropical Pacific ◽  
La Niña ◽  
Tropical Pacific Ocean ◽  
La Nina ◽  
The Tropical Pacific

scholarly journals Dipole Structure of Mixed Layer Salinity in Response to El Niño‐La Niña Asymmetry in the Tropical Pacific

2019 ◽  
Vol 46 (21) ◽  
pp. 12165-12172 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cong Guan ◽  
Shijian Hu ◽  
Michael J. McPhaden ◽  
Fan Wang ◽  
Shan Gao ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Mixed Layer ◽  
El Niño ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Tropical Pacific ◽  
La Niña ◽  
Dipole Structure ◽  
La Nina ◽  
The Tropical Pacific

scholarly journals Mechanisms Involved in the Amplification of the 11-yr Solar Cycle Signal in the Tropical Pacific Ocean

2012 ◽  
Vol 25 (14) ◽  
pp. 5102-5118 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stergios Misios ◽  
Hauke Schmidt
Keyword(s):  
Solar Cycle ◽  
Pacific Ocean ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Tropical Pacific ◽  
La Niña ◽  
Tropical Pacific Ocean ◽  
La Nina ◽  
Ocean Coupling ◽  
Indian And Atlantic Oceans ◽  
The Tropical Pacific

Abstract It is debated whether the response of the tropical Pacific Ocean to the 11-yr solar cycle forcing resembles a La Niña– or El Niño–like signal. To address this issue, ensemble simulations employing an atmospheric general circulation model with and without ocean coupling are conducted. The coupled simulations show no evidence for a La Niña–like cooling in solar maxima. Instead, the tropical sea surface temperature rises almost in phase with the 11-yr solar cycle. A basinwide warming of about 0.1 K is simulated in the tropical Pacific, whereas the warming in the tropical Indian and Atlantic Oceans is weaker. In the western Pacific, the region of deep convection shifts to the east, thus reducing the surface easterlies. This shift is independent of the ocean coupling because deep convection moves to the east in the uncoupled simulations too. The reduced surface easterlies cool the subsurface but warm the surface due to the reduction of heat transport divergence. The latter mechanism operates together with water vapor feedback, resulting in a stronger tropical Pacific warming relative to the warming over the tropical Indian and Atlantic Oceans. These results suggest that the atmospheric response to the 11-yr solar cycle drives the tropical Pacific response, which is amplified by atmosphere–ocean feedbacks operating on decadal time scales. Based on the coupled simulations, it is concluded that the tropical Pacific Ocean should warm when the sun is more active.

scholarly journals Changes in Sea Salt Emissions Enhance ENSO Variability

2016 ◽  
Vol 29 (23) ◽  
pp. 8575-8588 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yang Yang ◽  
Lynn M. Russell ◽  
Sijia Lou ◽  
Maryam A. Lamjiri ◽  
Ying Liu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Pacific Ocean ◽  
El Niño ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Sea Salt ◽  
La Niña ◽  
Western Pacific ◽  
Interannual Variations ◽  
Enso Variability ◽  
La Nina ◽  
The Tropical Pacific

Abstract Two 150-yr preindustrial simulations with and without interactive sea salt emissions from the Community Earth System Model (CESM) are performed to quantify the interactions between sea salt emissions and El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Variations in sea salt emissions over the tropical Pacific Ocean are affected by changing wind speed associated with ENSO variability. ENSO-induced interannual variations in sea salt emissions result in decreasing (increasing) aerosol optical depth (AOD) by 0.03 over the equatorial central-eastern (western) Pacific Ocean during El Niño events compared to those during La Niña events. These changes in AOD further increase (decrease) radiative fluxes into the atmosphere by +0.2 (−0.4) W m−2 over the tropical eastern (western) Pacific. Thereby, sea surface temperature increases (decreases) by 0.2–0.4 K over the tropical eastern (western) Pacific Ocean during El Niño compared to La Niña events and enhances ENSO variability by 10%. The increase in ENSO amplitude is a result of systematic heating (cooling) during the warm (cold) phase of ENSO in the eastern Pacific. Interannual variations in sea salt emissions then produce the anomalous ascent (subsidence) over the equatorial eastern (western) Pacific between El Niño and La Niña events, which is a result of heating anomalies. Owing to variations in sea salt emissions, the convective precipitation is enhanced by 0.6–1.2 mm day−1 over the tropical central-eastern Pacific Ocean and weakened by 0.9–1.5 mm day−1 over the Maritime Continent during El Niño compared to La Niña events, enhancing the precipitation variability over the tropical Pacific.

The impact of global warming on the tropical Pacific Ocean and El Niño

2010 ◽  
Vol 3 (6) ◽  
pp. 391-397 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mat Collins ◽  
Soon-Il An ◽  
Wenju Cai ◽  
Alexandre Ganachaud ◽  
Eric Guilyardi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Global Warming ◽  
Pacific Ocean ◽  
El Niño ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Tropical Pacific ◽  
Tropical Pacific Ocean ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Tropical Pacific

scholarly journals El Niño in a changing climate: a multi-model study

Ocean Science ◽  
2005 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 81-95 ◽  
Author(s):  
G. J. van Oldenborgh ◽  
S. Y. Philip ◽  
M Collins
Keyword(s):  
Standard Deviation ◽  
Pacific Ocean ◽  
El Niño ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Tropical Pacific ◽  
Enso Cycle ◽  
Tropical Pacific Ocean ◽  
Enso Variability ◽  
The Tropical Pacific

Abstract. In many parts of the world, climate projections for the next century depend on potential changes in the properties of the El Niño - Southern Oscillation (ENSO). The current staus of these projections is assessed by examining a large set of climate model experiments prepared for the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Firstly, the patterns and time series of present-day ENSO-like model variability in the tropical Pacific Ocean are compared with that observed. Next, the strength of the coupled atmosphere-ocean feedback loops responsible for generating the ENSO cycle in the models are evaluated. Finally, we consider the projections of the models with, what we consider to be, the most realistic ENSO variability. Two of the models considered do not have interannual variability in the tropical Pacific Ocean. Three models show a very regular ENSO cycle due to a strong local wind feedback in the central Pacific and weak sea surface temperature (SST) damping. Six other models have a higher frequency ENSO cycle than observed due to a weak east Pacific upwelling feedback loop. One model has much stronger upwelling feedback than observed, and another one cannot be described simply by the analysis technique. The remaining six models have a reasonable balance of feedback mechanisms and in four of these the interannual mode also resembles the observed ENSO both spatially and temporally. Over the period 2051-2100 (under various scenarios) the most realistic six models show either no change in the mean state or a slight shift towards El Niño-like conditions with an amplitude at most a quarter of the present day interannual standard deviation. We see no statistically significant changes in amplitude of ENSO variability in the future, with changes in the standard deviation of a Southern Oscillation Index that are no larger than observed decadal variations. Uncertainties in the skewness of the variability are too large to make any statements about the future relative strength of El Niño and La Niña events. Based on this analysis of the multi-model ensemble, we expect very little influence of global warming on ENSO.

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