Simulated change in the interannual variability of South Asian summer monsoon in the 21st century

2010 ◽  
Vol 27 (5) ◽  
pp. 992-1002 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuanhai Fu ◽  
Riyu Lu
2015 ◽  
Vol 28 (9) ◽  
pp. 3731-3750 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jennifer M. Walker ◽  
Simona Bordoni ◽  
Tapio Schneider

Abstract This study identifies coherent and robust large-scale atmospheric patterns of interannual variability of the South Asian summer monsoon (SASM) in observational data. A decomposition of the water vapor budget into dynamic and thermodynamic components shows that interannual variability of SASM net precipitation (P − E) is primarily caused by variations in winds rather than in moisture. Linear regression analyses reveal that strong monsoons are distinguished from weak monsoons by a northward expansion of the cross-equatorial monsoonal circulation, with increased precipitation in the ascending branch. Interestingly, and in disagreement with the view of monsoons as large-scale sea-breeze circulations, strong monsoons are associated with a decreased meridional gradient in the near-surface atmospheric temperature in the SASM region. Teleconnections exist from the SASM region to the Southern Hemisphere, whose midlatitude poleward eddy energy flux correlates with monsoon strength. Possible implications of these teleconnection patterns for understanding SASM interannual variability are discussed.


2009 ◽  
Vol 36 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Moetasim Ashfaq ◽  
Ying Shi ◽  
Wen-wen Tung ◽  
Robert J. Trapp ◽  
Xueijie Gao ◽  
...  

2016 ◽  
Vol 49 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 193-223 ◽  
Author(s):  
Moetasim Ashfaq ◽  
Deeksha Rastogi ◽  
Rui Mei ◽  
Danielle Touma ◽  
L. Ruby Leung

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (23) ◽  
pp. eabg3848
Author(s):  
Steven C. Clemens ◽  
Masanobu Yamamoto ◽  
Kaustubh Thirumalai ◽  
Liviu Giosan ◽  
Julie N. Richey ◽  
...  

South Asian precipitation amount and extreme variability are predicted to increase due to thermodynamic effects of increased 21st-century greenhouse gases, accompanied by an increased supply of moisture from the southern hemisphere Indian Ocean. We reconstructed South Asian summer monsoon precipitation and runoff into the Bay of Bengal to assess the extent to which these factors also operated in the Pleistocene, a time of large-scale natural changes in carbon dioxide and ice volume. South Asian precipitation and runoff are strongly coherent with, and lag, atmospheric carbon dioxide changes at Earth’s orbital eccentricity, obliquity, and precession bands and are closely tied to cross-equatorial wind strength at the precession band. We find that the projected monsoon response to ongoing, rapid high-latitude ice melt and rising carbon dioxide levels is fully consistent with dynamics of the past 0.9 million years.


2019 ◽  
Vol 124 (2) ◽  
pp. 806-824 ◽  
Author(s):  
Feifei Luo ◽  
Buwen Dong ◽  
Fangxing Tian ◽  
Shuanglin Li

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