Predictability of the East Asian winter monsoon interannual variability as indicated by the DEMETER CGCMS

2012 ◽  
Vol 29 (3) ◽  
pp. 441-454 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fei Li ◽  
Huijun Wang
Keyword(s):  
Interannual Variability ◽  
East Asian Winter Monsoon ◽  
East Asian ◽  
Winter Monsoon ◽  
Asian Winter Monsoon

scholarly journals Combined Effect of ENSO-Like and Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation SSTAs on the Interannual Variability of the East Asian Winter Monsoon

2017 ◽  
Vol 30 (7) ◽  
pp. 2697-2716 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xin Hao ◽  
Shengping He
Keyword(s):  
Numerical Model ◽  
East Asia ◽  
Interannual Variability ◽  
East Asian Winter Monsoon ◽  
East Asian ◽  
Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation ◽  
Winter Monsoon ◽  
Temperature Anomalies ◽  
Asian Winter Monsoon ◽  
Numerical Model Experiments

Using long-term observational data and numerical model experiments, this study found that the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO) affects the influence of ENSO-like sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTAs, which contain the variability of both El Niño–Southern Oscillation and Pacific decadal oscillation) on the interannual change in the East Asian winter monsoon (EAWM). In the observations, the out-of-phase relationship between the variations in ENSO and the EAWM was significantly intensified when the AMO and ENSO-like SSTAs were in phase. Warmer-than-normal winters occurred across East Asia when the ENSO-like SSTAs and AMO were positively in phase, with a significantly weakened Siberian high and anomalous anticyclones over the western North Pacific. The opposite patterns occurred under negative in-phase conditions. In contrast, when the ENSO-like and AMO SSTAs were out of phase, the anomalies related to the EAWM tended to exhibit relatively weaker features. Numerical model experiments confirmed these observational results. When the models were perturbed with warm ENSO-like SSTAs and warm AMO SSTAs, the atmosphere showed a weakened Siberian high, strong anticyclonic anomalies over the Philippine Sea, a weakened East Asian trough, and dominant positive temperature anomalies over East Asia, implying a weaker EAWM. Reverse responses to negative in-phase temperature anomalies were observed. However, the atmospheric signals that responded to the out-of-phase conditions were less robust. This phenomenon may be attributed to the superposition of the interannual variability of the EAWM caused by ENSO-like SSTAs upon the influence of AMO on background Eurasian climate and the Walker circulation response to the heating source provided by the AMO, which induced changes in ENSO-like variability through the surface wind anomalies and modulated the anomalous anticyclone/cyclone over the Philippine Sea in warm–cold ENSO-like events.

scholarly journals The Climatology and Interannual Variability of the East Asian Winter Monsoon in CMIP5 Models

2014 ◽  
Vol 27 (4) ◽  
pp. 1659-1678 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hainan Gong ◽  
Lin Wang ◽  
Wen Chen ◽  
Renguang Wu ◽  
Ke Wei ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
East Asia ◽  
Interannual Variability ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
East Asian Winter Monsoon ◽  
East Asian ◽  
Winter Monsoon ◽  
Cmip5 Models ◽  
Northwestern Pacific ◽  
Cold Bias ◽  
Asian Winter Monsoon

Abstract In this paper the model outputs from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) phase 5 (CMIP5) are used to examine the climatology and interannual variability of the East Asian winter monsoon (EAWM). The multimodel ensemble (MME) is able to reproduce reasonably well the circulation features of the EAWM. The simulated surface air temperature still suffers from a cold bias over East Asia, but this bias is reduced compared with CMIP phase 3 models. The intermodel spread is relatively small for the large-scale circulations, but is large for the lower-tropospheric meridional wind and precipitation along the East Asian coast. The interannual variability of the EAWM-related circulations can be captured by most of the models. A general bias is that the simulated variability is slightly weaker than in the observations. Based on a selected dynamic EAWM index, the patterns of the EAWM-related anomalies are well reproduced in MME although the simulated anomalies are slightly weaker than the observations. One general bias is that the northeasterly anomalies over East Asia cannot be captured to the south of 30°N. This bias may arise both from the inadequacies of the EAWM index and from the ability of models to capture the EAWM-related tropical–extratropical interactions. The ENSO–EAWM relationship is then evaluated and about half of the models can successfully capture the observed ENSO–EAWM relationship, including the significant negative correlation between Niño-3.4 and EAWM indices and the anomalous anticyclone (or cyclone) over the northwestern Pacific. The success of these models is attributed to the reasonable simulation of both ENSO’s spatial structure and its strength of interannual variability.

scholarly journals On the long-term interannual variability of the east Asian winter monsoon

2005 ◽  
Vol 32 (21) ◽  
Author(s):  
Rosanne D'Arrigo ◽  
Rob Wilson ◽  
Fotis Panagiotopoulos ◽  
Bingyi Wu
Keyword(s):  
Interannual Variability ◽  
East Asian Winter Monsoon ◽  
East Asian ◽  
Winter Monsoon ◽  
Asian Winter Monsoon

Influence of East Asian Winter Monsoon on Particulate Matter Pollution in Typical Regions of China

2021 ◽  
pp. 118213
Author(s):  
L.I. Yanjun ◽  
A.N. Xingqin ◽  
Z.H.A.N.G. Peiqun ◽  
Y.A.N.G. Jianling ◽  
W.A.N.G. Chao ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Particulate Matter ◽  
East Asian Winter Monsoon ◽  
East Asian ◽  
Winter Monsoon ◽  
Asian Winter Monsoon ◽  
Particulate Matter Pollution

East Asian winter monsoon variation during the last 3000 years as recorded in a subtropical mountain lake, northeastern Taiwan

The Holocene ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. 095968362110190
Author(s):  
Tsai-Wen Lin ◽  
Stefanie Kaboth-Bahr ◽  
Kweku Afrifa Yamoah ◽  
André Bahr ◽  
George Burr ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Grain Size ◽  
East Asian Winter Monsoon ◽  
East Asian ◽  
Winter Monsoon ◽  
Mountain Lake ◽  
Sediment Grain Size ◽  
Global Monsoon ◽  
Asian Winter Monsoon ◽  
The Past ◽  
Monsoon System

The East Asian Winter Monsoon (EAWM) is a fundamental part of the global monsoon system that affects nearly one-quarter of the world’s population. Robust paleoclimate reconstructions in East Asia are complicated by multiple sources of precipitation. These sources, such as the EAWM and typhoons, need to be disentangled in order to understand the dominant source of precipitation influencing the past and current climate. Taiwan, situated within the subtropical East Asian monsoon system, provides a unique opportunity to study monsoon and typhoon variability through time. Here we combine sediment trap data with down-core records from Cueifong Lake in northeastern Taiwan to reconstruct monsoonal rainfall fluctuations over the past 3000 years. The monthly collected grain-size data indicate that a decrease in sediment grain size reflects the strength of the EAWM. End member modelling analysis (EMMA) on sediment core and trap data reveals two dominant grain-size end-members (EMs), with the coarse EM 2 representing a robust indicator of EAWM strength. The downcore variations of EM 2 show a gradual decrease over the past 3000 years indicating a gradual strengthening of the EAWM, in agreement with other published EAWM records. This enhanced late-Holocene EAWM can be linked to the expansion of sea-ice cover in the western Arctic Ocean caused by decreased summer insolation.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document