scholarly journals Is the boreal spring tropical Atlantic variability a precursor of the Equatorial Mode?

2019 ◽  
Vol 53 (3-4) ◽  
pp. 2339-2353 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marta Martín-Rey ◽  
Alban Lazar
Keyword(s):  
Tropical Atlantic ◽  
Boreal Spring ◽  
Tropical Atlantic Variability

Interaction between the Boreal Spring and Summer Tropical Atlantic Interannual Variability Modes

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marta Martín-Rey ◽  
Jose Luis Pelegrí ◽  
Emilia Sánchez-Gómez ◽  
Christophe Cassou
Keyword(s):  
Climate Models ◽  
Ocean Dynamics ◽  
Tropical Atlantic ◽  
Coupled Modes ◽  
Boreal Spring ◽  
The North ◽  
Tropical Atlantic Variability ◽  
Coupled Climate Models ◽  
Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies

<p>Traditionally, the interannual Tropical Atlantic variability (TAV) is thought to be governed by two air-sea coupled modes denoted as Meridional Mode (MM) and Equatorial Mode (EM), peaking in boreal spring and summer respectively. Several studies have proposed a possible connection between the MM and EM, but without reaching a consensus about its frequency, type and associated mechanisms. Remarkably, recent findings brought to light decadal changes in the structure, intensity and teleconnections of the EM along the observational record. In particular, new overlooked equatorial modes called ‘non-canonical EM’ and ‘Horse-Shoe mode’ have been reported, which exhibit significant sea surface temperature anomalies in the north tropical Atlantic region. This gives robustness to the connection between the boreal spring and summer interannual modes.</p><p>Here, using observational and CMIP6 model datasets, we demonstrate the existence of distinct interannual modes in the tropical Atlantic basin along the record. Furthermore, the emergence of these modes is not stationary on time and varies from some decades to the others.  In this study, using observations and coupled climate models we explore the connection between the MM and EM to generate the diverse of tropical Atlantic variability reported in previous works. Moreover, the air-sea mechanisms and ocean dynamics involved in the evolution of these modes and the role of the mean state in the connection between them is assessed.</p>

Reexamining the tropical Atlantic influence on ENSO using perfect model predictability experiments

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ingo Richter ◽  
Yu Kosaka ◽  
Hiroki Tokinaga ◽  
Shoichiro Kido
Keyword(s):  
Initial Conditions ◽  
Boreal Summer ◽  
Similar Amount ◽  
Tropical Atlantic ◽  
Equatorial Atlantic ◽  
Boreal Spring ◽  
Modes Of Variability ◽  
Control Simulation ◽  
Starting Point ◽  
Perfect Model

<p>The potential influence of the tropical Atlantic on the development of ENSO has received increased attention over recent years. In particular equatorial Atlantic variability (also known as the Atlantic zonal mode or AZM) has been shown to be anticorrelated with ENSO, i.e. cold AZM events in boreal summer (JJA) tend to be followed by El Niño in winter (DJF), and vice versa for warm AZM events. One problem with disentangling the two-way interaction between the equatorial Atlantic and Pacific is that both ENSO and the AZM tend to develop in boreal spring (MAM).</p><p>Here we use a set of GCM sensitivity experiments to quantify the strength of the Atlantic-Pacific link. The starting point is a 1000-year free-running control simulation with the GFDL CM 2.1 model. From this control simulation, we pick years in which a cold AZM event in JJA is followed by an El Niño in DJF. These years serve as initial conditions for “perfect model” prediction experiments with 10 ensemble members each. In the control experiments, the predictions evolve freely for 12 months from January 1 of each selected year. In the second set of predictions, SSTs are gradually relaxed to climatology in the tropical Atlantic, so that the cold AZM event is suppressed. In the third set of predictions, we restore the tropical Pacific SSTs to climatology, so that the El Niño event is suppressed.</p><p>The results suggest that, on average, the tropical Atlantic SST anomalies increase the strength of El Niño in the following winter by about 10-20%. If, on the other hand, El Niño development is suppressed, the amplitude of the cold AZM event also reduces by a similar amount. The results suggest that, in the context of this GCM, the influence of AZM events on ENSO development is relatively weak but not negligible. The fact that ENSO also influences the AZM in boreal spring highlights the complex two-way interaction between these two modes of variability.</p>

scholarly journals Impact of intraseasonal wind bursts on sea surface temperature variability in the far eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean during boreal spring 2005 and 2006: focus on the mid-May 2005 event

Ocean Science ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 14 (4) ◽  
pp. 849-869 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gaëlle Herbert ◽  
Bernard Bourlès
Keyword(s):  
Atlantic Ocean ◽  
Surface Temperature ◽  
Kelvin Waves ◽  
Sea Surface ◽  
Tropical Atlantic ◽  
Gulf Of Guinea ◽  
Atmospheric Conditions ◽  
Tropical Atlantic Ocean ◽  
Boreal Spring ◽  
Wind Bursts

Abstract. The impact of boreal spring intraseasonal wind bursts on sea surface temperature variability in the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean in 2005 and 2006 is investigated using numerical simulation and observations. We especially focus on the coastal region east of 5° E and between the Equator and 7° S that has not been studied in detail so far. For both years, the southerly wind anomalies induced cooling episodes through (i) upwelling processes, (ii) vertical mixing due to the vertical shear of the current, and for some particular events (iii) a decrease in incoming surface shortwave radiation. The strength of the cooling episodes was modulated by subsurface conditions affected by the arrival of Kelvin waves from the west influencing the depth of the thermocline. Once impinging the eastern boundary, the Kelvin waves excited westward-propagating Rossby waves, which combined with the effect of enhanced westward surface currents contributed to the westward extension of the cold water. A particularly strong wind event occurred in mid-May 2005 and caused an anomalous strong cooling off Cape Lopez and in the whole eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. From the analysis of oceanic and atmospheric conditions during this particular event, it appears that anomalously strong boreal spring wind strengthening associated with anomalously strong Hadley cell activity prematurely triggered the onset of coastal rainfall in the northern Gulf of Guinea, making it the earliest over the 1998–2008 period. No similar atmospheric conditions were observed in May over the 1998–2008 period. It is also found that the anomalous oceanic and atmospheric conditions associated with the event exerted a strong influence on rainfall off northeast Brazil. This study highlights the different processes through which the wind power from the South Atlantic is brought to the ocean in the Gulf of Guinea and emphasizes the need to further document and monitor the South Atlantic region.

scholarly journals Hindcasts of Tropical Atlantic SST Gradient and South American Precipitation: The Influences of the ENSO Forcing and the Atlantic Preconditioning

2009 ◽  
Vol 22 (9) ◽  
pp. 2405-2421 ◽  
Author(s):  
Huei-Ping Huang ◽  
Andrew W. Robertson ◽  
Yochanan Kushnir ◽  
Shiling Peng
Keyword(s):  
South America ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Boreal Winter ◽  
South American ◽  
Primary Role ◽  
Tropical Atlantic ◽  
Boreal Spring ◽  
Sst Anomaly ◽  
Sst Gradient

Abstract Hindcast experiments for the tropical Atlantic sea surface temperature (SST) gradient G1, defined as tropical North Atlantic SST anomaly minus tropical South Atlantic SST anomaly, are performed using an atmospheric general circulation model coupled to a mixed layer ocean over the Atlantic to quantify the contributions of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) forcing and the preconditioning in the Atlantic to G1 in boreal spring. The results confirm previous observational analyses that, in the years with a persistent ENSO SST anomaly from boreal winter to spring, the ENSO forcing plays a primary role in determining the tendency of G1 from winter to spring and the sign of G1 in late spring. In the hindcasts, the initial perturbations in Atlantic SST in boreal winter are found to generally persist beyond a season, leaving a secondary but nonnegligible contribution to the predicted Atlantic SST gradient in spring. For 1993/94, a neutral year with a large preexisting G1 in winter, the hindcast using the information of Atlantic preconditioning alone is found to reproduce the observed G1 in spring. The seasonal predictability in precipitation over South America is examined in the hindcast experiments. For the recent events that can be validated with high-quality observations, the hindcasts produced dryness in boreal spring 1983, wetness in spring 1996, and wetness in spring 1994 over northern Brazil that are qualitatively consistent with observations. An inclusion of the Atlantic preconditioning is found to help the prediction of South American rainfall in boreal spring. For the ENSO years, discrepancies remain between the hindcast and observed precipitation anomalies over northern and equatorial South America, an error that is partially attributed to the biased atmospheric response to ENSO forcing in the model. The hindcast of the 1993/94 neutral year does not suffer this error. It constitutes an intriguing example of useful seasonal forecast of G1 and South American rainfall anomalies without ENSO.

scholarly journals On the Inconsistent Relationship between Pacific and Atlantic Niños*

2012 ◽  
Vol 25 (12) ◽  
pp. 4294-4303 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joke F. Lübbecke ◽  
Michael J. McPhaden
Keyword(s):  
Wind Stress ◽  
El Niño ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Boreal Summer ◽  
Western Boundary ◽  
Tropical Atlantic ◽  
Cold Tongue ◽  
Trade Winds ◽  
Boreal Spring ◽  
Northern Tropical Atlantic

Abstract The tropical Atlantic wind response to El Niño forcing is robust, with weakened northeast trade winds north of the equator and strengthened southeast trade winds along and south of the equator. However, the relationship between sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in the eastern equatorial Pacific and Atlantic is inconsistent, with El Niño events followed sometimes by warm and other times by cold boreal summer anomalies in the Atlantic cold tongue region. Using observational data and a hindcast simulation of the Nucleus for European Modeling of the Ocean (NEMO) global model at 0.5° resolution (NEMO-ORCA05), this inconsistent SST relationship is shown to be at least partly attributable to a delayed negative feedback in the tropical Atlantic that is active in years with a warm or neutral response in the eastern equatorial Atlantic. In these years, the boreal spring warming in the northern tropical Atlantic that is a typical response to El Niño is pronounced, setting up a strong meridional SST gradient. This leads to a negative wind stress curl anomaly to the north of the equator that generates downwelling Rossby waves. When these waves reach the western boundary, they are reflected into downwelling equatorial Kelvin waves that reach the cold tongue region in late boreal summer to counteract the initial cooling that is due to the boreal winter wind stress response to El Niño. In contrast, this initial cooling persists or is amplified in years in which the boreal spring northern tropical Atlantic warming is weak or absent either because of a positive North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) phase or an early termination of the Pacific El Niño event.

Dynamical elements of predicting boreal spring tropical Atlantic sea-surface temperatures

2005 ◽  
Vol 39 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 61-85 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Barreiro ◽  
P. Chang ◽  
L. Ji ◽  
R. Saravanan ◽  
A. Giannini
Keyword(s):  
Sea Surface ◽  
Sea Surface Temperatures ◽  
Tropical Atlantic ◽  
Boreal Spring ◽  
Surface Temperatures

scholarly journals Analysis of the Atlantic Meridional Mode Using Linear Inverse Modeling: Seasonality and Regional Influences

2012 ◽  
Vol 25 (4) ◽  
pp. 1194-1212 ◽  
Author(s):  
Daniel J. Vimont
Keyword(s):  
High Latitude ◽  
Inverse Modeling ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Tropical Pacific ◽  
Boreal Summer ◽  
Tropical Atlantic ◽  
Boreal Spring ◽  
Meridional Mode ◽  
Atlantic Meridional Mode ◽  
Sst Anomalies

Abstract Predictability and variability of the tropical Atlantic Meridional Mode (AMM) is investigated using linear inverse modeling (LIM). Analysis of the LIM using an “energy” norm identifies two optimal structures that experience some transient growth, one related to El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the other to the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO)/AMM patterns. Analysis of the LIM using an AMM-norm identifies an “AMM optimal” with similar structure to the second energy optima (OPT2). Both the AMM-optimal and OPT2 exhibit two bands of SST anomalies in the mid- to high-latitude Atlantic. The AMM-optimal also contains some elements of the first energy optimal (ENSO), indicating that the LIM captures the well-known relationship between ENSO and the AMM. Seasonal correlations of LIM predictions with the observed AMM show enhanced AMM predictability during boreal spring and for long-lead (around 11–15 months) forecasts initialized around September. Regional LIMs were constructed to determine the influence of tropical Pacific and mid- to high-latitude Atlantic SST on the AMM. Analysis of the regional LIMs indicates that the tropical Pacific is responsible for the AMM predictability during boreal spring. Mid- to high-latitude SST anomalies contribute to boreal summer and fall AMM predictability, and are responsible for the enhanced predictability from September initial conditions. Analysis of the empirical normal modes of the full LIM confirms these physical relationships. Results indicate a potentially important role for mid- to high-latitude Atlantic SST anomalies in generating AMM (and tropical Atlantic SST) variations, though it is not clear whether those anomalies provide any societally useful predictive skill.

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